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CFL Betting Notes – Week 11
By David Schwab

The second half of the 2015 CFL regular season starts this week and it features a special Labor Day double header as the official push towards the Grey Cup Playoffs gets underway.

The first half of the season closed things out with Montreal’s stunning 26-23 upset of Hamilton last Thursday as a heavy 11 ½-point road underdog. Edmonton improved to 6-3 straight-up with its 38-15 victory against Toronto on Friday as a seven-point home favorite.

Saturday’s CFL action saw Calgary hammer Winnipeg 36-8 as a six-point road favorite and Week 10 wrapped-up on Sunday with Ottawa keeping Saskatchewan winless on the season with a 35-13 victory as a three-point favorite at home.

Thursday, Sept. 3

British Columbia (3-5 SU, 3-5 ATS) vs. Montreal Alouettes (4-5 SU, 5-3-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Montreal -5
Total: 47 ½

Game Overview

British Columbia returns to action this week after its bye and it will be looking to snap a two-game skid both straight-up and against the spread. The Lions have actually failed to cover in four of its last five games behind a porous defense that has allowed an average of 30.2 points during this same stretch. The total has gone OVER in three of the five games.

The Alouettes are right back in the hunt in the East Division following last Thursday’s upset of the first-place Tiger-Cats. Quarterback Rakeem Cato was knocked out of the game on a hard hit in the third quarter and he was replaced by Tanner Marsh, who has also been limited this season with a knee injury. Marsh completed 11-of-18 passes for 99 yards and he added 18 yards and a score on the ground.

Betting Trends

BC has failed to cover in its last four road games against Montreal and the total has stayed UNDER in four of the last five meetings overall. These two met on Aug. 20 with the Alouettes coming away with a 23-13 victory as three-point road underdogs.

Sunday, Sept. 6

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (3-5 SU, 3-4-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (0-9 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Saskatchewan -3 ½
Total: 52

Game Overview

Winnipeg’s lopsided loss to Calgary last week was its third straight both SU and ATS after a 3-3 SU (3-2-1 ATS) start. With Drew Willy still out of the lineup due to injury, the Blue Bombers turned to Robert Marve as their quarterback. He went on to complete 12-of-20 passes against the Stampeders for 94 yards. He was also picked-off twice in that game.

The Roughriders are still looking for their first SU win of the year in the first of this home-and-home series against West Division rival Winnipeg. In the loss to Ottawa they turned to Tino Sunseri at quarterback for an ineffective Brett Smith to try and add a spark. Sunseri did go on to complete 12-of-18 passes for 165 yards, but he could not get his team into the end zone.

Betting Trends

The Blue Bombers have a slight 3-2 edge ATS in the last five meetings including a 30-26 victory as six-point road underdogs to start this season. The total has gone OVER in the last three games between these two.

Monday, Sept. 7

Toronto Argonauts (6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-3 SU, 7-2 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -7
Total: 54 ½

Game Overview

Last Friday’s loss was the first time that Toronto failed to cover in its last five road games, but it comes into this matchup with a 1-6 record ATS in its last seven East Division games. The Argonauts generated less than 250 yards of total offense against Edmonton last week including just 40 yards on the ground. They are still tied for third in the CFL in scoring with an average of 26.4 points a game.

Hamilton’s stunning loss last week snapped a five-game winning streak both SU and ATS. The total has now stayed UNDER in five of its last seven games. This was another team that had issues moving the ball on the ground its last time out with a total of just 29 rushing yards against Montreal. Zach Collaros did complete 20-of-27 attempts for 293 yards in the loss.

Betting Trends

The Tiger-Cats come into the first game of this home-and-home series with a 6-1 record ATS in the last seven meetings. In early August they hammered Toronto 34-18 as 3 ½-point favorites at home. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings.

Edmonton Eskimos (6-3 SU, 6-3 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (7-2 SU, 2-7 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -5 ½
Total: 49 ½

Game Overview

Edmonton got a big effort from quarterback James Franklin in its win against Toronto. He completed 29-of-38 attempts for 335 yards and a score and he also led the team in rushing with 51 yards and a touchdown on four carries. The Eskimos are now averaging 26.4 points a game on offense while holding opposing teams to just 18.3 points, which is tops in the league.

The Stampeders come into this home-and-home series with a SU four-game winning streak, but last Saturday’s win was just the second time they have covered a spread this year in nine-straight games closing as favorites. Bo Levi Mitchell also had a big day throwing the ball with 314 yards passing and two touchdowns while completing 73 percent of his 26 attempts.

Betting Trends

This will be the first meeting this season between these two division rivals and Calgary comes in with a perfect 6-0 record ATS in the last six games. The total has gone OVER in four of the last five games played in Calgary.