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2015-16 NBA Previews. Articles , Info, 10/15

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  • #2971
    admin
    Keymaster

    Opening Night Odds
    By VI News

    The NBA regular season schedule was released on Wednesday Aug. 12 and the opening night takes place on Tuesday Oct. 27 with three games.

    Golden State, the defending NBA Champion, will host New Orleans from Oracle Arena. The Warriors have opened as double-digit home favorites at Sportsbook over the Pelicans, who they swept in the first round of last year’s Western Conference playoffs.

    The other two games will be Detroit at Atlanta and Cleveland at Chicago.

    LeBron James and the Cavaliers opened as short road favorites (-1) over the Bulls. Chicago lost to Cleveland in six games of the Eastern Conference semifinals this past summer.

    The rest of the league will begin play on Wednesday Oct. 28 as part of a 14-game card.

    The Pistons, Cavaliers and Pelicans will all be starting the season with back-to-back situations.

    Even though the season is months away, Sportsbook has posted opening odds on the first two nights in the Association.

    Opening Odds as of Aug. 13 are listed below.

    Visitor listed on Top

    Tuesday, October 27, 2015

    Pistons +8.5
    Hawks -8.5

    Cavaliers -1
    Bulls +1

    Pelicans +10
    Warriors -10

    Wednesday, October 28, 2015

    Wizards -3
    Magic +3

    76ers +8.5
    Celtics -8.5

    Bulls -3.5
    Nets +3.5

    Jazz PK
    Pistons PK

    Hornets +6
    Heat -6

    Pacers +3.5
    Raptors -3.5

    Nuggets +9.5
    Rockets -9.5

    Cavaliers +1.5
    Grizzlies -1.5

    Knicks +7
    Bucks -7

    Spurs +1.5
    Thunder -1.5

    Mavericks -1
    Suns +1

    Pelicans PK
    Trail Blazers PK

    Clippers -7.5
    Kings +7.5

    Timberwolves +3.5
    Lakers -3.5

    ***Odds Subject to Change – Updated 8.13.15

    • This topic was modified 5 years, 9 months ago by admin.
    #2974
    admin
    Keymaster

    Three value long shots to win 2016 NBA Championship
    By Jason Logan

    If you were insightful enough to predict LeBron James’ homecoming last summer, you could’ve grabbed the Cleveland Cavaliers at 60/1 to win the NBA Championship even before James and his former club, the Miami Heat, lost to the San Antonio Spurs in the NBA Finals last June.

    You could have also scored a nice price on the Golden State Warriors as well, with their championship futures opening at 20/1 behind a slew of other Western Conference contenders.

    Hindsight is 20/20 – a saying that holds even more meaning when it comes to sports betting – but if you use your imagination and put your ear to the hardwood for some offseason rumblings, you can find that same value with the opening NBA titles odds for the 2015-16 NBA season, which were released by the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas Monday – ahead of Game 6 between the Cavs and Warriors Tuesday.

    It’s no surprise Cleveland (9/4) and Golden State (5/1) top the list, but if you’re looking for a long shot, here are three value NBA futures bets to make before the 2015 Larry O’Brien is even handed out:

    Washington Wizards (30/1, 14/1 to win East)

    Kevin Durant isn’t officially a free agent until next summer but the Thunder could get anxious about their superstar forward jumping ship in 2016 – and not getting anything for him – and try to wheel and deal with Durant’s hometown Wizards.

    Even if Washington doesn’t land Durant this offseason, it will likely be aggressive in the 2015 free agent market and attempt to beef up the frontcourt with some big-name forwards out there for the taking. The Wiz seem best equipped to follow the Golden State model, with a high-scoring backcourt combo and gritty forwards picking up the trash. Hey, Draymond Green will be out there…

    Dallas Mavericks (40/1, 20/1 to win West)

    The Mavericks are in danger of falling off the pace in the Western Conference and just made the postseason cut this past season. That doesn’t sit well with competitive owner Mark Cuban, who has his franchise in a good spot to chase some elite talent this summer.

    Rumors are buzzing that Dallas is the front runner to land LaMarcus Aldridge, which would take the scoring load off Dirk Nowitzki and give the Mavs a pretty much unguardable frontcourt duo. Everything is weighing on Monta Ellis, who can stick around for 2015-16 or opt out. Ellis deciding to test the market, as well as dumping Tyson Chandler, opens up more cash to throw at marquee big men like Aldridge or DeAndre Jordan.

    New Orleans Pelicans (20/1, 10/1 to win West)

    The fact that the eighth-place team in the West is set this high on the board says oddsmakers have a lot of faith in Anthony Davis and the Pelicans. New Orleans’ title odds are on par with Houston (20/1) – No. 2 in the West this past season – and ahead of Memphis (30/1), Portland (40/1), and Dallas (40/1). The Pelicans have a solid frontcourt and need to add some scoring depth on the wing to open up some space around the hoop.

    New Orleans signed new head coach Alvin Gentry, who brings NBA Finals experience with his current work as a Warriors’ assistant, and should get a shot in the arm on offense with his up-tempo playbook. Gentry has upped scoring production in each of his head coaching stops, potentially making the Pelicans the best two-way team in the league.

    Here’s a look at the full 2015-16 NBA Championship futures odds, courtesy of the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas:

    CAVALIERS 9/4
    WARRIORS 5/1
    THUNDER 5/1
    CLIPPERS 10/1
    SPURS 12/1
    BULLS 12/1
    HAWKS 20/1
    PELICANS 20/1
    ROCKETS 20/1
    WIZARDS 30/1
    PACERS 30/1
    GRIZZLIES 30/1
    RAPTORS 30/1
    BLAZERS 40/1
    MAVERICKS 40/1
    HEAT 30/1
    CELTICS 80/1
    BUCKS 80/1
    PISTONS 80/1
    JAZZ 80/1
    SUNS 80/1
    LAKERS 80/1
    NUGGETS 80/1
    KNICKS 80/1
    NETS 100/1
    KINGS 100/1
    76ERS 200/1
    MAGIC 200/1
    WOLVES 200/1
    HORNETS 200/1

    #2975
    admin
    Keymaster

    NBA notebook: Jazz G Exum undergoes ACL surgery
    By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

    Utah Jazz guard Dante Exum had surgery to repair a torn ACL in his left knee on Thursday.

    The procedure was performed by Dr. Neal S. ElAttrache of Kerlan-Jobe Orthopaedic Clinic in Los Angeles.

    Exum will return to Salt Lake City and begin his rehabilitation. The team said there is no timeline for his return.

    The Australian was injured Aug. 4 while playing for his national team in an exhibition game against the Slovenian national team in Ljobljana, Slovenia.

    —The Miami Heat signed forward Greg Whittington to an undisclosed contract.

    Whittington averaged 9.1 points, 6.2 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.44 steals and 1.33 blocked shots in nine 2015 summer league games, including six starts, in Orlando and Las Vegas.

    In the Las Vegas Summer League, Whittington led the team with 65 points, 41 rebounds, eight blocked shots and eight 3-point field goals.

    —The Sacramento Kings reportedly are bringing back forward Eric Moreland after letting him go earlier this summer.

    The Kings will re-sign Moreland to a one-year contract that includes guarantees, according to reports on Thursday.

    Moreland was waived in late July before his guaranteed salary for the 2015-16 season kicked in on Aug. 1. His addition brings the Kings’ roster to 15 players, which is the regular-season limit.

    —Landry Fields, a free-agent guard, reportedly will spend the next five months recovering from hip surgery.

    Fields, 27, had a torn labrum repaired, a league source told Yahoo Sports on Thursday.

    Fields had spent parts of the past three seasons with the Toronto Raptors. Last season, he played in just 26 games as he struggled with an arm injury.

    #3109
    admin
    Keymaster

    NBA to seed playoff teams by record
    September 8, 2015

    NEW YORK (AP) The NBA will now seed playoff teams solely by their record, throwing out the top-four protection for teams who win their divisions.

    The expected change was unanimously approved Tuesday by the league’s Board of Governors. Teams in each conference will be seeded from one to eight by their won-loss record.

    Previously, division winners were guaranteed no worse than the No. 4 seed, a rule that became heavily criticized last season when Portland ended up No. 4 in the powerful Western Conference despite the sixth-best record in the conference.

    The league also changed the tiebreaker procedures, making head-to-head results the first tiebreaker for seeding and home-court advantage, and whether a team won its division second. A division winner previously got the home-court advantage if it met a team with the same record in the playoffs.

    #3113
    admin
    Keymaster

    Odds to Win 2016 NBA Championship
    By Zach Cohen

    Odds to Win 2016 NBA Championship

    Cleveland Cavaliers 5-to-2
    San Antonio Spurs 18-to-5
    Golden State Warriors 11-to-2
    Oklahoma City Thunder 17-to-2
    Los Angeles Clippers 12-to-1
    Chicago Bulls 22-to-1
    Houston Rockets 22-to-1
    Memphis Grizzlies 30-to-1
    Miami Heat 40-to-1
    Atlanta Hawks 45-to-1
    New Orleans Pelicans 45-to-1
    Milwaukee Bucks 50-to-1
    Washington Wizards 55-to-1
    Indiana Pacers 60-to-1
    Toronto Raptors 75-to-1
    Dallas Mavericks 120-to-1
    Boston Celtics 125-to-1
    Phoenix Suns 125-to-1
    Utah Jazz 150-to-1
    Los Angeles Lakers 175-to-1
    Detroit Pistons 200-to-1
    New York Knicks 200-to-1
    Portland Trail Blazers 200-to-1
    Brooklyn Nets 250-to-1
    Denver Nuggets 250-to-1
    Minnesota Timberwolves 250-to-1
    Orlando Magic 300-to-1
    Sacramento Kings 300-to-1
    Charlotte Hornets 350-to-1
    Philadelphia 76ers 350-to-1

    The Golden State Warriors head into the 2015-2016 season as the defending champs, but the landscape of the league has changed after a wild offseason. Let’s take a look at some of the better picks to win this year’s NBA title:

    Cleveland Cavaliers – The Cavaliers were two wins away from winning the NBA championship last year and that was without PG Kyrie Irving (21.7 PPG, 5.2 APG, 1.5 SPG) for a majority of the series and PF Kevin Love (16.4 PPG, 9.7 RPG, 2.2 APG) for pretty much the entire postseason. Both of those players should be back at 100% health and they’ll be ready to help SF LeBron James (25.3 PPG, 7.4 APG, 6.0 RPG, 1.6 SPG) go for his third championship. Cleveland also signed PG Mo Williams (14.2 PPG, 6.2 APG) to bolster its bench this summer. He’ll provide insurance if Irving is to go down once again. The Eastern Conference is a walk in the park compared to the West, so the Cavaliers would be relatively well rested if they were to make it to the NBA Finals once again. They’re an excellent value at 5-to-2 this season.

    San Antonio Spurs – The Spurs were able to talk SG Manu Ginobili (10.5 PPG, 4.2 APG, 3.0 RPG) and PF Tim Duncan (13.9 PPG, 9.1 RPG, 2.0 BPG) out of retirement and resigned both SG Danny Green (11.7 PPG, 4.2 RPG, 1.3 SPG, 1.1 BPG) and SF Kawhi Leonard (16.5 PPG, 7.2 RPG, 2.3 SPG) to long term contracts. This team was very close to being a championship caliber group in 2014-2015, and they were able to add PF LaMarcus Aldridge (23.4 PPG, 10.2 RPG) on a max contract during the offseason. Aldridge is one of the most potent scorers in the entire league and will take a lot of pressure off of San Antonio’s aging core. With his offense and Kawhi Leonard’s defense, the Spurs will be contenders for a very long time. This is as good of a year as any for them to win, as it is likely the last time Ginobili and Duncan will be on the court as players.

    Golden State Warriors – The Warriors were the best team in basketball by a wide margin last year, but the odds for them to repeat are a little lower due to them keeping their team the same while others made changes. That, however, is a reason that they will be a good value play this season. Continuity is crucial in the NBA and the Warriors are going to have unbelievable chemistry right from the opening tip of the season. PG Stephen Curry (23.8 PPG, 7.7 APG, 4.3 RPG, 2.0 SPG) now knows what it takes to win a championship and he will make sure his team is laser focused and ready to go for back-to-back titles. The team will be hoping that SG Klay Thompson (21.7 PPG) and PF Draymond Green (11.7 PPG, 8.2 RPG, 3.7 APG, 1.6 SPG, 1.3 BPG) continue to expand their games. If they can do that then it doesn’t matter what type of talent they acquire during the offseason. 11-to-2 odds are very tough to pass up for a team that plays as well on both sides as the Warriors.

    Miami Heat – The Heat acquired PG Goran Dragic (16.6 PPG, 5.3 APG, 1.1 SPG) at the trade deadline last season and that gave them a lethal starting lineup that included Dragic, SG Dwyane Wade (21.5 PPG, 4.8 APG, 3.5 RPG, 1.2 SPG), SF Luol Deng (14.0 PPG, 5.2 RPG), PF Chris Bosh (21.1 PPG, 7.0 RPG) and C Hassan Whiteside (11.8 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 2.6 BPG). The problem was that Chris Bosh was lost for the season due to blood clots in his heart. Bosh, however, is back healthy for the upcoming season and the Heat are now one of the deeper teams in the East after drafting SF Justise Winslow out of Duke and signing both PF Amar’e Stoudemire (11.5 PPG, 5.6 RPG) and SG/SF Gerald Green (11.9 PPG) to team-friendly contracts. If this bunch can find some sort of chemistry then it will really give the Cavaliers trouble in the Eastern Conference. Outside of the elite teams (that also happen to be the favorites listed above), Miami offers the best value in terms of a surprise team coming away with a championship.

    #6160
    admin
    Keymaster

    A trio of Western conference teams highlight regular season win totals
    By ANDREW CALEY

    The Westgate LV Superbook released their regular season win totals for the 2015-16 NBA season Tuesday and it is no surprise the Western Conference have the top three season win totals.

    Not only does the West have the top three season win totals, they own six of the top seven, with LeBron James’ Cavaliers being the lone Eastern Conference team in the bunch.

    The defending champion Golden State Warriors lead the way at 60.5 wins, followed by the Spurs at 58.5 and the Oklahoma City Thunder rounding out the trio at 57.5

    Check out the complete list of regular season win totals below:

    76ERS 21.5
    TIMBERWOLVES 25.5
    NUGGETS 26.5
    TRAILBLAZERS 26.5
    NETS 28.5
    LAKERS 29.5
    KINGS 30.5
    KNICKS 31.5
    HORNETS 32.5
    MAGIC 32.5
    PISTONS 33.5
    SUNS 36.5
    MAVERICKS 38.5
    JAZZ 40.5
    PACERS 42.5
    CELTICS 42.5
    BUCKS 43.5
    RAPTORS 45.5
    HEAT 45.5
    WIZARDS 45.5
    PELICANS 47.5
    BULLS 49.5
    HAWKS 49.5
    GRIZZLIES 50.5
    ROCKETS 54.5
    CLIPPERS 56.5
    CAVALIERS 56.5
    THUNDER 57.5
    SPURS 58.5
    WARRIORS 60.5

    #9742
    admin
    Keymaster

    2015-16 NBA Betting Against the Public Report
    by David Solar

    Sports insights

    Betting against the public is one of the most simple and popular methods used by Sports Insights’ members. The logic is simple: always bet against the public. Whichever team the public is loading up on, simply bet the other side.

    We have gone to tremendous lengths to conclusively prove that the NBA Betting Against the Public strategy will produce a positive return on investment (ROI). Every new season we update the betting percentage data and tally our earnings. We also reveal the optimal betting percentage threshold for betting against the public.

    Using our Bet Labs software, we analyzed over 13,000 NBA games played since the start of 2005 season to pinpoint the optimal level for betting against the public.

    We have continually explained how home field advantage is vastly overrated in every sport with the exception of baseball. Although NBA home teams have gone 8,247-5,502 (60.0%) straight up, those same teams have a losing record against the spread.

    Knowing that home teams and favorites have been historically overvalued, our first step in creating a new contrarian betting system was to focus on road underdogs. These teams have produced a 4,813-4,662 ATS record (50.8%) including an 893-821 ATS record (52.1%) over the past two seasons. Although this isn’t profitable enough to overcome the standard -110 juice charged by sportsbooks, it did show an edge which could be expanded upon.

    Once we had narrowed our search to spotlight road underdogs, we decided to determine the ideal range for public betting at our seven contributing sportsbooks.

    SPREAD PERCENTAGE RECORD (ATS) WINNING PERCENTAGE UNITS WON ROI

    All 4,813-4,662 50.8% -64.96 -0.7%

    ≤50% 3,212-3,122 50.7% -58.66 -0.9%

    ≤45% 2,464-2,388 50.8% -40.15 -0.8%

    ≤40% 1,701-1,573 52.0% +48.70 1.5%

    ≤35% 993-893 52.7% +54.40 2.9%

    ≤30% 445-375 54.3% +49.07 6.0%

    Our research showed a direct correlation between lower levels of public support and a higher winning percentage/return on investment. It also revealed that the sweet spot for contrarian road dogs receiving no more than 30% of spread bets. Over the past decade, teams fitting these criteria have gone 445-375 ATS (54.3%) with 49.07 units won and a 6.0% ROI.

    This alone would make for a profitable betting system; however, we have noticed a number of additional historic trends which can be used to improve our betting system.

    One trend that we have found across all major sports is that underdogs have performed exceptionally well in conference and divisional games. The familiarity between teams levels the playing field, and that disproportionately benefits the teams getting points. When we add this simple filter, our units won barely increased but the return on investment nearly doubles.

    Conf-Non Conf

    This one little filter increased our winning percentage from 54.3% to 56.8% while reducing our sample size by nearly 40%. Despite this reduction, we still have a very representative sample size with over 500 past system picks.

    While this system would fit all the criteria that we look for in a winning betting system, there was one more filter we wanted to examine. Contrarian strategy means constantly zigging when others zag, and perhaps the most overused and clichéd theory involves the supposed struggles of teams in the midst of a prolonged road trip.

    If visiting teams have been proven to be undervalued, it stands to reason that their value would continue to increase if they have been on the road for their past several games. This hypothesis was immediately validated when we found that teams who have played at least two consecutive road games have won 64.2% of their games against the spread.

    2015-16 NBA Bet Against

    By focusing on teams in the midst of a road trip, we were able to once again double our return on investment although our overall sample size shrunk dramatically. Based on the number of past results, bettors can expect roughly 20 system matches this season.

    Other historical trends for bettors to consider this season include:

    Teams coming off a loss have gone 6,701-6,582 ATS (50.4%). If they lost as a favorite, that record improves to 2,112-2,000 ATS (51.4%).

    Underdogs have performed exceptionally well in low-scoring games. Overall ‘dogs have gone 6,767-6,739 ATS (50.1%) but that record improves to 179-141 ATS (55.9%) when the total closes at 178 or less.

    Road teams have gone 2,127-2,062 ATS (50.8%) on the second night of back-to-backs. That record improves to 1,108-1,039 ATS (51.6%) when they lost the first end of their back-to-back.

    Double-digit underdogs have gone 1,053-970 ATS (52.1%), and that record improves to 851-761 ATS (52.8%) if their opponent made the playoffs in the previous season.

    Reverse line movement continues to be an excellent sharp money indicator. Teams receiving less than 40% of spread bets that see the line get at least 1.5-point worse (i.e. from +4 to +2) have gone 307-265 ATS (53.7%).

    #9772
    admin
    Keymaster

    2015-16 NBA Defensive Player of the Year
    NBA
    by DAVID SOLAR

    Throughout the offseason we have analyzed a number of NBA prop bets including Rookie of the Year Odds, MVP Odds, Divisional Odds, Championship Futures and Win Totals. On Wednesday morning, the popular offshore sportsbook 5Dimes became the first prominent oddsmakers to post odds for the 2015-16 NBA Defensive Player of the Year.

    Last season forward Kawhi Leonard became the first Spurs player to win the award since David Robinson in 1992 — barely edging out Draymond Green and DeAndre Jordan. All three of those players opened at +600 to win the award this season, but this year’s favorite may come as a surprise to many fans that haven’t followed the league closely.

    Rudy Gobert — also known as The Stifle Tower, The French Rejection or The Gobert Report — opened at +450 to win Defensive Player of the Year. The lanky 7’1″ center is quick off his feet and boasts an insane 7’8″ wingspan, making him one of the league’s most fearsome shot blockers.

    Last season Gobert averaged 8.4 points, 9.5 rebounds and 2.3 blocks per game despite starting less than half of Utah’s games. If we extrapolate his stats, we find that Gobert averaged 11.4 points, 12.9 rebounds and 3.2 blocks per 36 minutes.

    The table below displays the full Defensive Player of the Year odds at 5Dimes and will be updated throughout the season.

    PLAYER 5DIMES (10/21)
    Rudy Gobert +450
    DeAndre Jordan +600
    Draymond Green +600
    Kawhi Leonard +600
    Anthony Davis +1000
    Marc Gasol +1400
    Marcus Smart +2200
    Dwight Howard +2500
    Joakim Noah +3000
    Tony Allen +3000
    Serge Ibaka +3300
    DeMarre Carroll +4000
    Hassan Whiteside +4000
    Jimmy Butler +4000
    LeBron James +4000

    **If you’re looking for potential value, two long shots immediately jump off the board

    Hassan Whiteside (+4000)

    Paul George (+6600).

    Historically centers have dominated this award, with a clear premium placed on shot blockers. Prior to Kawhi Leonard’s win last season, 16 of the past 18 winners had been centers including a streak of six straight. (The two outliers were Ron Artest and Kevin Garnett — a prolific shot blocker in his own right.)

    With that in mind, bettors should definitely give Whiteside a long, hard look.

    After leaving the NBA for two seasons, the 26-year old big man posted career numbers with 11.8 points, 10 rebounds and 2.6 blocks per game. When we extrapolate those statistics, we find that Whiteside averaged 17.8 points, 15.2 rebounds and 3.9 blocks per 36 minutes. If Whiteside can remain healthy and continue to improve, he’ll be an absolute steal at 40/1.

    Our other selection
    Paul George, has his own set of obstacles to overcome. The 6’9″ forward missed almost the entire 2014-15 season after suffering a compound fracture of both bones in his left leg but has looked fantastic during the preseason. The bounce and athleticism are back, and George was one of the best defensive players before his injury.

    George led the league in defensive win shares during the 2012-13 season and finished second during the 2013-14 season. Although he’ll be asked to play out of position at the 4, George appears to be vastly undervalued at 66/1.

    #9857
    admin
    Keymaster

    STEPHEN NOVER

    My Top NBA Over / Under Win Totals
    October 22, 2015.

    Orlando Magic Over 34 1/2 Wins

    New coach Scott Skiles has a tremendous track record of turning around teams having done it with the Suns, Bulls and Bucks. The Magic have been stockpiling young talent for a couple of years and now it’s ready to pay off.

    The Magic’s win total is lower than it should be because they are under-the-radar right now especially in the backcourt with Elfrid Payton and Victor Oladipo and at small forward with Tobias Harris.

    Nikola Vucevic may be the most underrated big man in the league. He produced a double/doubles in 73 of the 74 games he played last season. It’s an added bonus if Aaron Gordon comes through at power forward after missing the last 34 games of his rookie season last year with a broken foot.

    Oladipo, Harris, Payton and Gordon are all ascending players. It’s a huge help, too, that the Magic play in the much weaker Eastern Conference.

    Memphis Grizzlies – Under 50 1/2 Wins

    Achieving more than 50 victories never is an easy task in the ultra-competitive Western Conference.

    The Grizzlies have been very reliable, but their rugged big men have some wear and tear and are another year older.

    Memphis lacks a perimeter game especially from beyond the arc. This weakness is magnified more in today’s NBA.

    The Grizzlies also didn’t add anyone of significance during the off-season, while some of their competition improved.

    #9871
    admin
    Keymaster

    INDIAN COWBOY

    O/U Wins

    8-Unit Selection – LA LAKERS – Under 29 1/2

    #10431
    admin
    Keymaster

    Spurs might have their hands full in loaded NBA Southwest Division
    By Steve Merril

    The San Antonio Spurs, now featuring LaMarcus Aldridge, are the faves to win one of the deepest division in the entire league. Can they fend off competition from the likes of Memphis, Houston and New Orleans?

    Steve Merril breaks down the best ways to bet the NBA’s Southwest Division:

    Dallas Mavericks (2014-15: 50-32 SU, 36-44-2 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +5000
    Season Win Total: 38.5

    Why Bet The Mavericks: Dallas has assembled a deep and talented roaster that has a lot of experience for the 2015 season. The Mavericks are a veteran-laden team, so they know how to navigate through the grind of a NBA season. The team should gel quickly as there are no big ego players on the roster.

    Why Not To Bet The Mavericks: Because of their team makeup, the obvious concern for the Mavericks is staying healthy. Older players tend to breakdown more often, and Dallas’ longest tenured player, Dirk Nowitzki, seems to be tailing off. Interior defense will also be an issue this season, so Dallas will be at a disadvantage against young, fast paced teams and teams that have dominant paint players.

    Season Win Total Pick: Under 38.5 Wins

    Houston Rockets (2014-15: 56-26 SU, 48-34 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +300
    Season Win Total: 54.5

    Why Bet The Rockets: Houston has an explosive offense that can outscore their opponent on any given night. The offense will play even faster this season with the acquisition of speedy point guard Ty Lawson. Houston also has a very good three-point shooting team, so defenses will be hard-pressed to slow this offense down. The Rockets have as deep and talented roster as any team in the NBA.

    Why Not To Bet The Rockets: The biggest concern for Houston once again this season is injuries. Dwight Howard is almost certain to miss time with some kind of lingering injury, and his absence makes the Rockets vulnerable around the rim. Houston ranked 29th in free throw shooting (70.1%) last season, and that’s an issue for the Rockets late in games.

    Season Win Total Pick: Over 54.5 Wins


    Memphis Grizzlies (2014-15: 55-27 SU, 40-40-2 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +700
    Season Win Total: 50.5

    Why Bet The Grizzlies: Memphis is one of the best frontcourt teams in the NBA. Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol are a formidable duo inside the paint, and added depth off the bench was an outstanding move by management. The Grizzlies’ core has been together for awhile, and with one of the best defenses in the NBA, Memphis is a tough out in each and every game.

    Why Not To Bet The Grizzlies: Offense doesn’t come easy for Memphis. Scoring the basketball consistently has held the Grizzlies back from getting to the next level. The Grizzlies do not hit enough three pointers, and that puts too much pressure on their defense. Memphis certainly has the talent and defense to win, but a lack of offense is their biggest culprit.

    Season Win Total Pick: Over 50.5 Wins

    New Orleans Pelicans (2014-15: 45-37 SU, 45-37 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +800
    Season Win Total: 47.5

    Why Bet The Pelicans: Anthony Davis is the best young two-way player in the NBA. Davis is a difference maker on both ends of the court, and as long as he’s playing, New Orleans has a chance to win. New head coach Alvin Gentry will speed up the tempo and turn the Pelicans into a very good offensive team this season, especially since they have terrific inside-out scoring balance.

    Why Not To Bet The Pelicans: New Orleans must avoid the injury bug, but that has been a major issue in the preseason so far. Davis can’t stay healthy; he has missed 14 games or more every year. The roster is full of injury prone players, and that is going to hurt their depth throughout an 82-game schedule.

    Season Win Total Pick: Under 47.5 Wins

    San Antonio Spurs (2014-15: 55-27 SU, 41-39-2 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: -160
    Season Win Total: 58.5

    Why Bet The Spurs: San Antonio is simply one of the best teams in the NBA. The Spurs are fantastic on both ends of the court because they have an incredible front court that was bolstered with the acquisition of LaMarcus Aldridge. Their team depth is the best in the league, and their on-court chemistry is second to none.

    Why Not To Bet The Spurs: The Spurs have aging veterans at two of the most important positions on the court; Tony Parker at point guard and Tim Duncan at center. Health is also a major concern for a veteran team, so the Spurs will have to hope to avoid the injury bug.

    Season Win Total Pick: Over 58.5 Wins

    #10432
    admin
    Keymaster

    Spurs might have their hands full in loaded NBA Southwest Division
    By Steve Merril

    The San Antonio Spurs, now featuring LaMarcus Aldridge, are the faves to win one of the deepest division in the entire league. Can they fend off competition from the likes of Memphis, Houston and New Orleans?

    Steve Merril breaks down the best ways to bet the NBA’s Southwest Division:

    Dallas Mavericks (2014-15: 50-32 SU, 36-44-2 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +5000
    Season Win Total: 38.5

    Why Bet The Mavericks: Dallas has assembled a deep and talented roaster that has a lot of experience for the 2015 season. The Mavericks are a veteran-laden team, so they know how to navigate through the grind of a NBA season. The team should gel quickly as there are no big ego players on the roster.

    Why Not To Bet The Mavericks: Because of their team makeup, the obvious concern for the Mavericks is staying healthy. Older players tend to breakdown more often, and Dallas’ longest tenured player, Dirk Nowitzki, seems to be tailing off. Interior defense will also be an issue this season, so Dallas will be at a disadvantage against young, fast paced teams and teams that have dominant paint players.

    Season Win Total Pick: Under 38.5 Wins

    Houston Rockets (2014-15: 56-26 SU, 48-34 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +300
    Season Win Total: 54.5

    Why Bet The Rockets: Houston has an explosive offense that can outscore their opponent on any given night. The offense will play even faster this season with the acquisition of speedy point guard Ty Lawson. Houston also has a very good three-point shooting team, so defenses will be hard-pressed to slow this offense down. The Rockets have as deep and talented roster as any team in the NBA.

    Why Not To Bet The Rockets: The biggest concern for Houston once again this season is injuries. Dwight Howard is almost certain to miss time with some kind of lingering injury, and his absence makes the Rockets vulnerable around the rim. Houston ranked 29th in free throw shooting (70.1%) last season, and that’s an issue for the Rockets late in games.

    Season Win Total Pick: Over 54.5 Wins


    Memphis Grizzlies (2014-15: 55-27 SU, 40-40-2 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +700
    Season Win Total: 50.5

    Why Bet The Grizzlies: Memphis is one of the best frontcourt teams in the NBA. Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol are a formidable duo inside the paint, and added depth off the bench was an outstanding move by management. The Grizzlies’ core has been together for awhile, and with one of the best defenses in the NBA, Memphis is a tough out in each and every game.

    Why Not To Bet The Grizzlies: Offense doesn’t come easy for Memphis. Scoring the basketball consistently has held the Grizzlies back from getting to the next level. The Grizzlies do not hit enough three pointers, and that puts too much pressure on their defense. Memphis certainly has the talent and defense to win, but a lack of offense is their biggest culprit.

    Season Win Total Pick: Over 50.5 Wins

    New Orleans Pelicans (2014-15: 45-37 SU, 45-37 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: +800
    Season Win Total: 47.5

    Why Bet The Pelicans: Anthony Davis is the best young two-way player in the NBA. Davis is a difference maker on both ends of the court, and as long as he’s playing, New Orleans has a chance to win. New head coach Alvin Gentry will speed up the tempo and turn the Pelicans into a very good offensive team this season, especially since they have terrific inside-out scoring balance.

    Why Not To Bet The Pelicans: New Orleans must avoid the injury bug, but that has been a major issue in the preseason so far. Davis can’t stay healthy; he has missed 14 games or more every year. The roster is full of injury prone players, and that is going to hurt their depth throughout an 82-game schedule.

    Season Win Total Pick: Under 47.5 Wins

    San Antonio Spurs (2014-15: 55-27 SU, 41-39-2 ATS)

    Odds To Win Division: -160
    Season Win Total: 58.5

    Why Bet The Spurs: San Antonio is simply one of the best teams in the NBA. The Spurs are fantastic on both ends of the court because they have an incredible front court that was bolstered with the acquisition of LaMarcus Aldridge. Their team depth is the best in the league, and their on-court chemistry is second to none.

    Why Not To Bet The Spurs: The Spurs have aging veterans at two of the most important positions on the court; Tony Parker at point guard and Tim Duncan at center. Health is also a major concern for a veteran team, so the Spurs will have to hope to avoid the injury bug.

    Season Win Total Pick: Over 58.5 Wins

    #10435
    admin
    Keymaster

    Kerr will not coach in Warriors’ opener
    Oct 24, 2015

    Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr will not be on the team’s bench to start the season, the team announced Saturday.

    Kerr remains out because of complications stemming from back surgery. Interim coach Luke Walton will act in his place when the Warriors open the season Tuesday at home against the New Orleans Pelicans.

    Walton has been coaching in place of Kerr throughout the preseason. General manager Bob Myers said there is no timetable on Kerr’s return.

    “Even if you ask Steve, he doesn’t know,” Myers said.

    Kerr had surgery on July 28 to repair an injury he sustained during the NBA Finals. The Warriors won the title over the Cleveland Cavaliers. He had another operation on Sept. 4 when the dura around his spine was cut and spinal fluid leaked during his first surgery.

    The spinal fluid leaks have caused Kerr to have agonizing headaches.

    Kerr was at the team’s practice Saturday and will make occasional visits until he is ready for a full return.

    Walton found out Friday that he would serve as head coach to start the season.

    “When he first stepped away, my gut told me he’d be back by the start of the season,” Walton said. “But my gut was wrong.”

    Kerr will be at Tuesday’s game for the team’s championship ring ceremony.

    #10436
    admin
    Keymaster

    NBA notebook: Bulls’ Rose plans to play in opener
    Oct 24, 2015

    Chicago Bulls point guard Derrick Rose plans to play in Tuesday’s regular-season opener against the Cleveland Cavaliers.

    Rose recently had surgery to repair a fractured left orbital sustained on the first day of training camp. He returned Friday night to play 10 minutes of the Bulls’ preseason finale against the Dallas Mavericks.

    Despite the limit in minutes and wearing a protective mask, Rose scored eight points on 4-of-6 shooting.

    “I don’t want to jinx myself, but my eye is improving every day,” Rose said. “It looks like it’s a go for me. This gives me a couple days to really work on it so I’m prepared for Tuesday.”

    —Golden State Warriors general manager Bob Myers announced Saturday that head coach Steve Kerr will not be leading his team on opening night.

    Kerr is still suffering from back surgery complications, meaning interim coach Luke Walton will continue his role into the regular season, including Tuesday’s opener against the New Orleans Pelicans.

    Kerr had back surgery July 28 to repair an injury he suffered while coaching in the NBA Finals. His leave of absence was prompted by a spinal fluid leak. A subsequent surgery was performed Sept. 4 to repair the issue.

    —Flip Saunders will not return to coach the Minnesota Timberwolves this season while he undergoes treatment for cancer.

    Saunders, 60, sat out the preseason after being diagnosed with Hodgkin’s lymphoma in June, but he was expected back at some point this season. However, he has been hospitalized since September after experiencing complications following the completion of chemotherapy.

    Timberwolves owner Glen Taylor confirmed the news on Friday. Asked about Saunders’ return to the bench this season, Taylor said, “Not this year. I just think his illness, I mean, it’s serious. At this point, if he came back, I still think he’d have a hard time to recover all his energy and all that because he has been in the hospital for a long time.”

    Sam Mitchell has been coaching the team throughout the preseason in Saunders’ absence and Milt Newton is handling the front-office responsibilities.

    —The Timberwolves waived guard Lorenzo Brown, center Kleon Penn and guard Nick Wiggins.

    —The Toronto Raptors waived free-agent guard Shannon Scott, guard-forward Axel Toupane and forwards Michale Kyser and Ronald Roberts.

    —The Dallas Mavericks waived center Samuel Dalembert, forward Brandon Ashley, guard Tu Holloway and forward Jamil Wilson.

    —The Atlanta Hawks waived center Earl Barron and forward DeQuan Jones.

    Both players appeared in four preseason games.

    —The Indiana Pacers waived forwards Kadeem Jack and C.J. Fair.

    Jack played in one preseason game and did not score. Fair played in five preseason games and averaged 1.6 points per game.

    —The Memphis Grizzlies waived forward Sampson Carter, guard/forward Yakhouba Diawara, guard Lazeric Jones and forward/center Alex Stepheson.

    —The Phoenix Suns waived center Henry Sims, reducing their roster to 14 players.

    Sims signed with the Suns on Sept. 16 and played in all six preseason games, totaling 10 points and seven rebounds in 28 minutes.

    —The Denver Nuggets waived guard Nick Johnson, center Oleksiy Pecherov and guard/forward Devin Sweetney, reducing their roster to 15 players.

    #10437
    admin
    Keymaster

    Don’t expect same ATS dominance from Hawks in Southeast
    By Matt Fargo

    The Atlanta Hawks stunned the NBA with their dominance out of the Southeast Division last season but have their work cut out for them in what could be one of the most competitive groups in the NBA. Matt Fargo breaks down the best ways to bet the NBA’s Southeast Division:

    Atlanta Hawks (2014-15: 60-22 SU, 50-30-2 ATS)

    Odds to win division: +125
    Season wins total: 49.5

    Why bet the Hawks: The Hawks are coming off their best season in the history of the franchise and backers won a ton of money as their 50 ATS wins were the most in the NBA. Not much has changed on the roster with the exception of losing DeMarre Carroll, so the Hawks will again contend in the Southeast and go after their ninth straight playoff appearance.

    Why no to bet the Hawks: Atlanta overachieved last season and it was able to win so many tickets because proper adjustments weren’t made. The Hawks will not sneak up on anyone this season after finishing with the best record in the Eastern Conference. Expect a big decline in all aspects.

    Season win total pick: Under 49.5 Wins

    Washington Wizards (2014-15: 46-36 SU, 33-46-3 ATS)

    Odds to win division: +220
    Season wins total: 45.5

    Why bet the Wizards: Unlike the Hawks, Washington had another underachieving season, failing to reach 50 wins for a 35th consecutive year. With expectations high, they failed miserably at the betting window but that should only help them this season. The loss of Paul Pierce hurts but John Wall is one of the best point guards in the NBA.

    Why not to bet the Wizards: This team is capable of underachieving again since that has been the norm for a while. Injuries have played a part in that as the depth is once again thin so if anyone goes down for a significant amount of time, Washington will not be cashing many tickets.

    Season win total pick: Over 45.5 Wins

    Miami Heat (2014-15: 37-45 SU, 35-43-4 ATS)

    Odds to win division: +220
    Season wins total: 45.5

    Why bet the Heat: The absence of LeBron James showed as Miami won 17 fewer games but failed to cover just two fewer games. The Heat were hit with injuries last season, namely Chris Bosh, who missed a lot of time with blood clots in his lungs. Now fully healthy and with Goran Dragic here for a full season, Miami could surprise.

    Why not to bet the Heat: This team isn’t getting any younger and even though James is gone, this is still a public team. Because of that, lines are adjusted and the Heat have suffered two straight losing seasons against the number. Because the projected win total is significantly higher, larger lines may once again be the norm.

    Season win total pick: Over 45.5 Wins

    Charlotte Hornets (2014-15: 33-49 SU, 39-41-2 ATS)

    Odds to win division: +4000
    Season wins total: 32.5

    Why bet the Hornets: Charlotte has been all over the place the last three years, winning 21, 43 and 33 games and the covering percentage has gone on a similar path. The projected win total remains about the same and with new additions and some player departures, there are questions here but that could lead to some early season value.

    Why not to bet the Hornets: When teams go through significant roster changes, it may take a while for the chemistry to show up so it may be smart to avoid the Hornets until we see how they are progressing. The loss of Michael Kidd-Gilchrist is a killer as he is expected to be out until April with a shoulder injury.

    Season win total pick: Over 32.5 Wins

    Orlando Magic (2014-15: 25-57 SU, 41-40-1 ATS)

    Odds to win division: +4000
    Season wins total: 32.5

    Why bet the Magic: Despite just 25 wins last season, the Magic finished above .500 at the betting window and has been so bad for so long, expectations will be low once again which can lead to many good betting opportunities. The reason is that Orlando has the talent in place to make significant improvements and actually make a playoff run.

    Why not to bet the Magic: While talent is there, this is a young team without much veteran leadership so any early problems could lead to massive bad runs. Orlando had the worst ATS record in the Eastern Conference two years ago and that was with just two less outright wins than last season. A bad start early in the season could make betting tough.

    Season win total pick: Over 32.5 Wins

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