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ALCS G-6 – Friday Service Plays 10/23/15

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    ALCS Game 6 betting preview: Blue Jays at Royals

    Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals (+124, 7.5)

    Royals lead series 3-2.

    David Price’s struggles in the postseason during his career and this October in particular will all be forgotten with one dominant outing on Friday. Price will take the mound looking for his first career postseason win as a starter when the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Kansas City Royals in Game 6 of the American League Championship Series on Friday.

    Price gets another chance because the Blue Jays offense showed up on Wednesday and battered Edinson Volquez and the Kansas City staff in the 7-1 triumph. The big hit came from Troy Tulowitzki, who is 4-for-8 with six RBIs in Toronto’s two wins in the series and 3-for-11 with one RBI in the three losses. The Royals are heading home for the final two games in the series and are showing no panic while sitting on a 3-2 lead. “That’s why homefield was so important to us,” Kansas City manager Ned Yost told reporters after the Game 5 loss. “We really wanted to play four games in our park. And we’re taking a 3-games-to-2-lead back to where we are comfortable and back to our home fans that support us and are fantastic.”

    TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

    LINE HISTORY: Books have moved to Kansas City +124 after opening around +120. The total opened at 7.5.


    Blue Jays – P Aaron Loup (Probable, personal).

    WEATHER: Temperatures in the high-60s with a 58 percent chance of thunderstorms. Wind will blow out to centerfield at around nine miles per hour.


    Blue Jays LH David Price (1-2, 7.02 ERA) vs. Royals RH Yordano Ventura (0-1, 6.57)

    Price has allowed 10 runs in 13 2/3 innings in his two starts this postseason, dropping him to 0-7 in his seven career turns as a playoff starter. It looked like the free agent to-be was on his way to a win in Game 2 with six scoreless innings before a misplay in short right field opened the floodgates to a five-run inning and an eventual 6-3 setback. Price has allowed a total of 13 earned runs in the postseason – matching the total from his final seven regular season outings.

    Ventura is still looking for his first win of the 2015 postseason and allowed three runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings while going up against Price in Game 2. The 24-year-old does have 16 strikeouts in 12 1/3 innings over three appearances this postseason to go along with six walks. Ventura surrendered a total of one run and six hits over 14 innings in his final two regular season starts.


    1. Blue Jays 3B Josh Donaldson has hit safely in each of the five ALCS games and doubled in the last two.

    2. Royals 3B Mike Moustakas is 5-for-35 in the postseason.

    3. Kansas City RHP Kelvin Herrera has 14 strikeouts in seven innings across seven postseason appearances.


    * Road team is 4-0 in umpire Jeff Nelson’s last four games behind home plate.

    * Blue Jays are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Kansas City.

    * Blue Jays are 5-1 in Price’s last six road starts.

    * Royals are 7-1 in their last eight games vs. a left-handed starter.

    PREDICTION: Blue Jays 5, Royals 2


    2015 baseball playoff information

    American League
    Blue Jays vs Royals

    Price is 1-2, 7.23 in his last three starts (over 3-1-1 last five) he is winless in seven playoff starts, but does have two playoff wins in relief. He retired 18 in a row in his last start before a rough 7th inning doomed him. .

    Ventura is 0-1, 6.57 in his last three starts (under 4-2). .

    Blue Jays lost four of last seven games with KC; home side won 11 of last 14 series games. Toronto is 5-5 in playoffs (over is 7-3-1 in their last 11 games).

    Royals won 11 of their last 15 games (over 6-3 last nine); they get to World Series for second year in row with win here or in Game 7.


    MLB Baseball Betting Trends – Friday – Oct, 23

    Toronto at Kansas City, 8:05 PM EDT
    Toronto: PRICE is 0-7 TSR in playoff games
    Kansas City: 14-5 SU in home games against AL East opponents


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play On – Home teams (KANSAS CITY) average hitting team (AVG =.265 to .279) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.50) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start 81-32 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.7% | 37.3 units ) 8-6 this year. ( 57.1% | -1.7 units )


    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

    KANSAS CITY is 62-39 (+22.7 Units) against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
    The average score was: KANSAS CITY (4.5) , OPPONENT (3.8)



    Baseball Crusher
    Toronto Blue Jays -126
    over Kansas City Royals
    (System Record: 93-5, lost last 2 games)
    Overall Record: 93-92-3


    Weather could be factor in ALCS Game 6
    Oct 22, 2015

    The Toronto Blue Jays will try to beat the Royals and the weather Friday night in Kansas City to force Game 7 in the American League Championship Series.

    The Blue Jays stayed alive in the best-of-seven series with a 7-1 victory in Game 5 on Wednesday in Toronto. A chance of rain is in the forecast for Friday, though the storm could move out of the area before game time.

    Both teams fell behind in the first round of the postseason and rallied to advance.

    The Royals were on the brink of losing their best-of-five American League Division Series when they were down 6-2 to the Houston Astros in Game 4. However, Kansas City came back to win that game 9-6, then posted a 7-2 win in Game 5.

    The Blue Jays trailed the Texas Rangers 2-0 in their ALDS before erasing the deficit and moving on. More recently, after losing the first two games to Kansas City, Toronto battled back to pull within 3-2 in the ALCS.

    Getting pushed to the brink seems to bring out the best in the Blue Jays.

    “You look at all the elimination games, our offense has really come to life,” Blue Jays manager John Gibbons said. “We’ve said all along that’s the key to our team, scoring runs. You hate to make a habit of it, but maybe we can pull it off again.”

    Facing elimination for the second time in the ALCS, the Blue Jays will send left-hander David Price to the mound in Game 6 to face Royals right-hander Yordano Ventura.

    Price took the loss in Game 1 when he gave up five runs in the seventh inning after shutting out the Royals until then. He is now 0-7 as a starter during his career in the playoffs.

    “I know what I’m capable of doing, and I think everybody in this room knows what I’m capable of doing,” Price said. “I think I just kind of want to do it too bad. And it’s long overdue for me to get a win as a starter in the playoffs, and I’ll be ready to change that story (Friday).”

    Ventura and the Royals will be looking to secure a World Series berth with a win in their home park. Ventura left the opening game of the ALCS after giving up three runs and eight hits in 5 1/3 innings.

    “Very fortunate and happy that this game has landed on my turn here in Kansas City and with the opportunity for me to take this club to the World Series,” Ventura said. “And I’ll be ready for (Friday’s) game.”

    Royals manager Ned Yost feels good about sending Ventura to the mound. The 24-year-old has started seven playoff games the past two seasons for Kansas City.

    “He keeps us in the game,” Yost said. “He’s got a lot of confidence in his abilities, he’s got a lot of confidence in his stuff, and you know the moment is not going to overwhelm him.

    “He’s gotten past all that. He’s learned some great lessons this year about how to handle adversity and how to be a No. 1 guy. We saw it last year during the playoffs, just kind of found a way to take his game to just a little bit of a different level. We expect him to do that (Friday night).”

    Gibbons thinks his team is in a good frame of mind after the Game 5 win.

    “Well, it got us back here,” he said. “That’s huge for the morale. Well, really, we had to have it. We just felt great getting it.

    “Our goal, of course, was to bring it back to Kansas City. We did that. And we’re riding high right now. But we always ride high, if you want to know the truth. We don’t always win, but we feel good.”



    50 Dime
    Game Six Living Lock

    Kansas City Royals +120



    8:00 PM ET
    1 Star
    Toronto @ KC
    #971 Play Over 7 (-125)



    100* Blue Jays -130



    Risked 5 units to win 6.15 Kansas City Royals +123 vs Toronto Blue Jays



    Kansas City/Toronto – Under 7.5 (-110) 3* 8:00 ET



    Kansas City +126 2* 8:05 Eastern


    MLB Baseball Betting Trends – Friday – Oct, 23

    Toronto at Kansas City, 8:05 PM EDT
    Toronto: PRICE is 0-7 TSR in playoff games
    Kansas City: 14-5 SU in home games against AL East opponents



    10* MLB Toronto -130

    5* MLB Toronto – UNDER 7.5

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