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Best bang for your NFL Week 14 daily fantasy buck
By Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach breaks down the best bang for your NFL daily fantasy buck in Week 13, comparing two similarly price DFS options and why you should go with one rather than the other.
Tom Brady, New England Patriots ($9,300) vs. Russell Wilson, Seattle Seahawks ($8,500)
Brady’s great but he’s running out of options on offense and won’t have tight end Rob Gronkowski back for Week 14’s matchup with Houston. Last week, Brady threw 59 passes for 29 receptions, equalling 312 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. The Texans buckled for 30 points in Buffalo Sunday, including three touchdowns from Tyrod Taylor. However, this Houston stop unit is much tougher at home, giving up only 207.8 yards through the air which is good for fourth lowest in the NFL.
Wilson is hushing up doubters with his recent performances, passing for 619 yard and eight touchdowns the last two weeks, while adding on 65 rushing gains and a score on the ground. Seattle is in the Wild Card hunt winning three in a row and takes on a Ravens defense that has allowed the eighth most fantasy points to quarterbacks this season. At his current level and considering the opponent, you have to love the value on Wilson in Week 14.
Jonathan Stewart, Carolina Panthers ($7,200) vs. Chris Ivory, New York Jets ($7,100)
Stewart has averaged almost 15 DFS points over the past four games and put up nearly 17 points with 82 yards rushing, 31 yards receiving and a touchdown in last Sunday’s win over New Orleans. The Panthers bruising back faces another weak divisional defense when Carolina comes to Atlanta in Week 14. The Falcons have given up the fifth most fantasy points to running backs this season and were gashed for 166 yards on the turf in the loss to Tampa Bay. And since the Panthers have the division wrapped up, Cam Newton will be playing it a little more cautious with the playoffs pending. Don’t expect him to steal carries from Stewart down the stretch.
Ivory has been a nice value DFS play for most of the season, averaging more than 14 DFS points per game. However, he mustered only 7.4 points against the Giants Sunday, giving way to fellow RB Bilal Powell, who had 91 receiving yards and a touchdown to go along with 17 rushing yards for almost 21 DFS points. Tennessee has allowed the fifth lowest point total to running backs this season and have an underrated defense that ranks eighth in total yards against (336.1 yards against per game).
Mike Evans, Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($8,000) vs. Calvin Johnson, Detroit Lions ($7,900)
We’ve gone to the Mike Evans well before and came back dry, but he’s really got the offense rolling in Tampa Bay with an average of almost 14 DFS points the last four weeks, with two touchdowns and 314 total receiving yards. He was targeted seven times by Jameis Winston in last weekend’s win over Atlanta and now goes up against the Saints defense, which has been bombed for 20 passing TDs this season, which is tied for the most in the NFL. New Orleans has also given up 28 passing plays of 25 yards or more entering Week 14, which is the fifth most in the league.
Calvin Johnson has looked at lot more like Megatron in recent weeks. He’s caught 11 balls for 134 yards and four touchdowns the last two games but runs into a Rams defense that doesn’t allow much over the top. St. Louis has allowed just 16 passing plays of 25 yards or more this season, fourth fewest in the NFL, and have given up the third fewest fantasy points to receivers, including a mere seven passing touchdowns. Johnson has gone over 100 yards only once this season and will have a tough time putting up big numbers against a nickel-and-dime Rams defense.