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Reply To: SPORTS • Tuesday Service Plays • 2/23/16

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Clubgowi – Newsletter

Champions League:
PICK Arsenal – Barcelona
Over 3 (+105)

am not going to say too much about this game, most of you will know as much (more ?) than I do about the two clubs and they certainly know each other well enough, with this their eighth Champions League meeting. Both teams have scored in the previous seven and I definitely expect that to again be the case this evening, the Gunners have won one, two draws and four Barcelona wins and if I had to pick, I would stick with those trends and say that BTS and the visitors to win , which is priced at circa 3.10-3.25 was the best “non asian” bet on offer. Are Messi, Sanchez and Neymar the best offensive trio of all time ? Probably, I can’t think of a better one in my lifetime and the truth is that the Gunners will probably need to score twice this evening to give themselves any real chance of progressing over the two legs. We have spoken a lot over the last 12 months about the value of an away goal and all the big, experienced European teams know this and Barce who have made 7 of the last 8 CL semis are 15-2-2 in the copetition in the last two seasons , scoring at least once in each game. Arsenal have scored in their last 13, but have lost in the Round of 16 for five yeras running and in their home leg in the last three they have lost each by two goals , including 3-1 losses to Monaco and Bayren Munich and that correct score (1-3 at odds of 13.0-14.0 ) certainly makes some appeal ( I am already waiting for the email from Mr “But how will I know what to bet” !). Barce have scored 30 in their last ten starts , but have also conceded in eight of those, last h2h meetings have averaged 4.25 goals and my suggested “official” bet would have been a winner four times and seen stakes returned twice.