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A 5-point Carolina win would leave online books ‘absolutely crushed’ in Super Bowl 50
By Jason Logan

The big swing in betting towards the Denver Broncos has been the surprise story of the weekend for Super Bowl 50 betting. Sportsbooks in Las Vegas are reporting huge bets on the underdog, and online bookmakers are seeing a similar trend as Super Bowl 50 closes in.

Sportsbooks took one-sided action on the Carolina Panthers when Super Bowl odds hit the board two weeks ago. And it stayed that way for about a week and a half, driving the spread as high as Carolina -6, before Denver money stormed the sportsbooks Friday, Saturday and Super Sunday.

“We briefly moved to Carolina -5 last night but have since returned to -5.5,” John Lester, lines manager for Bookmaker. “More money has come in on Denver over the past couple of days as the underdog bettors didn’t see another spike they were hoping for.”

According to Lester, 70 percent of their wagers are on Carolina but just 65 percent of the money is on the Super Bowl favorite. The one-sided action on the Panthers -4.5 and -5 earlier in betting and the big money on Denver at +5.5 has Bookmaker sweating a so-called dead number heading into the “Big Game.”

“We’ll get absolutely crushed if Carolina wins this game by five points,” says Lester. “A Broncos loss but cover is the ideal scenario.”

As for the total, it was sitting as high as 45.5 points during the bye week but has since been trimmed with smarter bettors hammering the Under in Super Bowl 50. According to CarbonGaming, while the public is betting the Over, they’re having to respect the sharp money on the Under.

“Yesterday morning we adjusted the total again to 44.5 as sharp money keeps pounding the Under, and later this morning we moved the total down to 44 as the sharp action keeps coming in,” says Michael Stewart of CarbonGaming. “As we sit right now the Over is holding 65 percent of the action on the total.”