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Reply To: CBB • Thursday Service Plays • 1/7/16

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Hofstra won three of its four games with Charleston, splitting pair here; Pride won its first two CAA games by 10-32 points, scoring 90 in both games- they’re shooting 39.9% on arc (#20). Charleston is playing first home game in month; they split last four games, losing at Wm Mary by 8 Saturday. Over last 6+ years, Hofstra is 12-4 as CAA road favorites, Cougars are 4-2-1 as home dogs. CAA home teams are 2-8 vs spread.

NC State pulled upset in Louisville LY, then lost 75-65 to Cardinals in ACC tourney; Wolfpack had 6-game win streak snapped at Va Tech in OT last game; they’re 2-2 vs top 100 teams, but don’t shoot well. Cards are 0-2 in true road games, losing at Michigan State/Kentucky by total of six points. Last five years, Louisville is 11-15 as conference road favorite. ACC home underdogs are 3-3 vs spread.

SMU is one of two undefeated teams in country (South Carolina); they can’t play in postseason, so winning AAC regular season is all they have. Mustangs lost three of last four games with Cincinnati, splitting pair of games here. SMU won its first two AAC games by 12-14 points, giving up 63.5 ppg. Bearcats split last eight games; none of losses was outside of Cincinnati. AAC home favorites are 4-6 vs spread.

Cleveland State beat Green Bay by 14-5 points LY, after losing five in a row to Phoenix before that; Vikings allowed 87 ppg in losing first couple Horizon games by 18-8 points- they’re 1-10 vs top 200 teams, best win by hoop over #107 Belmont. Green Bay scored 81 ppg in winning first two league games by 16-8 points; they’re playing #2 pace in US, making 37% on arc, but only 61.3% on line (#335).

Ole Miss is opening its new arena here; Rebels won four of last five with Alabama, in series where home side won seven of last eight series games. Crimson Tide lost last five visits to Oxford, by 7-9-5-4-13; they turn it over 21.2% of time (#311), scored 52.3 ppg in three true road tilts, with 80-48 loss at Dayton. Ole Miss had 7-game win streak snapped last game by Kentucky- they were 5-0 in old home gym this season.

UL-Lafayette won last three games with Ark-Little Rock; two of three games went OT,. Cajuns lost six of last eight visits here- home side won five of last six series games. ULL is 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 6-12-9 points; they’re 0-6 in true road games, with nine points closest of six. UALR allowed 60.5 ppg in winning first two league games by 9-6 points. Sun Belt home favorites are 5-1 vs spread.

Arizona won three of last four games with UCLA but lost three of last four played here; five of last six series games were decided by six points or less. Last 3+ years, Wildcats are 12-15 as Pac-12 road favorites; they are 5-1 vs top 100 teams- only loss was by 4 to Providence on a neutral floor. UCLA got swept on Washington swing for first time in 20+ years; Bruins lost three of last four games. Pac-12 home underdogs are 4-2.

Home side lost last four Illinois-Michigan State games; Illini won last two visits to East Lansing, 53-46/59-54. Illinois has been banged-up this year; they’re 0-2 in Big 14, losing by 10-2 points, allowing 76.5 ppg. Michigan State was on road all last week, losing first game to Iowa. Spartans are in bottom 10 in country at forcing turnovers but are #2 in eFG% defense in country- they’re top 20 rebounding team. . Big 14 home faves are 3-2.

Michigan won four of last five games with Purdue, losing 64-51 here LY, its first loss in last six visits to Mackey Arena. Boilers led Iowa by 17 at half in last game but lost by 7, scoring only 26 points in 2nd half. Purdue split last four games after 11-0 start; they have #1 eFG% defense in US. Over last six years, Wolverines are 24-15 vs spread as Big 14 road dogs. Big 14 home favorites are 6-7 against the spread.

Old Dominion/Louisiana Tech split pair of C-USA meetings, with both at ODU. Monarchs won last four games after 4-6 start- they’re 0-4 in true road games, with three losses by 9 or less points. Bulldogs are 12-2 vs schedule #320; they won at Ohio State, beat Tex-Arlington by 12- they force turnovers 21.2% of time (#48). C-USA home favorites are 4-2 vs spread. This is ODU’s first visit to Ruston for a C-USA game.

Arizona State won five of last seven games with USC but lost to Trojans in Pac-12 tourney last March; ASU won two of its last three visits here. Sun Devils are 2-1 in true road games, winning at Creighton/UNLV- they lost at Kentucky. USC had 7-game win streak snapped at Washington as Trojans blew 22-point lead. USC has #10 eFG% defense. Pac-12 home favorites are 3-2 against the spread.

Murray State is 11-1 in last 12 games with Tennessee Tech, winning six in row, last two by 39-16 points. Tech lost last nine visits here, with four of last six losses here by 11+ points. Racers lost five of last six D-I tilts with two of five losses at home. Tech scored 90 ppg in winning first two OVC games, by 10-23 points. Eagles are 1-5 in true road games, winning at #277 Lipscomb. OVC home favorites are 4-2 vs spread.

North Dakota State won its last six games with Omaha, winning the three here by 44-22-7 points. Bison won five of last six D-I games, winning by 26 over Decent in Summit opener. Mavericks scored 79 ppg in winning first two league games; Omaha are 3-3 in true road games; they scored 100+ points in all three true road wins. Summit home favorites are 3-7 vs spread. Omaha is shooting just 28.6% on arc, #334 in country.