IOWA (+6.5) over Wisconsin
We like taking the TD here with an Iowa team that has a rock-solid defense (allowing just 17.7 points per game), plays well on the road (9-2 ATS last 11) and has covered the number in six of its last nine games as a dog. The key here is the Hawkeye rush defense, which has limited opponents to just 2.2 yards per carry. Wisconsin’s bread and butter is once again the running game and if Iowa can limit that, it will be up to Badger QB Joel Stave to win the game by margin, and we don’t see that happening. Take the generous points.