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NEWSLETTER College Football Prediction From Indian Cowboy
Take #338 Arkansas State (+10.5) over Missouri (7 p.m., Saturday, Sept. 12)
You want to see a fantastic underdog this weekend, watch Arkansas State, as they will be up and ready to face Top 25 Missouri at home. Why do you think the line is so low otherwise, and it is not an accident that 78% of the public is pounding Missouri here. It is one of the biggest trap games on the board. And as we love to fade the public by a general rule, why not take Arkansas State here? This is one of the most well-coached teams in America as they continue to have fantastic up-and-coming coaches run through the program such as Freeze or Gus Malzahn. Remember, Arkansas State went on the road and was routed by USC 6-55 and now they return home. Don’t hold that loss against Arkansas State.
The coaching staff of USC was under a lot of pressure to perform well after the drunken stupor of Coach Steve Sarkisian in what was a total embarrassment to the USC brass. So he had to show a rout, and that is what USC did. Now Arkansas State returns home, after an ugly loss, facing another Top 25 team, and they will be more than ready on primetime as they look to bounce-back here. We like Arkansas State here as a quality public fade. They are a much better team than what they showed at USC and per our models are vastly underrated coming into this game. We have State losing by 6-8 points Saturday evening.