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Reply To: CBB • Tuesday Service Plays • 2/23/16

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Steve Merril

(3% play) FLORIDA -3 (vs. Vanderbilt) – 7:00 pm ET (SECN) #728
Vanderbilt comes into tonight’s game at Florida with a 16-11 SU record, but 12 of those wins have come on their home court. The Commodores are just 2-8 SU in true road games this season, and tonight’s game will be an extremely difficult challenge. Vanderbilt is a team that needs to play ultra fast in order to be at their best. The Commodores play an up-tempo style that gives them a lot of easy baskets in transition. But when they are unable to play at a fast pace, Vanderbilt’s offense struggles mightily in the half court. The Commodores will not get their preferred style of play tonight against Florida. Vanderbilt is 0-7 SU on the road this season when held to less than 70 points with their average loss coming by -9.1 points per game. Vanderbilt barely beat Florida 60-59 at home earlier this season, but that was on their strong home court and it was their only win of the season when held to less than 70 points.

Florida returns home off back-to-back road games with their last being a 73-69 overtime loss at South Carolina. The Gators also lost their previous home game, so we expect a supreme effort tonight. Florida is 12-2 SU at home this season where they own a terrific +15.1 point differential. Florida plays a very sound, half court style of basketball that simply frustrates their opponents, especially the teams that like to play up-tempo. The Gators play at one of the slowest paces in the country, and they combine that with a solid defense that is holding opponents to 38.7% shooting from the field and 33.3% shooting from three-point land at home. Florida’s style will frustrate Vanderbilt, so we’ll lay the points with the Gators in this game on Tuesday night.

Play FLORIDA (-) as a 3% play.

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28-9 (76%) All-Sports run.