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Reply To: NFL Week 13 • Previews, Articles, Info. • Sunday 12/6/15

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Week 13 Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Texans at Bills (-3 ½, 41 ½) – 1:00 PM EST

These two AFC squads are going in different directions of late, as Houston (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS) has won four straight games to pull into a tie atop the AFC South with Indianapolis. The Texans’ defense continues to shine by allowing six points in three of their past four victories, while coming off a dominating 24-6 effort against the Saints last Sunday as 3 ½-point favorites. Houston looks to improve on a 2-3 SU/ATS record away from NRG Stadium, as the Texans beat the Bills last season at home, 23-17.

Two weeks ago, Buffalo (5-6 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) sat above the .500 mark and in a prime position to grab a Wild Card spot. The Bills are still in the hunt, but consecutive losses to the Patriots and Chiefs on the road the last two weeks has derailed things. Buffalo jumped out to a 16-7 advantage at Kansas City last Sunday before the Chiefs rallied for a 30-22 victory as 4 ½-point favorites. Rex Ryan’s club hasn’t been great at home since whipping the Colts in the opener, losing three of their past four games at Ralph Wilson Stadium. The Bills are 1-3 SU/ATS in the favorite role with the lone victory coming in their last home game against the Dolphins in Week 9.

Seahawks (-1 ½, 42) at Vikings – 1:00 PM EST

A game involving major tiebreaking implications in the NFC playoff race takes place in Minnesota, as the Vikings (8-3 SU, 9-2 ATS) try to capitalize on last week’s 20-10 victory at Atlanta. Adrian Peterson rushed for over 100 yards for the fourth time in the past five games for the Vikings, racking up 158 yards and two touchdowns to give Minnesota its fourth straight road victory. The Vikings won their first four games at TCF Bank Stadium before getting blown out by the Packers two weeks ago, as Mike Zimmer’s team owns a fantastic 8-2 SU/ATS record the last 10 home games since last November.

The Seahawks (6-5 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) have bounced back from a 2-4 start to win four of the past five games and creep back above the .500 mark. Seattle outlasted Pittsburgh in a shootout last Sunday, 39-30 to cash late as three-point favorites, the third straight ‘over’ for Pete Carroll’s squad. The Seahawks have overcome an 0-3 road start to win each of their last two away from CenturyLink Field, beating the 49ers and Cowboys in low-scoring affairs. Seattle is making its first visit to Minnesota since 2009, as the Seahawks beat the Vikings in their previous meeting two seasons ago, 30-20, even though Peterson rushed for 182 yards and two touchdowns.

Falcons at Buccaneers (-1, 46) – 1:00 PM EST

A 5-0 start is a distant memory for Atlanta (6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS), who is in danger of missing the postseason. The Falcons lost their fourth straight game last Sunday in a 20-10 home defeat to the Vikings, the sixth consecutive contest that Dan Quinn’s team has scored 21 points or less. Atlanta is the coldest ATS team in the league by failing to cover its last seven games, including a 23-20 home overtime loss to Tampa Bay last month as eight-point favorites.

Last season, the Buccaneers (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) selected first in the NFL Draft, but are far from that slot this season. Tampa Bay’s two-game winning streak came to a halt in a 25-12 setback at Indianapolis as three-point underdogs, as Jameis Winston was held to one passing touchdown or less for the fourth time in five games. The Bucs have cashed in five of the past seven games overall, while sailing ‘over’ the total in four of five home contests.

Jets (-2, 46 ½) at Giants – 1:00 PM EST

The battle of New Jersey pits two clubs that are fighting playoff spots in different situations. The Giants (5-6 SU, 6-4-1 ATS) are somehow tied for the top spot in the NFC East with the Redskins in spite of sitting below .500, as New York fell short at Washington last Sunday, 20-14 to suffer their second consecutive loss. Tom Coughlin’s squad fell to 2-3 inside the division, while splitting a pair of game against AFC competition, which includes a last-second home loss to the Patriots.

The Jets (6-5 SU, 5-5-1 ATS) have gone through a roller-coaster ride in Todd Bowles’ first season as head coach. New York began the campaign at 4-1, but fell backwards the last six games by dropping four of six to fall into the AFC Wild Card logjam alongside Pittsburgh, Kansas City, Houston, and Indianapolis. The Jets snapped a two-game skid in last Sunday’s 38-20 rout of the Dolphins, the highest-scoring output for New York this season. This rivalry has been all Giants over the years with Big Blue beating Gang Green five straight times since 1996, including a 29-14 triumph by the Giants in the final month of the 2011 season.

Chiefs (-3, 44 ½) at Raiders – 4:05 PM EST

No team in the AFC is hotter than Kansas City (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS) over the last five games, as the Chiefs haven’t lost since a 1-5 start. Kansas City goes for its third road win over a division foe in the past month after beating Denver and San Diego in November. The Chiefs rallied past the Bills, 30-22 to cash as 4 ½-point favorites last Sunday, as Andy Reid’s club has covered each of the last four times when laying points. Kansas City has struggled in its last few visits to the Black Hole, losing two of the past three meetings to Oakland, including a 24-20 setback as seven-point road favorites last season.

Following a promising start, the Raiders (5-6 SU, 6-5 ATS) dropped three in a row prior to a 24-21 triumph at Tennessee last Sunday. Derek Carr threw for 330 yards and three touchdown passes, including the game-winning score with less than 90 seconds remaining. Oakland has endured several ups and downs at home, losing three of five times at the Black Hole, as Jack Del Rio’s squad has split four games in the role of a home underdog.