STRIKE POINT SPORTS
6-Unit Play. Take #159 Alabama (+2) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 3)
I know, I know, this Alabama team isn’t as good as the Bama teams of the past half decade. I also know that Georgia struggles in these big games, as they are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Crimson tide have now settled on a quarterback in Jake Coker, and they matchup well with the Bulldogs. Georgia hasn’t played anyone near the talent of Alabama, which is the reason for their inflated stats. Yes, Nick Chubb is the real deal, but I am not sold on Greyson Lambert. Lambert lost the starting quarteback job at UVA and then had to transfer to UGA. His stats are inflated as he has been at least a 16.5-point favorite in all four of his games thus far, including two games where they were favored by five-plus touchdowns. In their one game where they played a decent defensive team in Vandy, Lambert threw for less than 120 yards passing. I know that the running attack dominated that game, but they won’t be able to do so this weekend versus Alabama’s vaunted defense, ranked 12th overall and 4th nationally. Alabama is giving up less than two yards per rush. Don’t buy in to the hype that Bama is an underdog for the first time in 73 games for a reason. They shouldn’t be. Take the road team as they win this game, and kill the hopes of Georgia fans yet again.