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Reply To: NCAA Week 9 – Thursday Service Plays 10/29/15

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2* TCU -13 over West Virginia
Right now in Vegas and offshore, LSU running back Leonard Fournette is the Heisman favorite. But tonight is a chance for TCU QB Trevone Boykin to make a statement and get some serious publicity in front of the national ESPN audience. So far this year Boykin is the best QB in the country with a 25-5 ratio and taking just five sacks while completing 64.4 percent and throwing for 2,539 yards. He’s on pace to shatter last year’s 33-10 ratio throwing for over 3,900 yards. The West Virginia secondary is in shambles right now. Team leader Karl Joseph blew out his knee earlier this month. Now starting corner Ricky Rumph is out after a death in his family. Plus defensive back Terrell Chestnut is a gametime decision with a shoulder injury. West Virginia was exposed against Oklahoma and Baylor allowing 320 and 389 passing yards respectively along with 44 and 62-points. The combination of Boykin to WR Josh Doctson could put up record numbers tonight. Doctson has 60 receptions for over 1,000-yards already this year with 12 touchdowns.

TCU has displayed the killer instinct in home games the last couple of years defeating Texas 50-7, Iowa State 55-3, Texas Tech 82-27, Oklahoma State 4-29, and Minnesota 30-7 just in the past two seasons. I don’t think West Virginia can keep pace offensively tonight considering they are off a road game at Baylor when they allowed 62 and scored 38. Plus prior to that they only scored 26 points against Oklahoma State at home (allowed 33) and lost 44-24 at Oklahoma. This looks like an ugly night for the Mountaineers. TCU is 9-1 ATS in home lined games the past two years outscoring the opponent on average 51-16. Plus they are 6-0 ATS off a bye week the past three seasons and 7-0 ATS off a road win the past two years. West Virginia is 2-10 ATS off a loss against a conference rival the past three years.

This is incredible: TCU has covered 12 STRAIGHT GAMES when they have extra time to prepare. West Virginia is just 1-6 straight-up in Big 12 play recently including 0-3 SU/ATS this year and 1-5 ATS since 2009 in game #7. We’ve seen QB Skyler Howard vulnerable to the turnover and last year he and his cohorts committed five of them against the Frogs at home. Sure TCU’s defense is sloppy but they have such a huge advantage offensively that it shouldn’t matter. The Frogs will be out for blood tonight.