Tech Trends – Week 5
By Bruce Marshall
JACKSONVILLE at TAMPA BAY (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Lovie Smith is 0-10 SU at home with Bucs since last year (2-8 vs. spread). Lovie 0-4 as home chalk since last season. Also “under” 13-7 since last year. Jags, however, just 12-22-1 as an underdog since head coach Gus Bradley arrived in 2013.
Tech Edge: “Under” and slight to Jags, based on “totals” and team trends.
BUFFALO at TENNESSEE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Rex Ryan was 10-5 as road chalk with the Jets. Bills not yet exhibiting last year’s “under” trends when 13-3 “under” as Rexy 2-2 “over/under” to date. Titans were 2-12-2 vs. line at home past two seasons before cover vs. Colts in Week 3. Rookie QB Mariota also “over” 2-1 this season.
Tech Edge: Bills and slight to “over,” based on team and recent “totals” trends.
CLEVELAND at BALTIMORE (CBS, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Make a note that this has been a competitive series as these two have split spread decisions each year for the past five seasons! The last four meetings at Baltimore all “under” as well. Browns were 5-1-1 as road dog last season but lost first try this year at Jets in Week 1.
Tech Edge: Slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.
WASHINGTON at ATLANTA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Falcons are 4-0 both SU and vs. spread for rookie head coach Dan Quinn. Falcons also “under” 13-8 since late 2013. Redskins are 5-12 vs. spread away since 2013 (0-1 this season).
Tech Edge: Falcons, based on team trends..
CHICAGO at KANSAS CITY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Bears 1-3 SU and vs. line, head coach John Fox now on 4-8 spread run since late last year including Denver. Bears “over” 8-3 last 11 away even with “under” at Seattle.
Tech Edge: “Over” and slight to Chiefs, based on “totals” and team trends.
NEW ORLEANS at PHILADELPHIA (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Chip Kelly just 8-9 as home chalk with Birds. He was “over” 8-2 last 10 at home prior to “under” vs. Dallas. Saints only 4-7-1 last 12 as road underdog in regular season and “over” 7-3 last 10 away.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.
ST. LOUIS at GREEN BAY (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
Rams just 5-12 vs. spread away since 2013. Packers are 8-1-1 vs. spread at home in regular season since 2014, also “over” 10-3 last 13 at Lambeau Field in regular season.
Tech Edge: Packers and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
SEATTLE at CINCINNATI (FOX, 1:00 p.m. ET)
If Seattle listed as underdog, make a note Pete Carroll 7-3-1 getting points since 2012. Seahawks “under” 7-2 last nine in regular season, but Bengals “over” 12-6 last 18 at home. Cincy 4-0 SU and vs. line and note head coach Marvin Lewis 17-4-1 vs. line last 21 as regular season host.
Tech Edge: Slight to Bengals, based on team trends.
ARIZONA at DETROIT (FOX, 4:05 p.m. ET)
Cardinals 3-1 SU and vs. line, Lions 0-3 SU and vs. line. Big Red 9-2 vs. line last eleven games finished by quarterback Carson Palmer. Also 12-5 vs. line on road in reg. season under Bruce Arians. Cardinals “over” first four in 2015.
Tech Edge: Cardinals and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NEW ENGLAND at DALLAS (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Belichick “over” first three this season, now “over” 17-7 last 24, also “over” 25-14-1 last 40 on regular season road. Belichick 2-7 as road chalk 2013-14 years but did cover at Buffalo in Week 2. Dallas is 12-3 as an underdog since 2013 but that is mostly a Romo mark. Cowboys “over” 20-15-1 last 36.
Tech Edge: “Over,” based on “totals” trends.
DENVER at OAKLAND (CBS, 4:25 p.m. ET)
Denver 7-0 SU and vs. line last seven meetings vs. Raid-uhs. Manning 13-7 as road chalk with Broncos since 2012.
Tech Edge: Broncos, based on series trends.
SAN FRANCISCO at N.Y. GIANTS (NBC, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Niners a bad 0-2 SU and vs. line on road this season, now no wins or covers last four on road since late last year. Tom Coughlin 11-5 last 16 as home chalk.
Tech Edge: Giants, based on team trends.