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Reply To: CBB • Saturday Service Plays • 2/20/16

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Georgetown won 81-72 at Xavier Jan 19, scoring 1.21 ppp, making 10 of 25 on arc, 61.6% inside arc- they’re 2-4 in series, splitting pair here, but Hoyas are 2-6 overall since that win, beating Creighton/St John’s at home. Musketeers won seven of last eight games, winning three of last four on road, with only loss by 14 at Creighton. Big East home dogs of 5 or less points are 3-5 against the spread.

Duke lost Jones (ankle) Wednesday, will likely use max of six players in this game (3 guys played 39:00+ vs UNC); they beat Louisville 72-65 in first meeting 12 days ago, outscoring Cards 15-7 over last 5:36 after they blew 15-point lead. Louisville split last six games; they can’t go play in postseason- this is their Super Bowl. Cardinals 6-1 at home in ACC- the only loss was to Virginia. ACC home favorites of 7+ points are 19-20.

North Carolina is 2-3 in last five games after losing to Duke in last game; Tar Heels lost four of last five series games- ‘canes won 68-59/63-57 in last two visits here. UNC was 1-13 on arc Wednesday; they won six of seven ACC home games (1-4-1 as HF). Miami won its last five games, with wins at Florida St/Ga Tech; their three road losses are by 8-11-16 points. ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 13-11 vs spread.

Baylor is 2-3 in last five games, losing 67-59 at home to Texas Feb 1st, its 5th loss in last seven series games- they shot 35.2%. Bears lost last three visits here, by 9-5-2 points. Baylor is 4-2 on Big X road, losing at Kansas/WV. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-4 vs spread. Texas lost two of last three games but is 7-0 at home in Big X, winning by 10+ points in three of their last four home games

Villanova is 5-0 vs Butler in Big East play; they beat Bulldogs 60-55 in first meeting Jan 10- Butler led 27-21 at half in brickfest where teams hit combined 7-30 on arc. Bulldogs lost previous two visits here, by 19-12 points. Villanova won its its last six games, is 15-1 in its last 16- they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Butler won four of last five games, is 3-4 on road in conference. Big East double digit home favorites are 9-8 vs spread.

Kentucky won its last four games, all by 10+ points, since losing pair of road games at Kansas/Tennessee; Wildcats won three of four vs Texas A&M in SEC play, winning both visits here in OT. Kentucky is 3-3 in SEC road games. Aggies lost five of last seven games, but only one of the losses was at home (81-78 to South Carolina). SEC home teams 17-14 vs spread in games with spread of 4 or less points.

Illinois State won eight of last nine games; they beat Northern Iowa by 9 at home Jan 23, making 12-30 on arc. UNI shot 60% inside arc but lost- they’ve won four of last five games with ISU, which lost last ten visits here, last four by 8+ points. Panthers won six of last seven games, with three straight home wins, by 9-3-14 points. MVC home favorites of 6 or less points are 6-10 against the spread.

Home side won last six Oklahoma-West Virginia games; Sooners lost by 5-21 in last two visits here. Oklahoma lost three of last four games after starting season 19-2; they beat West Virginia 70-68 at home Jan 16. OU outscored Mountaineers 27-13 on line in game they trailed by 7 early in second half. West Virginia is 5-5 in its last 10 games after starting year 15-1; they’re 5-1 at home in Big X, with only loss to Texas. Big X home favorites of 4 or less points are 6-2.

Cincinnati won six of last eight games, winning 58-57 at UConn Jan 28, outscoring Huskies 5-0 over last 1:27 of game. Huskies are 4-2 in last six series games, but lost last three visits here, by 5-5-12 points. Cincy won its last six home games since losing to Temple. UConn is 4-2 on road in AAC; they’ve won five of six games since loss to Cincy. AAC home favorites of less than 5 points are 6-2 against the spread.

Purdue won its last three games with Indiana by 18-16-4 points; this is only meeting of year between in-state rivals. Purdue split its last four games; they lost three of last four on road, with win by 4 at Minnesota. Hoosiers are 4-3 in last seven games; they’re 7-0 at home in conference, 5-2 as home favorites. Purdue is 0-2 as a Big 14 underdog. Big 14 home favorites of less than 5 points are 7-5 vs spread.

Gonzaga lost 70-67 at St Mary’s Jan 21, blowing 15-point second half lead; Zags shot 67.6% inside arc, but lost for first time in last eight tilts with Gaels, who lost last four visits to Spokane by 14-5-22-21 points. Zags lead St Mary’s by game in WCC. St Mary’s is 3-2 in last five games after starting season 18-2. Gonzaga won seven of last eight games; they did lose at home to BYU in a WCC game last month. WCC home faves of 7 or less points are 7-15 against the spread.

Cal-Irvine lost 74-52 at Hawai’i nine days ago; Rainbows made 14-30 on arc in game they led 38-21 at half. Hawai’i lost two of three visits here, losing by 4-15 points. Anteaters are 4-1 at home in Big West, with four wins by 9+ points- loss was to UCSB. Big West home favorites of less than 5 points are 4-9 vs spread. Hawai’i is 5-0 on road in Big West; they won their last five games and 13 of last 14, losing to Long Beach State.

Tennessee Tech outscored Belmont 34-15 over last 11:17 to beat Bruins 89-79 at home Jan 30; their 2nd win in seven OVC games with Belmont. Bruins won tough game at Eastern Kentucky Thursday; Tennessee Tech hasn’t played in a week- they lost last three visits here, by 22-2-18 pts. . OVC home favorites of 8+ points are 12-10 vs spread. Belmont split its last six games. Tech lost three of last five road games, losing by 6-7-30.