MATT FARGO
10* CFB FRIDAY NIGHT ENFORCER (SWEET +$3,470 CFB YTD)
With the win last week against North Texas, Southern Mississippi matched its win total from all of last season and one more victory will match the win total from the previous three seasons combined. This is no doubt a team on the rise after a miserable run however, the linesmakers have now caught up after being behind for a bit. The Golden Eagles are a perfect 5-0 ATS and that is keeping this line down and it has actually gone down from the opening which is giving us huge value under a key number.
Marshall is 4-1 to start the season which may surprise some considering it lost record breaking quarterback Rakeem Cato and leading rusher Devon Johnson. But there is an abundance of talent on this squad and the lone loss came against a similar 4-1 team on the road in Ohio. The Thundering Herd are coming off a win over Old Dominion, a team that has failed to cover a game this season so now they go against a team in just the opposite scenario and getting a huge value number because of it. Southern Mississippi defeated Texas St. on the road two games back and allowed 50 points in doing so which is not a good sign as the Bobcats have scored a grand total of 30 points in their other two games against FBS competition.
That win was by six points against a team not even on the same level as Marshall. Marshall is 17-1 over its last 18 home games while going 11-6-1 ATS in them and the majority of those have been double-digit spreads. Marshall has dominated this series the last three years with wins by an average of 43 ppg and while Southern Mississippi is an improved team, have they improved enough to make up that much ground? No way.
10* (308) Marshall Thundering Herd