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Pac-12 Report – Week 8
By Joe Williams

ACC | Big 12

2015 PAC-12 STANDINGS

Team SU Conference ATS Over/Under

Arizona 5-2 2-2 4-3 6-1
Arizona State 4-3 2-2 2-5 2-5
California 5-1 2-1 4-2 2-4
Colorado 3-4 0-3 1-5-1 3-4
Oregon 4-3 2-2 3-4 4-3
Oregon State 2-4 0-3 1-5 3-3
Southern California 3-3 1-2 3-3 3-3
Stanford 5-1 4-0 5-1 4-2
UCLA 4-2 1-2 2-3-1 2-4
Utah 6-0 3-0 4-2 3-3
Washington 3-3 1-2 4-2 1-5
Washington State 4-2 2-1 4-2 3-3

California at UCLA (Thurs. – ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)
UCLA will play host to the high-octane California offense, and the Bruins can ill-afford another loss if they hope to have any short of a conference championship. A third loss will more than likely eliminate them in the south, if they’re not already done with a red-hot Utah team leading the way. Speaking of red hot, Cal is 7-1 ATS in their past eight road games and 5-2 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record. Their kryptonite has been grass, as they’re just 4-12 ATS in their past 16 games on the natural surface. UCLA is a dismal 1-3-1 ATS in their past five at the Rose Bowl, and an ice-cold 5-22 ATS in their past 27 games played in the month of October. While the underdog is 13-5-1 ATS in the past 19 in this series, the home team is 5-0 ATS in the past five and Cal is 1-5-1 ATS in its past seven trips to UCLA. Total bettors might like the under which has cashed in four of the past five, and five of the past seven at the Rose Bowl. The under is also 7-1-1 in UCLA’s past snine home games, and 15-7 in the past 22 for Cal on grass.

Washington State at Arizona (Pac-12 Network, 4:00 p.m. ET)
Washington State looked to be dead in the water after a convincing loss to FCS Portland State in their opener, but they have rebounded with key wins at Oregon and home to Oregon State in the past two weeks to move to within two games of bowl eligibility. More important, the Cougs have turned into cover kings, going 3-0 ATS in the past three games and 4-1 ATS in the past five. Arizona has picked itself off the mat after back-to-back loss to UCLA and at Stanford, thrashing Oregon State and taking care of business at Colorado last weekend. The most impressive thing for the Wildcats is their 6-1 ‘over’ record this season. The Wildcats, favored by 7 1/2 at most shops, are just 3-8 ATS in their past 11 at home and 8-17 ATS in their past 25 against a team with a winning overall record. However, while the underdog is 10-3 ATS in the past 13 meetings, WaZu is just 3-7 ATS in the past 10 meetings and 1-4 ATS in their past five forays into Tucson.

Utah at Southern California (FOX, 7:30 p.m. ET)
There might be quite a few eyebrows raised at the fact USC is favored in this game by a field goal or more at most shops, especially since the Trojans are unranked and the Utes are a Top 10 team. Utah is also 5-2 ATS in the past seven overall, and an impressive 8-1 ATS in their past nine on the road. Conversely, USC is 2-5 ATS in their past seven against a team with a winning record, including last week’s loss at Notre Dame, and the Trojans are 3-9 ATS in their past 12 at home against a team with a winning road record. Perhaps the lack of respect for Utah stems from the fact the home team has covered four straight in this series. Total bettors might want to look at the under, which is 6-1 in USC’s past seven conference games and 12-4-1 in their past 17 against teams with a winning overall record. The under is 11-5-1 in Utah’s past 17 overall, and 6-1 in their past seven on grass.

Colorado at Oregon State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m.)
Colorado has been coming oh-so-close to snapping an FBS-leading 14-game conference losing streak, but they keep ending up just short. They head to Corvallis to take on a shaky Beavers team which is reeling, dropping three in a row and going 1-5 ATS in their six games overall. Oregon State opened favored by three, mainly due to Colorado’s ineptitude within the conference, but the line has dropped to two. The Buffs are 0-4-1 ATS in their past five games overall, and the Beavs aren’t much better at 1-7 ATS in their past eight, including 0-5 ATS within conference. Colorado has a strong offense, posting 23 or more points in each of their past six games, but if they’re going to snap their conference losing skid they need the defense to contribute.

Washington at Stanford (ESPN, 10:30 p.m.)
Stanford looked sluggish in their 16-6 opening game loss at Northwestern, but they have bounced back in a big way and now have title hopes and an outside chance at a spot in the four-team playoff if they can continue its winning ways. Washington is just looking to keep its head above water, recording a stunning road win at USC two weeks ago and then slipping at home to Oregon last weekend. The Huskies have some questions at quarterback, as Jake Browning is dealing with a right shoulder injury suffered against the Ducks. If he cannot go, Jeff Lindquist or K.J. Carta-Samuels would get the nod, and that changes the face of this game completely. Washington is 5-1 ATS in their past six on the road, and 7-3 ATS in their past 10 overall. Stanford has covered in six consecutive Pac-12 tilts, and they’re a robust 36-16 ATS in their past 52 at home. If you’re looking to the total, the under is 8-3 in the past 11 meetings and might be attractive if Washington has to rely on a backup QB.

Pac-12 teams on a bye
Arizona State
Oregon