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Reply To: CBB • Saturday Service Plays • 2/20/16

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3-Unit Play. #516 Take South Carolina (-2.5)
over Florida
(12 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
The majority of the South Carolina’s success has been at home. Just the same, Florida has struggled for most this year on the road. The Gamecocks are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games, and this is a good spot for them to get another win on their home floor to break a mini two game losing streak. Carolina is scoring nearly 81 points per game at home, while Florida has only put up 62 in games on the road. Gamecocks take this one over the Gators.

3-Unit Play. #535 Take Central Michigan (-1)
over Western Michigan
(2 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
I’ll take the small favorite in this one. CMU is the better team this year, and they’ve shown it with two MAC wins against conference teams in the RPI Top 100. Between these two in-state rivals, I see Central coming out on top this time.

3-Unit Play. #567 Take Southern Illinois (+7.5)
over Evansville
(4 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
These are two pretty even Missouri Valley teams, and I don’t see more than a basket or two between them. SIU has been one of our most consistent bets all season, and we’ve cashed them a handful of times winning outright as a road underdog. The Salukis are 9-2 in away spots this year, 8-2 ATS in their last ten road games. Evansville is just 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite. The Purple Aces won in Carbondale in the first meeting in overtime, so here is a great chance to return the favor. The away team has won four of the past five meetings, so home court doesn’t really matter much between these two. SIU is fully capable of winning this game outright. They’ll battle for that win and cover the spread in a close, back-and-forth game throughout.

3-Unit Play. #572 Take Texas-San Antonio (Pk)
over Southern Miss
(4 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
We’re going to step out on a limb with 4-23 UTSA. Southern Miss has lost its last three road games is just 2-9 away from home this season. The Roadrunners should see this one as a very winnable game, as UTSA is scoring 74 points per game at home, while USM is averaging only 56 points in road games. Also, this happens to be Senior Day for the home team, who finish the regular season with three road games after this afternoon’s game. That should provide enough momentum and further interest to wrap up the home schedule with a victory and finish on a high note. The home team has won each of the last four meetings, and UTSA continues that with another on their home floor.

3-Unit Play. #575 Take San Francisco (-1.5)
over Loyola Marymount
(4 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
We cashed the Dons in a big win on Thursday in a 7U win as they won outright as a nine-point underdog at Pepperdine. Let’s get on them again for another victory here. LMU is just 11-16 overall and 4-12 in WCC play. San Francisco has been a reliable road bet over the last few years, going 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 on the road. LMU is 2-7 ATS in their last nine overall. Loyola’s top scorer Adom Jacko has missed the last two games, and he is again questionable to play here. Even more value to the Dons without him in this one.

**7-Unit** Play. #616 Take Fresno State (-4.5)
over Utah State
(6 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
Fresno State has been a dominant team at home this season. 13-2 so far, including four wins over RPI Top 150 teams. Utah State is a poor road team (4-6) and overall a medicore 13-11 on the year. The Aggies have lost each of their last three road games in the Mountain West by an average of 12 points, and their six road losses this year have been by an average of over 16 points. Fresno has covered each of their last three home games, and two were actually as an underdog in wins over first place San Diego State as well as UNLV. This time they are obvious favorites against a team that hasn’t proven themselves away from home. The favorite is 9-1-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Bulldogs take the clear edge this time around. Utah State hasn’t been good enough on the road over the last month, and it won’t be any different today in Northern California. This Bulldogs team is a confident bunch on their home floor. Playmakers like Marvelle Harris (19.9 ppg), Paul Watson, Cezar Guerrero and Karachi Edo make this team a versatile squad. They’ll be too much at home for the Aggies and pull away into the second half. Fresno State with more good at home, 81-68.

3-Unit Play. #683 Take Tennessee Tech (+8.5)
over Belmont
(6 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
It can be a pretty dangerous proposition to bet against the Bruins at home, but right now they aren’t playing well enough considering Tech has been just as good in the league. The Golden Eagles were good enough to beat Belmont by ten in the first meeting, but the Bruins are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight overall. Belmont has failed to cover each of their last four home league games, and Tech will be motivated to leapfrog them for first place in the East division. This one will be close, a match-up of the two best teams in the conference. Take the points and a live underdog here.

3-Unit Play. #688 Take Wofford (-2.5)
over Furman
(6 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
We’ve been quite selective with Wofford in conference play and won in some good spots with them. The Terriers are in another good spot today, at home where they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last five on campus. 10-2 overall at home while Furman is just 3-9 on the road, as they have done most of their damage at home. Wofford has won each of the past five meetings at home (4-1 ATS). The Paladins are also 6-13 ATS in their last 19 road games following a home stand of at least three games. Give me the home Terriers to continue their success on their own floor against Furman.

3-Unit Play. #605 Take Duquesne (+8.5)
over Rhode Island
(7 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
Both teams have losing records in A-10 play and are hovering just a bit over .500 overall on the year. But Rhode Island definitely shouldn’t be laying this heavy of a number. The Rams are just 4-6 SU in their last ten games and really an inconsistent team. The road team is 15-1 ATS in their last 16 meetings, not to mention the underdog has also gone 14-2 ATS in those games as well. The Dukes are the better offensive team, and they’ll be in this one late with a chance to win outright. Play the points and the road team here.

3-Unit Play. #614 Take Marshall (-4)
over Old Dominion
(7 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
There might not be a more confident team in the country right now than the Thundering Herd at home. Marshall are 7-3 ATS and SU in their last ten, and over their last five games they have averaged 95.6 per game. Marshall is 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and ODU doesn’t have the offense to keep the pace that the home team wants to set on their own floor. The Herd have covered their last five home games against teams with losing road records while Old Dominion is 7-18-1 ATS in their last 25 games against teams with a winning record. The hot hand stays hot with Marshall minus the number at home.

3-Unit Play. #621 Take Missouri (+13)
over Arkansas
(7:30 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
On paper this bet seems silly, betting on Mizzou who are winless on the road and just 3-10 in SEC play. Well, on principle this should be a fade against Arkansas, who lost last time out at home to Auburn as a 16.5-point favorite. The Razorbacks are 12-14 overall on the year, so where is the proof for them to be such heavy favorites. The Hogs are 0-3 SU and ATS in their last three, while the Tigers have covered each of their last four league games, including road underdog spots at Vanderbilt and Alabama. And considering Mizzou was thrashed in the first meeting at home to Arkansas by 33, there will be some extra incentive to get some payback along with their first road win of the year. Take Missouri plus the points here.

3-Unit Play. #701 Take Eastern Washington (-3.5)
over Portland State
(10 p.m., Saturday, February 20)
The Eagles are in cruise mode. EWU has won seven straight in the league to put them just 1.5 games behind co-leaders Weber State and Montana. After a rough non-conference which saw the Eagles travel a ton, they have made waves at home in league play. They beat Portland State in the first meeting less than a month ago by 29, and again they have all the momentum. Five in a row against the number for EWU, and here is six straight as they take care of the Vikings.

Best of Luck – Strike Point Sports