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Reply To: CBB • Tuesday Service Plays • 2/23/16

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Boise State -6.5

Analysis:First off, UNLV isn’t very good on the road. The Rebels are 2-8 in true away contests this season. They’ve failed to cover in their last four road matchups.

Second, the Rebels are near depleted. Already down big men Stephen Zimmerman and Ben Carter, their two leading rebounders, the Rebels now won’t have key reserve Dwayne Morgan, who had been averaging close to 20 minutes. He’s out with a shoulder injury. That leaves the Rebels down to six scholarship players.

The third key factor here is the situation. UNLV is off a crazy overtime victory against in-state rival Nevada this past Saturday at home. The Rebels tied the game on a 3-pointer by Patrick Macaw right before the buzzer sending the game into overtime.

The spot is a double edge sword because not only do the Rebels have to come down from that high, pulling out a game against their most hated rival, but Boise State is rested, ready and has revenge. The Broncos last played on Wednesday. They blew a 76-61 lead to lose on the road to New Mexico in their last game.

So not only are the Broncos itching to erase that stench, but have payback for a 10-point road loss to the Rebels. UNLV had Zimmerman and Carter in that matchup. The two combined for 28 points and 19 rebounds in that game.

Boise State is up-tempo. The Rebels are going to be hard-pressed to keep up with the Broncos being short-handed and at a tough road venue.