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Reply To: MLB • Thursday Service Plays • 4/28/16

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#42159
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Keymaster

DAVE ESSLER

single-dime – 955 PHI RL+1.5 (-145) vs 956 WAS
Analysis: I actually think the Phillies may win this – but don’t trust their bullpen. I am fading Roark, which I intended to do after he threw 121 pitches last game. I liked the Phillies last night – but alas was a **** about it. The only reason we can get a decent total is the potential weather (chance of rain) – so I am also playing the over, meaning the Phillies need three runs. They’ve hit Roark hard whether he threw a lot of pitches last game or not. And, the Phillies are actually hitting better over the last seven days. I am all about “lately” in MLB, which is why I’m not trusting the Phillies pen. Or, it could be a F5 bet on the ML if you don’t want the juice.