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Reply To: NCAAF • "College Bowl Games" • Saturday 12/26/15

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‘Pinstripe Bowl’
Indiana vs. Duke
3:30 p.m.
On the surface this would seem to be an obvious play on the over, since these two teams have combined to go over in 11 of their last 13 games. But none of those games had a total posted this high. In fact, this is the highest total that either team has seen in one its games this year and right now all of the value is on the under as this line opened at 66 and has soared to 72. Yes, both offense are high-flying, averaging more than 30 points per game, but a look inside the numbers shows that when facing bowl-caliber defenses the team averages drop dramatically (Indiana, 28 ppg and Duke, 25 ppg). With a month to prepare we expect the defenses to play well here, especially since both teams are battling injuries to skill-position players. Go under.