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Reply To: NFL Week 3 – Previews, Articles, Info. Monday Night Football 9/28/15

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MNF – Chiefs at Packers
By Kevin Rogers

Only six teams own a 3-0 record after three weeks of action in the NFL, as the Packers look to join that group with a victory over the Chiefs on Monday night. Green Bay hasn’t started 3-0 since 2011, when Mike McCarthy’s club stormed out of the gate with 13 consecutive wins. Kansas City is playing with plenty of rest after last taking the field 11 days ago, but suffered a crushing home loss to its division rival.

The Chiefs (1-1 straight-up, 1-1 against the spread) cruised past the Texans in Week 1 on the road, setting up a pivotal primetime spot against the rival Broncos. Kansas City jumped out to a 14-0 lead over Denver last Thursday night, trying to snap a six-game losing streak to Denver dating back to Peyton Manning’s arrival in 2012. Manning rallied the Broncos back to tie things up at 24-24 late in the fourth quarter, but Denver shocked Kansas City by returning a Jamaal Charles fumble for a touchdown in the final minute to pull out a 31-24 triumph as three-point underdogs.

Charles racked up 125 yards and a touchdown run, but a critical fumble inside the Denver 10-yard line in the first quarter stymied Kansas City’s first drive, while the second fumble basically lost the game for the Chiefs. The normally cautious Alex Smith was intercepted twice, as the Chiefs turned the ball over five times, while dropping to 0-5 ATS in their last five home openers.

The Packers (2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS) picked up a modicum of revenge last Sunday night, knocking off the Seahawks in an NFC Championship rematch, 27-17 to cash as 3 ½-point favorites. Green Bay took a 13-3 halftime lead, but Seattle came back to capture a 17-16 advantage in the third quarter. Mason Crosby drilled a pair of field goals in the final quarter, while Aaron Rodgers hooked up with tight end Richard Rodgers for a five-yard score to give Green Bay the lead for good.

Rodgers threw for 249 yards and a pair of touchdowns, but running back Eddie Lacy left the game after suffering a sprained right ankle while carrying the ball three times for nine yards. Lacy’s status is up in the air for Monday night, but back-up James Starks picked up the slack by rushing for 95 yards on 20 carries. Green Bay picked up its 10th straight win at Lambeau Field, while improving to 7-2-1 ATS in this span at home.

The last time these teams hooked up came back in 2011 when the Packers began the season at 13-0. However, Green Bay went into Arrowhead Stadium in December of that season and lost its only game of the regular season, 19-14 as hefty 11 ½-point favorites. Ryan Succop kicked four field goals for the Chiefs, while Kyle Orton led Kansas City to only its sixth victory of 2011 (the Chiefs finished 7-9). The Chiefs are making only their second trip to Lambeau Field since 1991, as Kansas City outlasted Green Bay in overtime, 40-34 in 2003.

The Packers are making their only appearance on Monday night football this season in Week 3, as Green Bay has played under the Monday night lights exactly once in each of the previous five seasons. In 2014, the Packers held off the Falcons as 13 ½-point favorites, 43-37, as Green Bay is 0-3 ATS the last three tries on Monday night football.

The Chiefs own a solid 6-3 ATS record under Andy Reid as a road underdog since 2013, while putting together one of the top performances last season under the Monday night lights. Kansas City destroyed New England as a three-point home underdog in Week 4 of 2014 by a 41-14 count, as the Chiefs have covered four of their last five Monday games since 2010.

The underdogs have dominated through the first two weeks on Monday nights, compiling a 3-0 SU/ATS record. The Jets were the latest ‘dog to cash on a Monday, beating the Colts last week, 20-7 receiving seven points. Not only have the underdogs been successful, but the ‘under’ is a perfect 3-0 with 27 combined points or less scored in two of the three Monday night games.

The ‘over’ cashed in nine of 14 games in Week 3, while four teams scored at least 39 points in victories (Falcons, Patriots, Cardinals, and Bills). Out of those four squads, Atlanta, New England, and Arizona are part of the six teams that exist in the 3-0 group after three weeks.

The Packers opened up as 6 ½-point favorites, as that number is hovering between 6 ½ and 7 at most sportsbooks. The total is set at 49, as Green Bay is 4-2 to the ‘over’ in its last six home games with a total of 49 or higher. The game kicks off at 8:30 PM EST and can be seen nationally on ESPN.