5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Tampa Bay at New York Yankees (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)
The Yankees keep hitting the ball! They have scored 15, 20 and 13 runs over their past six games. They are 5-3 against the total in their last eight games and I think that this total is way too low. Tampa Bay is coming off a high-scoring series with Baltimore. They scored 23 runs over the last three games and the Rays have gone 8-2 against the total in their last 10. Luis Severino has been great for the Yankees since his call up. In his five starts he has just a 2.17 ERA. But I think that he is finally going to get hit hard. The ‘over’ is 12-5 in New York’s last 17 Friday games and the ‘over’ is 4-1 in Jake Odorizzi’s last five starts against the Yankees. New York has his number and I think their lineup will keep it going today.
3-Unit Play. Take #970 Toronto (-1.5, +115) over Baltimore (7 p.m., Friday, Sept. 4)
The Orioles have been on a horrible run. They are just 3-13 in their last 16 games and have been terrible lately. They are all but out of the race. Toronto has been great for the last month. The Jays are 23-5 in their last 28 games and they are 40-16 in their last 56 home favorite. Drew Hutchinson has a high ERA but he has won 10 of 11 starts against his division and he is 16-5 as a home favorite. Ubaldo Jiminez has lost six of his last seven road starts. I think the Blue Jays are going to stay hot and they will keep beating up the Orioles. Toronto is 48-20 the last 68 times they have hosted the Orioles.