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Mid-Major Money: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences
By SPORTS PROFIT SYSTEM INVESTORS
Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Sports Profits System Investors will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.
Team to watch: Bowling Green Falcons
This week: +3 vs. Memphis
The Bowling Green Falcons come into this contest off a big win at Maryland in Week 2. The Falcons looked extremely impressive on the road against a Big Team team and gave the SEC’s Tennessee Volunteers all they could handle in Week 1. This team is already battle tested just two weeks into the season and their offense has been impressive to start the year.
They showed no issue with being on the road and now that they’re heading back home, they should be able to keep their momentum going. There is always a concern of a potential letdown spot after such a big win and while their defense certainly leaves something to be desired, getting points at home with such a dynamic offense is tough to pass up.
Team to beware of: Army Black Knights
This week: +6 vs. Wake Forrest
On paper, this is simply a bad matchup for the Black Knights. Army has been absolutely shredded through the air in their first two contests, surrendering 322 and 270 passing yards to both Fordham and Connecticut, two teams not typically known for their passing attacks.
This week, Army goes up against a Demon Deacon team that has averaged 380 yards through the air in its first two games, with the most recent being a 373-yard performance on the road at Syracuse. Throw in the fact that Wake Forest is 5-2 ATS and 7-0 SU against the Black Knights and this game could get ugly early.
Total team to watch: Eastern Michigan Eagles
This week: 63.5 at home vs Ball State
While Eastern Michigan hasn’t lit up the scoreboard against top-notch competition, its re-tooled offense has increased production and they have become very balanced on both sides of the ball. The Eagles should have no issues moving the ball up and down the field on the Cardinals who have been giving up an average of 525 yards per game on defense.
Defense was a big problem for the Eagles last season as they were the worst defensive team in the country. They’ve taken a step up this year, however, they still have a long way to go. The offense will put up points, but the defense will give them all back. In these cases, the best defense is offense. Plenty of points should be scored here.