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Reply To: NBA • Tuesday Service Plays • 2/23/16

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Steve Merril

(3% play) DENVER -1.5 (vs. Sacramento) – 9:05 pm ET #708
Sacramento and Denver just played on Friday night with the Kings winning 116-110 on their home court. Sacramento shot 49.4% (41-83) from the field, 47.6% (10-21) from three-point land, and 77.4% (24-31) from the free throw line and they only won that game by 6 points at home. The Kings also had five players score in double figures, including three starters scoring 24 points or more. Despite all that, the Kings only won the game by two possessions, and that does not bode well for tonight’s rematch in Denver. The Kings have played just one game since the All-Star break; that came with 8 full days of rest. Sacramento comes into tonight’s game with another 3 full days of rest, but that is not a good thing, especially since they’ll be playing in the thin air and altitude of Denver. Teams with limited conditioning have an extremely difficult time playing in altitude, and we expect that to be a major factor in this game, especially in the second half.

Denver has lost both of their games since the All-Star break. The Nuggets lost the aforementioned game in Sacramento, and they lost to the Celtics at home on Sunday night. Despite losing, the Nuggets have a scheduling edge since they are back into their rhythm with two games played since the long layoff. Denver will be playing just their third home game since February 5th, and since they lost their last home game, we expect a peak performance tonight. Prior to their recent home loss, the Nuggets were 3-1 SU in their other four home games with their offensive averaging 109 points per game. Denver’s offense will have little trouble scoring on a terrible Sacramento defense that is allowing 111.5 points per game on 46.5% shooting from the field and 38.7% shooting from three-point land on the road this season. Denver is in a good bounce back spot, so we’ll back the Nuggets in this game on Tuesday night.

Play NUGGETS (-) as a 3% play.

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