DOC SPORTS
8* Nevada +11.5
4* LSU -4
4* Boise St -2.5
4* IOWA ST. +3.5
4* Rutgers -3
8 Unit Play. #372/#378 Take Nevada Wolf Pack +11.5 over Arizona Wildcats (Saturday 7 pm CBSSN)
Nonconference Game of the Year!
We saw last week that many power five teams struggled to put away and cover the spread against mid-majors in true road games. Tonight we have a line that is way off the mark as Arizona is not the team they were last year. These two teams have met twice in the last three years, and both times Arizona was a big favorite but Nevada covered the game with relative ease. That included losing by just seven points last year in Tucson despite being a 19-point underdog. Arizona looked awful against UTSA last week, and this is a Roadrunner team that returned just 6 of 22 starters from a 4-win team last year.
Arizona got two defensive touchdowns but gave up 29 first downs and 525 total yards to UTSA. Nevada always prides themselves on holding onto the football and winning the turnover battle, and if they accomplish this they will take this game right down to the wire. Nevada’s game against UC-Davis was a little misleading as they gave up two late meaningless scores to make the game closer than what it actually was.
Nevada has a solid defense, and despite breaking in a new quarterback should be able to move the football on this suspect Wildcat defense. Throw in the fact that Arizona will be without PAC-12 Defensive Player of the Year in Scooby Wright and that just means this line is way off the mark. Take the points and I truly believe Nevada has a great chance to win this game straight-up. 9 of Arizona’s last 13 wins have come by less than today’s posted number.
