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Reply To: ♦ AFC-NFC Divisional Playoffs! ♦ Saturday 1/16/16

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NFL Conference Semi-finals

Keep in mind, all four home teams had last week off; the road teams all played.

Chiefs (12-5) @ Patriots (12-4) — Chiefs won last 11 games after 1-5 start; Patriots lost four of last six games after 10-0 start. Home side won six of last seven KC-NE games; Chiefs won last meeting 41-14 LY in Arrowhead, but lost last five visits here. KC’s last win in Foxboro was in 1990. Patriots won in this round last four years (3-1 vs spread) with three wins by 13+ points. Chiefs allowed 9.4 ppg in last five games, blanking Texans LW; they’re 2-3 as an underdog this year- this is first time they’re dog since Week 10. Four of last five Chief games stayed under total; four of last six Patriot games went over. Smith is 2-2 in playoff games in his career; Brady is 21-8 in playoffs games, 10-2 in his first playoff game of a season. Hard to say how many of Pats’ late struggles were just them laying low, preparing for this.

Packers (11-6) @ Cardinals (13-3) — 36-year old Carson Palmer is 0-2 in playoff games, with blown knee on his first pass in first one (2005); his last playoff game was ’09. Cardinals had pair of defensive TDs, ripped Packers 38-8 (-4.5) here three weeks ago, outgaining Pack 381-178 in game where Cards had nine sacks and led 17-0 at the half. Aaron Rodgers is 7-5 in his playoff career (was 4-0 in ’10); Green Bay is on road for 4th time in five weeks; they’re 6-3 on road this season, 2-1 as an underdog. Five of last six Arizona games stayed under total; Packers are 5-1 this year when game goes over. 6-5 if it stays under total. Cardinals had won nine games in row before getting blown out by Seattle here in seasion finale; they’re 3-5 as a home favorite. Favorites in this round are 14-22 vs spread the last nine years.