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Reply To: Week 4 – "Monday Night Football" Service Plays 10/5/15

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3 Units – Detroit / Seattle – Over 43
The Detroit Lions have looked very unimpressive over the first three weeks of the season and now have the tall task of trying to get their first win of the season Monday night in Seattle against the Seahawks. The biggest problems for these Lions have been their porous defense and turnovers. The Lions are allowing 27.7 PPG and 396 YPG over these three losses and they really haven’t been that competitive in any of these games. This Lions team just simply doesn’t look to have much discipline and that has been highlighted by QB Matt Stafford’s five picks already and untimely penalties. Now they have to travel to Seattle, which is a very, very difficult place to win anytime, especially at night. With the Seahawks, they are coming off a much-needed 26-0 win at Chicago last weekend to get their first win of the season.

That said, this Seattle defense (even with the recent addition of Kam Chancellor) doesn’t really look like the same stifling defense of the past several years. In the games before their win over the Bears, they surrendered 34 and 27 points in losses to the Rams and Packers. The Over is 4-1 in their last five meetings between these teams and 10-3 in the Lions’ last 13 games following a double-digit loss at home. We see this game playing out like this…Seattle will throw the ball more than normal due to Detroit’s poor pass defense and the questionable status of RB Marshawn Lynch and will get up early on the Lions. Detroit will be forced to come back through the air and they will either put points on the board or turn the ball over. Either scenario is a good sign for points being scored and we believe this game goes OVER the posted total of 43. We see a Seahawks win in the vicinity of 31-20. The Sharps say…