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Reply To: Week 3 – "Super Sunday Football" Service Plays 9/27/15

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#5813
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INDIAN COWBOY

7-Unit Play. #486. Take Miami Dolphins -3 over Buffao Bills (Sunday @ 4:25pm) (Currently -2.5 at Sportsbook and CG Tech)

Our top play this week is behind Miami.

This is a Dolphins team that had a disastrous effort in Week 2 and lost to the Jaguars. Maybe they were looking ahead to this division game and it cost them. Remember there are just 16 NFL games and each and every week counts. It doesn’t matter who you play against and that is certainly not lost on this Dolphins coaching staff. Though the Bills are favored by the public, especially getting points, bear in mind that it is inflated due to this team’s effort against New England. But what has Buffalo really done? They beat Indianapolis who are struggling right now. Plus, they face a Miami team that was in the news given Suh possibly freelancing on plays etc…Regardless, look for Miami to be a quality public fade here, this team will not be looking ahead against Buffalo and will likely bounce-back in a big way here.

Buffalo’s weakness was exploited a bit by the Patriots who dropped 40 on them and this is a Dolphins team that is hungry and has not had a good week thinking about the loss to the Jaguars as they can ill afford to starting the season 1-2 when they thought they could very well be 3-0 at this point. The oddsmakers have consistently got this line late as the favorite is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings between these two teams and the home team is 5-1 ATS to boot as well. We like Miami by about a touchdown this weekend as the Bills offense likely struggles against a motivated Dolphins defense.

3-Unit Play. #471. Take Jacksonville Jaguars +13.5 over New England Patriots

3-Unit Play. #476. Take Cleveland Browns -3.5 over Oakland Raiders

3-Unit Play. #480. Take Over 45 – Atlanta Falcons vs. Dallas Cowboys

3-Unit Play. #474. Take Baltimore Ravens -2.5 over Cincinnati Bengals

3-Unit Play. #462. Take St. Louis Rams PK over Pittsburgh Steelers