Saturday’s Pac-12 Tips
By David Schwab
The struggling No. 16 Oregon Ducks will look to get back on track against the rival Oregon State Beavers in the featured Pac-12 matchup on this Saturday night’s college hoops schedule. On the undercard of this conference triple-header, Stanford will go on the road to face the Washington Huskies in an 8 p.m. (ET) tip and the late-game on the slate is an 11 p.m. start at Pauley Pavilion between the Colorado Buffaloes and the UCLA Bruins.
Oregon State Beavers at No. 16 Oregon Ducks (Pac-12 Network, 10 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Oregon -10 ½
Oregon State’s three-game winning streak both straight-up and against the spread came to an end last Saturday in a 83-71 loss the California Golden Bears. The total went OVER 137 ½ points in that game after staying UNDER in three of its previous four outings. The Beavers are 12-11 ATS overall with a 3-6 record ATS on the road. Freshman forward Tres Tinkle scored a team-high 22 points in the loss to Cal while senior guard Gary Payton II added 10 points and five rebounds. This season, these two have combined for 28.6 of the team’s 71 points a game.
The Ducks stumble into this game following back-to-back losses to California on the road as 1 ½-point underdogs and Stanford on the road as 6 ½-point favorites. In last Saturday’s 76-72 loss to the Cardinal, the total went OVER 143 ½ points. It also went OVER in their 83-63 loss to Cal against a closing line of 144 ½ points. Sophomore forward Dillon Brooks scored 24 points in Saturday’s losing effort and he continues to lead the team with 17.2 points per game. Oregon shot 43.1 percent from the field against Stanford after hitting 42.6 percent of its shots against the Golden Bears.
— The Beavers are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 road games and they are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games against a team with a SU winning record at home. The total has gone OVER in 10 of their last 12 games following a SU loss.
— The Ducks are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games against a team with a SU losing road record and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games overall. The total has stayed UNDER in five of their last six games at home.
— Head-to-head in this bitter rivalry, the home team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings and the total has gone OVER in the last four meetings at Oregon. Oregon State stunned the Ducks 70-57 on Jan. 3 as a 2 ½-point home underdog. The total stayed UNDER the 146 ½-point closing line.
Stanford Cardinal at Washington Huskies (Pac-12 Network, 8 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: Washington -6
Stanford followed-up its big win against Oregon with a 72-56 romp over Washington State this past Thursday as a 2 ½-point road favorite. This two-game run (SU and ATS) followed a 1-5 SU (0-5-1 ATS) slide in its previous six contests. The total has stayed UNDER in three of the last four games. The Cardinal are averaging just 69.9 points per game and they are ranked well down the list in Division I in rebounds with 34.7 a game.
The Huskies were the latest Pac-12 team to fall victim to a suddenly hot Cal Golden Bears in Thursday’s tight 78-75 loss as two-point home favorites. This was Washington’s fourth SU loss in a row while going 2-2 ATS. It is now an even 7-7 SU in conference play with a 9-5 record ATS. The total has gone OVER in five of its last seven games. The Huskies are ranked sixth in the nation in scoring with 84.3 PPG, but this average has fallen to 77.3 points during this four-game slide. Senior guard Andrew Andrews continues to lead the team with 20.5 PPG.
— The Cardinal are 1-4 ATS in their last five road games and they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games on Saturday. The total has gone OVER in four of their last five Saturday games.
— The Huskies have covered ATS in six of their last seven games following a SU loss and the total has gone OVER in eight of their last 11 home games.
— Washington has a 5-2 edge ATS in its last seven home games against Stanford and the total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last 11 meetings overall.
Colorado Buffaloes at UCLA Bruins (FOX Sports 1, 11 p.m. ET)
Opening Odds: UCLA -5
The Buffaloes are coming off a 79-72 loss to USC this past Wednesday to fall to 2-3 SU in their last five games. After closing as 7 ½-point road underdogs, it was the first time they covered during this five-game stretch. The total stayed UNDER 152 ½ points in that loss and it has stayed UNDER in four of their last six games. Senior guard Josh Scott came off the bench to score a team-high 17 points in Wednesday’s loss and he continues to lead the team in scoring with 16.7 PPG. He is also Colorado’s top shooter with a 56.2 field goal percentage.
Thursday’s 75-73 loss to Utah as a slight 1 ½-point home favorite dropped UCLA to just 2-5 SU (3-4 ATS) in its last seven games. The Bruins are now 5-8 SU in conference play while going 6-7 ATS. The total has gone OVER in nine of those 13 games. They are fifth in the Pac-12 in scoring with 78.8 PPG, but they have had their issues at the other end of the court with a defense that is giving-up 76.6 points a game. Thursday was the first time they held an opponent to fewer than 80 points in their last six losses.
— The Buffaloes are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games played on Saturday and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four road games.
— The Bruins are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games, but they have covered in six of their last eight Saturday games. The total has gone OVER in five of their last six home games.
— The home team has won the last three meetings both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in the last two games. UCLA has a 5-1 edge ATS in the last six meetings.