BOISE STATE (-2) over Virginia
Another Free Game Winner on Cincinnati last night and tonight we will back the road favorite Boise State Broncos behind a new QB. Ryan Findley is out with an ankle injury for Boise and we expect sophomore Tommy Stuart and true freshman Brett Rypien, nephew of former Washington State & Washington Redskin great Mark Rypien to share the snaps. Both are highly touted and we do not expect much of a drop off from Findley. Stuart is a dual threat QB while Ripper is a classic drop-back like his uncle and was 8 of 9 for 126 yards in relief of Findley last week. Boise State’s defense has been fantastic particularly against the run. In fact, Bronco’s rush defense is ranked second in the nation allowing just 45 yards per game against the likes of BYU and Washington. Cavaliers have been unable to move the ball consistently on offense, especially on the ground so look for Boise to make Virginia a one dimensional aerial offense, which in turn makes them easy to read and leads to turnovers. Cavaliers also can’t stand prosperity as they are 2-10 ATS their last 12 games following a striaght up win and after barely squeaking a win out against William & Mary last week, they struggle mightily with the Broncos tonight.