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Reply To: CBB • Saturday Service Plays • 2/20/16

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#31870
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Nevada (657) vs. UNLV(658)
February 20, 2016 – 10:00 PM

Pick: Your pick @ -5.5 -105 UNLV
Expert:Steve Merril
Evaluation:Feb 20 – 10:00 PM
Star Rating:9.0
Reason For Pick:
Nevada has been a surprise this season; the Wolfpack come into tonight’s game at UNLV with a a 16-9 record. But they’ve played much better basketball at home. Nevada is just 5-7 in true road games where they’ve allowed 76.4 points per game. The Wolfpack will be playing a back-to-back road set here, and it will be the second time this season in which they come in off a previous road win. The last time they were in this situation, Nevada played poorly in the second road game. They lost by 9 points at Colorado State after shooting just 38.7% (24-62) from the field and 33.3% (7-21) from three-point land. The Wolfpack beat UNLV 65-63 on their home court earlier this season, but that’s unimpressive considering the Rebels have won just one game all season when held to less than 70 points. UNLV led that game by 9 points with 10 minutes left to play, so they were in control of that game on Nevada’s home court.
UNLV returns home off a 79-74 loss at Air Force on Tuesday night. That game can be easily dismissed as Air Force was hell bent on revenge after getting embarrassed 100-64 by UNLV earlier in the season. UNLV is now back at home, and we expect a strong bounce back performance tonight. The Rebels are averaging 78.2 points per game at home this season, and they will get their preferred fast pace against a poor Nevada defense. UNLV’s defense is only allowing 68.7 points per game on 41.7% shooting from the field and 32.5% shooting from three-point land at home. We expect a peak performance by UNLV here, so we’ll lay the points with the Rebels in this game on Saturday night.
9* Play UNLV (-).