Your Source for Service Plays and FREE sports Picks

Reply To: 2015-16 NFL KICK OFF! – Previews. Articles , Info, Thursday 9/10/15

Home Forums NFL Service Plays 2015-16 NFL KICK OFF! – Previews. Articles , Info, Thursday 9/10/15 Reply To: 2015-16 NFL KICK OFF! – Previews. Articles , Info, Thursday 9/10/15

#2862
admin
Keymaster

Trend favors Pats in Week 1
By VI News

Betting on the defending Super Bowl champions in their Week 1 opener the following season is a well-known angle and many gamblers have banked on it.

After watching the Super Bowl champions drop back-to-back openers in 2012 and 2013, the Seattle Seahawks lived up to the betting trend and dropped Green Bay 36-16 in Week 1 last season.

Including Seattle’s win last season, the defending champions are now 13-2 straight up and 10-4-1 against the spread in Week 1 openers since 2000.

This Thursday, the popular angle that has connected at a 71 percent clip heads to Foxboro as New England begins defense of its crown against Pittsburgh.

The line has jumped around all summer due to the infamous “Deflategate” story but most betting shops have the Patriots listed as seven-point home favorites.

Quarterback Tom Brady has been upgraded to ‘probable’ and the early money at the betting counter is on the Pats.

While the angle is solid and Brady is playing, bettors could be hesitant to back New England in this spot.

Bill Belichick’s squad has gone 2-1 SU and 0-3 ATS in its last three home openers and that was against inferior teams.

2012 – Arizona (+13.5) 20 at New England 18
2013 – N.Y. Jets 10 at New England (-10.5) 13
2014 – Oakland 9 at New England (-13.5) 16

Pittsburgh hasn’t been a great investment in road openers since head coach Mike Tomlin arrived in 2007, going 3-5 SU and 2-6 ATS, which includes a run of four consecutive losses by double digits.

2014 – Pittsburgh (+2.5) 6 at Baltimore 26
2013 – Pittsburgh (+6.5) 10 at Cincinnati 20
2012 – Pittsburgh (+2.5) 19 at Denver 31
2011 – Pittsburgh (+1) 7 at Baltimore 35

The pair met two seasons ago from Gillette Stadium and New England posted a never in doubt 55-31 victory as a six-point home favorite.

Tomlin has gone 2-3 both SU and ATS in his career against Belichick, all three losses coming by 10-plus points and one of the wins came in the 2008 season when Brady was lost for the season to a knee injury.

Listed below are all of the Week 1 results for the defending Super Bowl champions from 2000.

SUPER BOWL WINNER – WEEK 1 HISTORY (2000-2014)
Year SB Winner Opponent Result
2014 Seattle (-4.5) Green Bay 36-16 (Cover)
2013 Baltimore (+7.5) at Denver 27-49 (SU Loss)
2012 N.Y. Giants (-3.5) Dallas 17-24 (SU Loss)
2011 Green Bay (-4.5) New Orleans 42-34 (Cover)
2010 New Orleans (-4.5) Minnesota 14-9 (Cover)
2009 Pittsburgh (-5) Tennessee 13-10 (ATS Loss)
2008 N.Y. Giants (-4) Washington 16-7 (Cover)
2007 Indianapolis (-5) New Orleans 41-10 (Cover)
2006 Pittsburgh (-7.5) Miami 28-17 (Cover)
2005 New England (-7.5) Oakland 30-20 (Cover)
2004 New England (-3) Indianapolis 27-24 (Push)
2003 Tampa Bay (+3) Philadelphia 17-0 (Cover)
2002 New England (PK) Pittsburgh 30-14 (Cover)
2001 Baltimore (-10) Chicago 17-6 (Cover)
2000 St. Louis (-7) Denver 41-36 (ATS Loss)