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Tech Trends – Week 6
By Bruce Marshall
Matchup Skinny Tech Edge
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS (at Cotton Bowl, Dallas)
Horns have covered last two in series and 6-3-1 vs. spread vs. OU since 2005. But Charlie 1-5 vs. spread last five on board since late 2014, and 4-7-1 last 12 as dog.
Slight to OU, based on team trends.
MINNESOTA at PURDUE
Boilermakers 3-8 as home dog for Hazell since 2013. Gophers 6-3 as visiting chalk since 2013.
Minnesota, based on team trends.
AKRON at EASTERN MICHIGAN
Zips 2-6-1 last nine as chalk, 0-5-1 last six as road chalk. Creighton 3-3 as home dog since LY, but Eagles just 6-13 vs. spread at Ypsilanti since 2012.
Slight to Akron, based on EMU extended home woes.
OKLAHOMA STATE at WEST VIRGINIA
Holgorsen has won and covered last two vs. OSU. WVU no covers last three as Big 12 home chalk, just 3-9 last 12 as Morgantown chalk. Gundy 4-2 last six as dog.
Slight to OSU, based on team trends.
INDIANA at PENN STATE
IU on 8-2 spread uptick since late 2014. Hoosiers have covered 3 of last 4 on road. Also covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 vs. Nittany Lions. Penn State 2-5 vs. spread last seven as Big Ten host.
IU, based on team trends.
DUKE at ARMY
Cutcliffe 22-9-1 vs. line since 2013, 8-2-1 vs. spread as visitor that span. Army has covered four straight in 2015.
Duke, based on team trends.
TULANE at TEMPLE
Owls still just 6-6 vs. spread at Linc for Rhule since 2013, 2-3 as DD chalk that span. But Owls are 3-1 vs. line TY. Wave 4-11 vs. spread last 15 vs. BCS opposition. Also 2-5 last seven as DD dog.
Temple, based on Tulane woes.
ILLINOIS at IOWA
Illini 2-7 vs. spread last nine away from Champaign-Urbana. Iowa 4-1 vs. line TY.
Iowa, based on recent Illini road woes.
MARYLAND at OHIO STATE
Urban no covers last four TY and just 12-13 vs. spread in Columbus since arriving in 2012. Terps 9-5 as visiting dog since 2012 but no covers last 4 as DD dog.
Slight to OSU, based on recent Terp DD dog woes.
WAKE FOREST at BOSTON COLLEGE
BC 7-3 as home chalk since 2013 for Addazio. Addazio 12-5 vs. line overall as host since 2013. Wake 4-8 as road dog sine 2013 and no covers last four on ACC trail.
Slight to BC, based on team trends.
MIAMI-OHIO at OHIO
Solich 4-1 vs. line TY, though no covers last three years vs. RedHawks. Solich 9-5 vs. spread last 14 at home. Miami no covers first two as road dog TY after 5-1 mark in role LY for Chuck Martin. But RedHawks were 2-11 as road dog in 2012-13.
Ohio, based on recent trends.
KENT STATE at TOLEDO
Rockets on 6-0-2 spread uptick since late LY. Though only 2-3-2 as Glass Bowl chalk since LY. Flashes 6-4 as DD dog since 2013 for Haynes (1-1 TY).
Toledo, based on recent trends.
BALL STATE at NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Lembo now 13-5 as visiting dog (2-1 TY) with Cards since 2011, and Cards 19-9 vs. spread as visitor for Lembo since 2011. Though Lembo 0-4 SU vs. NIU and has failed to cover last three vs. Huskies. NIU 4-8 as DeKalb chalk since 2013.
Ball State, based on team trends.
APP STATE at GEORGIA STATE
GSU 1-8 vs. line last 9 at Georgia Dome. App 4-1 vs. line last five away.
App State, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA at PITT
Pitt 3-7 vs. spread last ten as host (0-1 for Narduzzi). Panthers also 6-10 last 16 as chalk. Mike London is 6-4-1 last 11 as road dog. But home team has won and covered last two years in series.
Slight to Virginia, based on team trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at WESTERN MICHIGAN
Last three years, the road team has covered all meetings. Though WMU 6-1 vs. line at Kalamazoo since LY, and 14-4 last 18 on board for Fleck. CMU has covered last seven as dog away from Mt. Pleasant and 10 of last 11 in role.
Slight to CMU, based on team and recent series road trends.
ARKANSAS at ALABAMA
Bielema has covered 6 of last 7 as visiting dog. Saban 8-0 SU, 5-3 vs. line against Hogs since arriving at Bama. Last Razorback series SU win in 2006, when Mike Shula still at Bama. Nick only 4-6 last 10 laying DD.
Slight to Arkansas, based on team trends.
WYOMING at AIR FORCE
Wyo has won and covered last two meetings and has covered six in a row vs. Force! But Falcs 11-6 vs. line since LY and are 7-1 vs. spread last 8 at Colorado Springs. Wyo on 3-10 spread skid since early 2014 for Bohl.
Air Force, based on recent trends.
UMASS at BOWLING GREEN
Mass has covered this game the past two years. BG was just 1-4 as home chalk LY. Mass 10-6 vs. line since LY for Whipple.
Slight to UMass, based on recent series trends.
TROY at MISSISSIPPI STATE
Dan Mullen 15-7-1 last 22 vs. line since late 2013, but just 4-4-1 last nine laying DD.
Slight to MSU, based on team trends.
NEW MEXICO STATE at OLE MISS
NMSU 1-6 last 7 as road dog. Hugh Freeze Ls alst two but still 37-18-1 vs. line since 2011 at Ark State & Ole Miss. Freeze also 7-2-1 last 10 laying DD.
Ole Miss, based on team trends.
EAST CAROLINA at BYU
Ruffin McNeill 6-3 last nine as dog. Cougs 1-5 as Provo chalk LY and 5-10 last 15 vs. spread .
ECU, based on team trends.
BAYLOR at KANSAS
Baylor has won and covered last three, the last two by almost-identical 60-14 and 59-14 scores. Bears only 2-5 vs. line last 7 away from Waco, 3-8-1 vs. spread away from home since 2013.
Slight to Baylor, based on series trends.
RICE at FAU
Owl battle! Bailiff LS alst two but on 29-16-1 spread run. Rice has covered last five as chalk away from home. FAU 20-7 as dog since 2012, though only 8-8 for spread under Partridge since LY.
Rice, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON STATE at OREGON
Leach 10-3 vs. spread last 13 as visitor. Cougs have also covered last five vs. Ducks and Leach 13-6 as DD dog with WSU. Ducks no covers first three at home TY.
WSU, based on team and series trends.
GEORGIA at TENNESSEE
Vols have covered last three vs. Richt, all close games won by Dawgs. But Butch only 4-9 vs. spread at Knoxville since 2013. Richt 4-2 last six as chalk away from Athens.
Slight to Georgia, based on team trends.
MTSU at WKU
MTSU has covered first two as road dog TY. Last four meetings all decided by 5 or fewer.
Slight to MTSU, based on series trends.
ULM at TULSA
Improved Tulsa has covered two of last three as it turns around for Montgomery after Blankenship ran program aground with 8-16 spread mark previous two years.
Slight to Tulsa, based on recent trends.
NAVY at NOTRE DAME
Mids 9-5 vs. line last 14 vs. Irish, and Navy 11-1 vs. spread last 12 at South Bend! Mids 15-5 last 20 as visiting dog! Irish 3-0 vs. line as home chalk TY after 4-7 mark previous 11.
Navy, based on series and team trends.
COLORADO at ARIZONA STATE
CU 0-4 SU, 1-3 vs. line vs. ASU since entering Pac-12. Buffs 3-8 vs. spread as visitor for MacIntyre.
ASU, based on series trends.
MIAMI-FLA. at FLORIDA STATE
Canes have not beaten FSU since 2009 and are 3-10 vs. spread last 13 away from Sun Life. Jimbo only 5-14 last 19 on board but has covered last two vs. Miami.
Slight to FSU, based on series trends.
NORTHWESTERN at MICHIGAN
Close games past few years though Cats have not won SU vs. Mich since 2008. Pat Fitz 5-2 last seven as road dog and 13-8 as dog since 2012. Harbaugh 2-1 as home chalk TY.
Slight to NU, based on team trends.
GEORGIA TECH at CLEMSON
Paul Johnson has dropped three straight vs. line after covering nine in a row. He is 4-3 SU and vs. spread against Dabo. Jackets were 6-0 as dog LY but 0-1 in role TY.
Slight to GT, based on team trends.
TEXAS STATE at ULL
Franchione was 6-0 vs. line away LY but only 0-2 in role thus far in 2015. Hudspeth just 5-7 as Cajun Field chalk since 2013 (1-1 TY).
Slight to Texas State, based on team trends.
CAL at UTAH
Utes 1-1 as home chalk TY, just 6-6 last 12 in role. Dykes 6-2 as dog LY (5-0 as road dog).
Cal, based on team trends.
UCONN at UCF
UCF 0-5 SU and vs. line, now on 0-6 streaks since late LY. O’Leary 1-6 last 7 as Orlando chalk.
UConn, based on recent UCF woes.
UTEP at FIU
UTEP 2-11 as DD road dog for Kugler since 2013 (0-2 TY). FIU on 12-6 spread uptick since late 2013.
FIU, based on team trends.
LA TECH at UTSA
Coker has covered the last two vs. Skip. Tech 9-2 vs. spread last 11 away from Ruston.
La Tech, based on team trends.
BOISE STATE at COLORADO STATE
Boise has won and covered last four years vs. CSU. Rams 23-11-1 vs. spread since late 2012 and 9-5 last 13 as dog. Rams 12-4 vs. spread last 16 at Fort Collins.
Slight to CSU, based on team trends.
FLORIDA at MISSOURI
McElwain 4-1 vs. line with Gators and 25-9 vs. spread last 34 on board dating to CSU days. Mizzou has covered all three vs. Gators since entering SEC and won big last two but 1-4 vs. line TY.
Florida, based on recent trends.
LSU at SOUTH CAROLINA
Spurrier 3-8 vs. spread last ten SEC games. But he’s 8-4 as dog since 2012 and 5-0 as home dog since 2009. Les Miles 1-6 last 7 as chalk away from Baton Rouge.
Slight to SC, based on team trends.
OREGON STATE at ARIZONA
Rich-Rod just 9-10 as Tucson chalk since 2012 (1-1 TY). Beavs no covers in four as road dog since LY (0-1 TY) and now 1-7 as dog since 2014.
Slight to Arizona, based on team trends.
SYRACUSE at SOUTH FLORIDA
Cuse 3-1 vs. line TY though Shafer just 3-5 as road dog since 2013. USF 2-7 as Tampa chalk since 2012 (1-0 TY).
Slight to Syracuse, based on team trends.
TCU at KANSAS STATE
Bill Snyder 5-1 as home dog since 2011, 17-7 overall as dog since 2011. Snyder 2-1 SU vs. Patterson since Frogs entered Big 12. Frogs 3-10 last 13 as visiting chalk (0-2 TY).
K-State, based on team trends.
IOWA STATE at TEXAS TECH
ISU 2-6 vs. spread last eight on Big 12 road. Tech 1-4-1 last six as favorite.
Slight to ISU, based on team trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at RUTGERS
Dantonio 0-5 vs. line TY, but Rutgers no covers last three in 2015. MSU was 12-2 as visiting chalk entering this season before non-cover at WMU. Knights were 9-4 as dog 2013-14 for Flood but 0-1 in role TY.
MSU, based on extended road chalk marks.
WISCONSIN at NEBRASKA
Mike Riley 4-13 vs. line since LY (2-3 with Neb). Wisconsin has covered all four meetings (three of those emphatically) since Huskers joined Big Ten.
Slight to Wiscy, based on series trends.
NEW MEXICO at NEVADA
Bob Davie on 8-3 spread run, also 9-3 last 12 as road dog. Pack 3-9 last 12 as Reno chalk.
New Mexico, based on team trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at UNLV
Spartans 7-1 as road chalk since 2012 (3-1 for Caragher). Sanchez 4-1 vs. line but Rebs just 1-5 last six in once-profitable home dog role (0-1 for Sanchez).
San Jose, based on team and series trends.
UTAH STATE at FRESNO STATE
Utags 7-2 as road chalk since 2012. Also 17-8 last 25 vs. line away from Logan. Fresno 10-19-1 vs. spread last 29 vs. FBS foes. DeRuyter 3-10 last 13 as dog.
Utah State, based on team trends.
SAN DIEGO STATE at HAWAII
Aztecs have covered last three years in series. Chow only 7-8 vs. spread last 15 at Aloha, and Leahey 1-6 last seven vs. line at home vs. MW foes. SDSU 8-3 vs. spread last 11 on MW trail.
SDSU, based on series trends.