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Reply To: CBB • Wednesday Service Plays • 3/9/16

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ACC tournament (Washington DC)
Syracuse lost four of last five games; Joe Lunardi thinks they’re done if they lose here. Pitt swept Orangemen this year, 72-61 at home, 66-52 on road (SU 12-41 on arc in two games) Panthers won Big East tourney in ’08- they’re 3-7 in conference tourneys since then (79-47 during regular season), 3-6 in last nine games overall- they are a bubble team with loss here. Syracuse is 7-3 in its first tourney game the last eleven years.

Duke is 11-7 in ACC, its worst mark since 8-8 in ’07- they lost in first round in OT to NC State that year. Duke is 7-1 in first tourney games since then. Wolfpack got waxed twice by Duke this year, 88-80 on road, 88-78 at home- Blue Devils were 24-53 on arc in those games. NC State is 0-7 in game after its last seven wins, with five losses by 10+- they are 8-4 in ACC tourney last 4+ years; Pack used three kids 34+ minutes in win over Wake Tuesday.

Clemson/Georgia Tech split pair of games this year, Tigers won 66-52 at home Feb 13, lost 75-73 on road 10 days later (blew 13-point lead in last 16:09). Tech won five of last six games after 3-9 start in ACC; they are 1-5 in ACC tourney last five years. Clemson is 2-7 in this event the last seven years- their last 10 losses in ACC tournament were all by 5 points or less. Tigers are 5-7 in last 12 games, after an encouraging 12-6 start.

Virginia Tech is 10-8 in ACC after going 12-58 the previous four years. Florida State lost 83-73 in Blacksburg Feb 20 after leading 45-37 at the half; Hokies made 11-19 on arc, scored 1.24 ppp. Seminoles won three games in row after a 5-game skid in late February; since ’03, they’re 2-6 in their second game of ACC tourneys. Tech has broken thru in second year with Buzz Williams as coach; they’re 6-3 in their first ACC tourney game. Hokies won last five games, beating Pitt/Miami in last two.

SEC tournament (Nashville)
Bruce Pearl’s Auburn team was decimated by injuries/suspensions; they split with Tennessee (Pearl’s old team), winning 83-77 at home, making 12-26 on arc, losing 71-45 in Knoxville, scoring 0.67 ppp. Vols are 7-1 in first tourney game last eight years; Barnes was 5-7 in Big X tourneys his last seven years at Texas. Auburn won three games to get to semis LY; they had been 1-9 in SEC tourney before Pearl got there, but Auburn is 2-11 in its last 13 games overall. .

Big 12 tournament (Kansas City)
ESPN has Texas Tech a 7-seed after going 9-9 in Big X, but win here will let them sleep well rest of week. Raiders swept TCU this year, 76-69 on road, 83-79 at home, scoring 1.17/1.30 ppp vs Frogs. Tech is just 1-4 in Big X tourney last four years; TCU is 2-8 in last eight. Raiders are 6-2 in last eight games- they’re 9-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Frogs lost last seven games, with four losses by 14+- their last win away from its home court was Dec 23 against a terrible Bradley team. .

Mountain West tournament (Las Vegas)
Wyoming won Mountain West tourney LY after going 11-7 in regular season; they were 2-7 in this event seven years before that. Cowboys hit 20-38 on arc (1.40 ppp) in 84-65 win over Utah State, only meeting in series this year. Wyoming is 2-4 since beating USU- they’re 4-2 against Aggies in MW games. Utah State is 1-4 in last four conference tourneys; they’re 4-3 in last seven games overall, after starting out 3-8 in MW.

UNLV’s roster has been decimated by injury/suspensions; they lost by 5 at Air Force after crushing Flyboys 100-64 in first meeting, when they were at full strength. Air Force is 3-13 in MW tourney since ’03- they upset New Mexico in first round LY. UNLV last won this event in ’08; they’re 7-7 since, winning its first tourney game last six years, with four games by 12+ points. Air Force lost last three games, by 1-13-14 points.

Colorado State swept San Jose State this year, 85-84 in OT on road Jan 9, then 74-66 at home 18 days later, despite Spartans shooting 56%+ on 2-pointers in both games. Rams won first MW tourney game in three of last four years; they lost five of last seven games overall. San Jose upset Boise State last game, ending 6-game skid; they’re 0-3 in tourneys in last four years- they didn’t play LY. Rams had 29 offensive rebounds in two games vs San Jose this year, despite shooting 50%+ inside arc.

Pac-12 tournament (MGM, Las Vegas)
Washington beat Stanford 64-53 in only meeting this year, shooting 63% inside arc in game that was tied at half. Huskies lost six of their last eight games after starting 7-3 in Pac-12; they’re 1-4 in Pac-12 tourney last four years, with all five games decided by 6 or less points. Stanford lost six of last seven road games, getting swept in Arizona LW; Cardinal is 6-2 in its first Pac-12 tourney game the last eight years, with losses by total of three points. .

Colorado swept Washington State this year, 75-70 on road, 88-81 in two OTs at home (outscored WSU 31-11 on line); Coogs shot 55%+ inside arc in both games. Buffaloes are 10-4 in conference tourneys the last five years, 5-0 in its first tourney game. Coogs are 0-6 in this event the last six years, losing by 11-25 points last two years; Wazzu lost 16 games in row overall, since upsetting UCLA at home Jan 3. ESPN has Colorado as a 9-seed in NCAAs; this is a must-win for them.

USC swept UCLA this year. 89-75 in Westwood, 80-61 at home; they led games by 18-11 points at halftime, but Trojans lost six of last eight games overall, haven’t won outside of LA since Jan 1 at Wazzu. UCLA lost four in row, 9 of last 12 games; they’re 6-2 in first round of Pac-12 tourney last eight years, 6-2 overall in tourney last three years. Trojans are 1-4 in this event last four years, with three of last four tourney tilts decided by three points. .

Arizona State went 5-13 in Hurley’s first season in Pac-12, losing five of last six games; ASU whacked Oregon State 86-68 in only meeting- they made 11-24 on arc, 70% inside arc, scored 1.21 ppp. Oregon State is 6-3 in last nine games, is bubble team, needs this game; they’re 0-3 in Pac-12 tourney last three years, losing by 6-14-7 points. Frosh F Tinkle was on crutches in LA last week, status is ?? Sun Devils are 1-6 in tourney last six years, with only win by point in OT.