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Reply To: NBA • Saturday Service Plays • 3/12/16

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Steve Merrill’s | NBA Sides – Saturday, Mar 12 2016 7:35PM

#710 MIL -5.5(-108) vs #709 NOP
‘single-dime bet’

Analysis:New Orleans comes into tonight’s game in Milwaukee on a back-to-back set after playing in Memphis last night. The Pelicans lost that game 121-114 in overtime after blowing a 99-97 lead with 58 seconds left to play in regulation time. That type of loss comes with a hangover, especially for a bad team that played a lot of minutes. New Orleans had four guys play 40 minutes or more with five guys playing 36 minutes or more. The Pelicans had six guys play 25 minutes or more overall, including two guys on the second unit. Those extended minutes will have an impact on tonight’s game, especially since New Orleans is playing on back-to-back nights. This will also be the Pelicans’ third game in four nights with all three of those games coming on the road.

Milwaukee will play their second consecutive home ga ƒme after beating Miami 114-108 on Wednesday night. The Bucks have had two full days of rest to prepare for tonight’s game, and that gives them a huge scheduling advantage over New Orleans. Milwaukee has played much better basketball on their home court this season. The Bucks are 19-12 at home compared to just 8-26 on the road. The same is true for New Orleans; the Pelicans are just 7-25 on the road compared to 17-15 on their home court. Milwaukee owns a positive point differential at home; their offense is averaging 102.7 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 37.6% shooting from three-point land. New Orleans owns a -6.8 point differential on the road where their defense is allowing 106.1 points per game. New Orleans is in a terrible situational and scheduling spot, so we’ll lay the points with Milwaukee in this game on Saturday night.

1* Play BUCKS (-).