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ACC Report – Week 5
By Joe Williams

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech (ESPN3, 12:00 p.m. ET)
The Panthers hit the road where they have had success against the number. Pitt is 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10 road games. Virginia Tech has been hot at home against teams with a winning road record, going 7-3 ATS in their past 10 games in such situations. However, Va. Tech is 3-7 ATS in their past 10 conference battles. While the home team is 4-0 ATS in the past four meetings in this series, the Panthers have covered seven of the past eight and the underdog has hit in seven of the past eight, too. The over is 4-1 in Pitt’s past five, and 5-2-1 in their past eight road outings, while the over has connected in all of Virginia Tech’s games this season, six in a row dating back to last season and the over is 7-3 in their past 10 against a team with an overall winning mark.

Louisville at North Carolina State (ESPN3, 12:30p.m. ET)
N.C. State has won four games in rather convincing fashion, but they haven’t really been tested. While Louisville has just one win to show for their efforts to date, they headed into the season with much higher expectations and they remain a very dangerous team despite their overall record. The Cardinals head into this one with a 3-1 ATS mark with the under hitting in two in a row. This will be their first true road games, although their Week 1 loss to Auburn was in Arlington, TX, a neutral-site game. Not only have the Wolfpack won all four of their games, they have covered in each, including each beating the number in their past three games by at least seven points. Louisville has been hot against the number on the road, covering 25 of their past 33, but those were much better teams developing that trend. N.C. State has covered seven in a row, and they’re 4-1 ATS in their past five ACC games and 5-2 ATS in their past seven at home. The under has been prevalent for each team lately, going 3-1-1- in the past five for Louisville, and 7-2-1 in their past 10 ACC games. The under is 4-1 in N.C. State’s past five against a team wtih a losing overall record, and 6-2 in their past eight home games against a team with a road losing mark.

Boston College at Duke (ESPN3, 3:30 p.m.)
Duke saw Northwestern take it to them on the line of scrimmage two weeks ago, but they rectified that in a big way against Georgia Tech last weekend in a rebound win. The Blue Devils took care of a solid Georgia Tech team, now they set their sights on the surprising Eagles, who have played a tremendous brand of defense. B.C. has had the under come through in each of their three games, as their Week 2 game against FCS Howard did not count since it didn’t go the official 55 minutes or more. Boston College is 0-2-1 ATS in their three games outside of that Howard game. The Eagles have allowed just 7.8 points per game through four outings, which is great news since they’re down to their backup quarterback and the offense is a bit in disarray. Duke’s offense is much more prolific, posting 34 or more points in their three wins. The under has hit in each of their four games thanks to their solid defensive effort, as they have allowed just 11.5 PPG. You won’t see many totals in college football set at 39 1/2 points, but with these two defenses the total might not even come close to that.

Florida State at Wake Forest (ESPN, 3:30 p.m.)
Florida State hits the road for Winston-Salem, and they’re a rested bunch after a bye to rest last week and 15 days to prepare. Wake Forest is coming off a loss at home to Indiana, 31-24, but they had a spirited effort down the stretch to make things close, especially since they did it without starting QB John Wolford (ankle). After covering in their opener against FCS Elon the Deacs have failed to cover in three straight. The Seminoles defense has allowed just 10.0 PPG, which is bad news for the Wake Forest offense and Wolford, should he be well enough to play. FSU covered on the road Sept. 18 in a 14-0 win at Boston College, and they’re a much better team than Wake. FSU could win this one by three touchdowns rather easily if they just hit their averages.

North Carolina at Georgia Tech (ESPNU – 3:30 p.m.)
UNC hits the road for Georgia Tech, a team which is suddenly reeling. After looking like an offensive juggernaut in two games against Alcorn State and Tulane, the Yellow Jackets were worked over at Notre Dame two weeks ago and manhandled at Duke last week. Suddenly, things aren’t all that well in Ramblin’ Wreck country. The Jackets are still 6-0 ATS in their past six home games, and 5-1 ATS in their past six in the conference. They’re also 6-2 ATS in their past eight against a team with a winning overall record. The public has tossed money at the Heels, driving the spread down from 9 1/2 to 7 1/2. The favorite has covered in five of the past seven, and the home team is 5-2 ATS in the past seven, too. UNC is just 2-7 ATS in their past nine trips to Atlanta, and the Tar Heels have covered just once in the past six meetings in this series.

Notre Dame at Clemson (ABC – 8:00 p.m.)
In the marquee game of the weekend, we will find out quite a bit about Notre Dame at Death Valley in front of a rabid crowd in a night game. Notre Dame has covered four of their past five overall, and they’re 8-3 ATS in their past 11 against a team with a winning overall mark. The Irish have still covered just once in their past five road outings. Clemson has covered four in a row at home, but two games this season were against Wofford and Appalachian State, not exactly the cream of the college football crop. Still, the Tigers are 8-3 ATS in the past 11 against t eams with a winning overall record. The money has come in early on the Irish, driving down the line from Clemson favored by 2 to a pick ’em. The over is 5-0 in Notre Dame’s past five road games, and 8-2 in their past 10 overall while the under is 7-1 in Clemson’s past eight home games, and 6-1 in their past seven overall. So something’s gotta give in the total department.

ACC teams on bye
Syracuse, Virginia