Your Source for Service Plays and FREE sports Picks

Reply To: CBB • Saturday Service Plays • 3/12/16

Home Forums NCAA BB Service Plays CBB • Saturday Service Plays • 3/12/16 Reply To: CBB • Saturday Service Plays • 3/12/16

#35250
admin
Keymaster

Saturday’s Betting Notebook
By Brian Edwards

— Michigan and Indiana served as an excellent appetizer for Friday’s shenanigans in conference tournaments from coast to coast. We saw just about everything you can witness in a day of watching hoops. There were blown leads, backdoor covers, buzzer-beaters from beyond half court and off the glass, coaching debacles, complete no-shows, heartbreakers, overtimes and even one four-OT thriller. IU, the Big Ten regular-season champ, was in a tight battle with Michigan to start the day at noon Eastern. The Hoosiers, who closed as 7.5-point favorites at most books, appeared to create a tad bit of separation when they went ahead 66-61 with 2:26 left on a Troy Williams layup. With an and-one opportunity to potentially go ahead six, bettors on IU had to feel decent about their chances. However, Williams missed the free throw, Michigan secured an offensive rebound after a miss at the other end and took advantage when Duncan Robinson converted a three-point play the hard way. Robinson’s heroics trimmed the deficit to two at the 1:50 mark. After trading a bucket for a pair of free throws, IU’s Yogi Ferrell made just 1-of-2 at the charity stripe. Down three, Robinson tied the game with a trey at the 53-second mark. When IU committed a turnover, the Wolverines were able to hold the ball for the last shot. Derrick Walton kicked to Kameron Chatman in the corner and he buried a buzzer-beating 3-pointer. When the refs went to review the clock, they put 0.2 seconds back on but it wouldn’t matter. Michigan collected a 72-69 win, hooking up money-line backers with a +320 payout (paid $320 on $100 wagers).

— Michigan has to feel great about its at-large hopes after the win over Indiana, but it can remove all doubt with a win today in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis. John Beilein’s team will take on the Purdue Boilermakers, who were 7.5-point favorites as of early Saturday morning. Matt Painter’s team blasted Illinois 89-58 as an 11.5-point favorite to advance to the semifinals.

— The other Big Ten semifinal will pit Maryland against Michigan State There was no early line as of early this morning. The Terrapins captured a 97-86 win over Nebraska as eight-point ‘chalk.’ They led by as many as 25, only to allow the Cornhuskers to get within six and ahead of the number with 1:37 remaining. Tim Miles’s team would get no closer, though, and the Terps closed the game with five straight free throws. Jake Layman scored 26 points and Diamond Stone finished with 23 points and eight rebounds. Melo Trimble scored 16 points, handed out eight assists and pulled down seven rebounds.

— Michigan State made quick work of Ohio State for the second time in a week, cruising to an 81-54 win to end any hopes of an NCAA bid for the Buckeyes. The Spartans took the cash easily as 13-point favorites. They have now covered the spread in 12 consecutive games. These teams met once during the regular season, with Tom Izzo’s team winning a 74-65 decision over Maryland as a four-point home favorite at Breslin Center on Jan. 23. Michigan State is 11-1 SU and 12-0 ATS since then, suffering its only loss by one in overtime at Purdue. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS.

— The ‘over’ is 8-2 in Michigan State’s last 10 games.

— Texas A&M advanced to the SEC Tournament semifinals by capturing a 72-66 win over Florida. Wagers on the side and total were completely determined by when gamblers placed their bets. Most spots opened the Aggies as four-point favorites with a total of 140. But most shops closed Texas A&M as a favorite of 5.5 or six points. The total closed anywhere from 136 to 137.5 points. Tyler Davis led the winners with 15 points and eight rebounds. Danuel House also had 15 points, but he was 5-of-20 from the field and took a terrible shot early in the possession leading by four with less than a minute remaining. UF would cut the deficit to two on a pair of free throws by Kasey Hill with 30 ticks left. But the Aggies made a pair of free throws and then forced a turnover that led to a run-out layup to seal the deal.

— Texas A&M will take on LSU today at 1:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. William Hill opened the Aggies as seven-point favorites, while several offshores had the total at 150 on the send-out. The Tigers beat Tennessee 84-75 in a game that was closer than the final score indicated. Playing its third game in as many days against a fresh LSU squad, UT simply ran out of gas in the final five minutes. LSU took advantage and covered as a 4.5-point favorite.

— Kentucky rolled past Alabama 85-59 as a 13-point favorite. The Wildcats also covered the spread for first-half bets as seven-point ‘chalk.’ They are now 7-4 ATS in their last 11 games as double-digit favorites. Jamal Murray led the way against the Crimson Tide with 23 points and four assists. Alex Poythress finished with 20 points and seven rebounds, draining 4-of-5 from 3-point range.

— UK will face Georgia in the second SEC semifinal at around 3:30 p.m. Eastern today. These teams played once during the regular season with the ‘Cats coasting to an easy 82-48 win as 13-point favorites. Mark Fox’s team played from behind nearly all night Friday against South Carolina, which was playing without star Michael Carrera due to a hip injury. UGA didn’t take its first lead of the game until late in the second half. Trailing by two at crunch time, J.J. Frazier found himself double-teamed out near half court with 7-8 seconds left on the shot clock. The lightning-fast junior point guard still had his dribble, though, and somehow sliced through both defenders, maneuvered into the lane and made a wild floater in traffic to tie the game with 24 seconds remaining. On S-Carolina’s ensuing possession, Sindarius Thornwell tried to penetrate but Frazier tapped the ball away and then secured the loose ball in a scramble before being fouled with 2.1 seconds left. Frazier made the first free throw to put the Bulldogs in front before Fox wisely called his last timeout. As he and every other coach should always do in this situation (keep in mind that Frank Martin was out of timeouts), Fox instructed Frazier to miss the second free throw on purpose while making sure to hit the rim. In this scenario, the opponent is forced to heave a 75-80 footer. If Frazier were to make the second free throw, South Carolina would’ve had the same chance Oklahoma would get about 20 minutes later (more on this below). Instead, the Gamecocks made a pass after rebounding Frazier’s miss and didn’t get a shot off. UGA beat South Carolina for the third time this year, 65-64, as a 1.5-point underdog. Frazier finished with 20 points one night after scoring 28 in a win over Mississippi State. Yante Maten added 17 points and 12 boards.

— Iowa State. pulled out an improbable backdoor cover in its loss to Oklahoma on Thursday. It was Baylor’s turn to pull the same trick Friday night at Sprint Center in Kansas City. Scott Drew’s team trailed by 16 with 1:50 left, yet it was able to cut the deficit to three with eight ticks left. Kansas would prevail by a 70-66 count, but Baylor posted an improbable backdoor cover as a 7.5-point underdog. The Jayhawks face West Virginia in the Big 12 finals tonight at 6:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

— I’ve always been a big fan of Bob Huggins and will remain so for a long time (if not forever). With that said, I lost a lot of respect for his coaching acumen late Friday night in KC. Jaysean Paige’s midrange jumper with 11.1 seconds remaining put West Virginia up 68-67 on Oklahoma. After a miss by OU’s Christian James, Jonathan Holton snared the rebound and was fouled with 1.8 left. Twenty minutes before in a similar situation, Mark Fox’s coaching savvy was on full display when he directed J.J. Frazier to miss as described above. Huggins did no such thing. Hell, it didn’t even occur to him. After Holton missed the first free throw, he made the second. Big mistake! Now OU can throw the ball down the court without dripping clock. The Sooners inbounded to Buddy Hield, who took two quick dribbles and went into the air at half court. A WVU defender caused Hield to lean a little in mid-air before releasing the shot, which kissed home off the glass. The refs counted it to give Oklahoma the win. But in real-time, I didn’t think Hield got the shot off, just as I had thought Thursday on Wade Baldwin’s buzzer shot for Vanderbilt. As Brent Musberger and Fran Fraschilla went nuts and Hield jumped into the crowd and celebrated, I tweeted, “I don’t think he got it off in time.” Moments later, Musberger recognized the refs going to look at the replay. After a long delay, the shot was waved off to give WVU a 69-67 win as a 1.5-point favorite. Jevon Carter scored a game-high 26 points in honor of his late grandmother on her birthday. The Mountaineers will be underdogs to KU in their first appearance in the Big 12 Tournament finals.

— Providence and Villanova squared off in the first Big East Tournament semifinal Friday at Madison Square Garden in New York City. One night after dropping 38 points on Butler, PU’s Ben Bentil fouled out with 9:40 remaining and only three points. But his dismissal from the game with PU down 11 seemingly ignited his teammates. The Friars went on a 12-3 run to cut the Wildcats’ lead to two with 6:59 remaining. But Ryan Arcidiacono (15 pts., seven boards, four assists and two steals) and Kris Jenkins (21 pts.) were too much for the Friars, who nonetheless covered the number as 8.5-point underdogs.

— Villanova will collide with Seton Hall in tonight’s Big East finals at MSG in NYC. The Pirates improved to 11-2 ATS with eight outright wins in their last 13 games as underdogs by beating Xavier, 87-83. Kevin Willard’s squad hooked up money-line backers with a +190ish return. Khadeen Carrington led the way with 23 points and seven rebounds, while Isaiah Whitehead finished with 20 points, eight assists and five boards. The Hall is in the Big East Finals for the first time since 1993 during the P.J. Carlesimo Era. This game will tip at 5:30 p.m. Eastern on Fox Sports 1.

— North Carolina smashed Notre Dame by a 78-47 count as a 7.5-point favorite to advance to the ACC Tourney finals. The Tar Heels will meet Virginia at 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN. The Cavaliers nearly blew a spread cover due to uncharacteristic misses at the charity stripe in the final minute. UVA controlled its semifinals showdown against Miami from the opening jump, yet the Hurricanes made it interesting late, especially for our purposes. In fact, a UM layup with three seconds left cut the deficit to three. Fortunately for UVA backers like me, UM fouled immediately and Malcolm Brogdon drained both of the ensuing free throws. Brogdon’s makes gave the Cavs a 73-68 win as four-point ‘chalk,’ but their backers didn’t cash until a Miami half-court heave was off the mark at the horn.

— Virginia beat UNC 79-74 as a 2.5-point home favorite on Feb. 27. The 153 combined points sailed ‘over’ the 137-point total. Brogdon dropped 26 points on the Tar Heels.

— How did we wait this long to get to the AAC Tournament?! UConn and Cincinnati squared off with the Bearcats looking for a third win this season over the Huskies, who are on the proverbial bubble and almost certainly had to have a win to keep their at-large hopes alive. Those hopes seemed completely dashed when Cincy’s Kevin Johnson drained a deep trey from the left wing with 0.8 seconds left in the third overtime. But the Bearcats were too busy showboating when the game wasn’t over. Therefore, Jalen Adams was able to get a running start, catch the inbounds pass and get a clean look at about a 60-footer. Adam’s shot went off the glass and in to force a fourth extra session. What?! For a minute, I thought we might have the makings of a challenger for the best game ever in ANY conference-tournament game (with apologies to Maryland-N.C. State in 1974), which obviously was the six-OT thriller won by Syracuse over UConn in 2009 at MSG. But the Huskies went to work in the fourth OT and pulled away for a 104-97 win as two-point underdogs. Daniel Hamilton had 32 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists for the winners. In the losing effort, Troy Caupain tallied 37 points, 10 boards, three steals and five assists without a turnover in 56 minutes of playing time.

— UConn will face Temple at 3:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2. Most spots had the Huskies favored by three early this morning. Five UConn players logged 43 minutes or more against the Bearcats, so fatigue will be an issue. Hamilton played 55 minutes, Sterling Gibbs went for 54 and Rodney Purvis was on the floor for 49 minutes.

— I mentioned a no-show earlier, remember? That honor goes to Tulsa, which went into the AAC quarterfinals on the bubble and needing a win over Memphis. Josh Pastner had never won an AAC Tourney game previously, but that changed Friday. The Tigers destroyed the Golden Hurricane from start to finish in an 89-67 shellacking as five-point underdogs. You know, that sort of beatdown couldn’t get dealt to a better guy than Frank Haith. Here’s to you, Frankie!

— So what does Memphis get next? How about 10th-seeded Tulane? Come again?! That’s right, Tulane is still alive. Even though CBSSports.com’s Gary Parrish reported early Friday that Tulane coach Ed Conroy was about to taste a pink slip, that dismissal hasn’t taken place yet. Conroy’s team beat Houston 72-69 as a 12.5-point underdog to advance to the AAC semifinals. Hey, just up the road in Baton Rouge a few months ago, Les Miles was on his way out the door at LSU. I tell you what, Mr. Conroy. You beat Memphis today and my money says you’ll still be the Green Wave’s coach next week and next year. And if you pull a Dennis Felton circa 2008 SEC Tournament and win the AAC and get to the NCAA Tourney (minus the tornado and venue switch like that ’08 weekend in Atlanta), your AD will be handing you an extension offer in the next two weeks.

— How late did the action go into this morning at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. By the time Utah knocked off California 82-78 as a 2.5-point favorite in overtime, it was 2:36 a.m. Eastern. The Utes forced OT thanks to Lorenzo Bonam’s driving layup that barely beat the buzzer to tie the game. Jakob Poeltl scored five of his game-high 29 points in OT.

— Utah will face Oregon in the Pac-12 finals at 10:00 p.m. Eastern tonight on Fox Sports 1. The Ducks inexplicably needed an extra session to dispose of Arizona. The Wildcats, who trailed by as many as 17 in the second half, hit a three to pull within one with 0.8 seconds left. Then the Ducks threw the inbounds pass right to UA’s Mark Tollefsen. They did what?! Tollefsen goes straight up but misses at the buzzer. But wait….there was a whistle. Really?! Yes, Oregon fouled him. With a chance to win at the line, Tollefsen missed the first, only to make the second to force the extra session. Nevertheless, Dana Altman’s team won 95-89 in OT in a pick ‘em affair, but only after taking months (if not years) off of Altman’s life.

— John Calipari announced Friday that sophomore point guard Tyler Ulis will turn pro after this season.

— What a day of college basketball – an all-timer for sure!