Miami Heat -2.5
Miami Heat should be getting Dwayne Wade back today, as he went through the full shoot-around in the morning. On the other side, the Pacers will be without CJ Miles (doubtful) and potentially without George Hill (questionable, with a sprained elbow). With Stuckey already out, that could be three key scorers out at one time for Indy, and at the very least two. Playing on a b2b and 3in4, while coming off two hard-fought wins @ OKC and @ ORL, this is a let-down spot for the Pacers. They are only 3-7 ATS in b2b spots this year. Their depth will be severely depleted in this one and if Hill misses the game, I just don’t see them scoring enough to stay with the Heat. Pacers are a mediocre rebounding team and they’re already at a disadvantage, facing a guy like Whiteside tonight. In addition, the Heat rank 4th in defensive FT-rate allowed, meaning they rarely give up ‘free’ points to their opponent at the charity stripe. Pacers will need to score from the field tonight in order to win the game, and being in a fatigue spot while missing a number of offensive pieces, greatly reduces their chances of doing just that. Miami with a well-rested Wade should come away with a home victory in this one.