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CBB • Monday Service Plays • 3/21/16

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    Good morning Ladies & Gents

    I’ve to do some errands very early, site will be updated around 12 pm E.T.
    As always, thanks for your support.
    Have a great week!!!


    2016 NCAA Tournament Results
    By VI News


    Wager Favorites-Underdogs
    Straight Up 36-12
    Against the Spread 26-21-1

    Over-Under 26-22

    First-Four Games


    Matchup Score ATS Result

    Florida Gulf Coast (-5.5) vs. Fairleigh Dickinson
    96-65 Favorite-Over (153.5)

    Vanderbilt vs. Wichita State (-3.5)
    70-50 Favorite-Under (134)


    Holy Cross (+2, +115 ML) vs. Southern
    59-55 Underdog-Under (129)

    Michigan (-2) vs. Tulsa
    67-62 Favorite-Under (142.5)

    First Round – Thursday March 17


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    UNC Wilmington vs. Duke (-10)
    93-85 Underdog-Over (154)

    Butler (-3.5) vs. Texas Tech
    71-61 Favorite-Under (143)

    Connecticut (-3.5) vs. Colorado
    74-67 Favorite-Over (131)
    Iona vs. Iowa State (-6.5)

    94-81 Favorite-Over (165.5)


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Yale (+5.5, +210 ML) vs. Baylor
    79-75 Underdog-Over (136.5)

    Hampton vs. Virginia (-23)
    81-45 Favorite-Under (130)

    Austin Peay vs. Kansas (-24.5)
    105-79 Favorite-Over (150.5)

    Arkansas-Little Rock (+8, +330 ML) vs. Purdue
    85-83 (2OT) Underdog-Over (127.5)


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Buffalo vs. Miami-Florida (-14)
    79-72 Underdog-Over (148)

    Chattanooga vs. Indiana (-10.5)
    99-74 Favorite-Over (148.5)

    Florida Gulf Coast vs. North Carolina (-23)
    83-67 Underdog-Over (149.5)

    Fresno State vs. Utah (-8.5)
    80-69 Favorite-Over (138.5)


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Wichita State (+1, +100 ML) vs. Arizona
    65-55 Underdog-Under (136)
    Stony Brook vs. Kentucky (-13.5)
    85-57 Favorite-Under (143)

    Providence (-2.5) vs. Southern California
    70-69 Underdog-Under (150)

    Gonzaga (-2) vs. Seton Hall
    68-52 Favorite-Under (145.5)

    First Round – Friday, March 18

    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Syracuse (-1) vs. Dayton
    70-51 Favorite-Under (129)

    UNC Asheville vs. Villanova (-18)
    86-56 Favorite-Under (142.5)

    Virginia Commonwealth (-4.5) vs. Oregon State
    75-67 Favorite-Over (141.5)

    Hawaii (+6, +220 ML) vs. California
    77-66 Underdog-Over (140)


    Matchup Score ATS Result

    Middle Tennessee (+16.5, +2000 ML) vs. Michigan State
    90-81 Underdog-Over (141.5)

    Temple vs. Iowa (-7)
    72-70 (OT) Underdog-Over (139.5)
    Cal State-Bakersfield vs. Oklahoma (-15)

    82-68 Underdog-Over (140.5)

    South Dakota State vs. Maryland (-9)
    79-74 Underdog-Over (142)


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Pittsburgh vs. Wisconsin (+1, +100 ML)
    47-43 Underdog-Under (130.5)

    Stephen F. Austin (+7, +260 ML) vs. West Virginia
    70-56 Underdog-Under (145.5)

    Green Bay vs. Texas A&M (-13)
    92-65 Favorite-Over (153.5)

    Holy Cross vs. Oregon (-22.5)
    91-52 Favorite-Over (133.5)


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Weber State vs. Xavier (-13)
    71-53 Favorite-Under (147)

    Michigan vs. Notre Dame (-3)
    70-63 Favorite-Under (143)

    Northern Iowa (+3, ML +130) vs. Texas
    75-72 Underdog-Over (125)

    Cincinnati vs. St. Joseph’s (+3.5, ML +145)
    78-76 Underdog-Over (136.5)

    Second Round


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Miami, Fl. (+1.5, ML +110) vs. Wichita State
    65-57 Underdog-Under (129)

    Duke (-6.5) vs. Yale
    71-64 Favorite-Under (148.5)

    Kentucky vs. Indiana (+4, ML +175)
    73-67 Underdog-Under (157)

    Iowa State (-5.5) vs. Arkansas-Little Rock
    78-61 Favorite-Under (143.5)

    Virginia (-8) vs. Butler
    77-69 Push-Over (130)

    North Carolina (-11) vs. Providence
    85-66 Favorite-Under (152)

    Kansas (-7.5) vs. Connecticut
    73-61 Favorite-Under 140)

    Utah vs. Gonzaga (-1)
    82-59 Favorite-Over (137.5)


    Matchup Score ATS Result
    Iowa vs. Villanova (-6)
    87-68 Favorite-Over (146)

    Virginia Commonwealth vs. Oklahoma (-6.5)
    85-81 Underdog-Over (147)

    Hawaii vs. Maryland – –

    Middle Tennessee vs. Syracuse (-6)
    75-50 Favorite-Under (129.5)

    Wisconsin vs. Xavier – –

    Stephen F. Austin vs. Notre Dame (-1.5)
    76-75 Underdog-Over (139.5)

    Texas A&M vs. Northern Iowa – –
    Oregon vs. St. Joseph’s – –

    “Sweet Sixteen”

    Matchup Score ATS Result
    TBD vs. Miami-Florda – –
    TBD vs. Duke – –
    TBD vs. Kansas – –
    TBD vs. TBD – –

    Matchup Score ATS Result
    North Carolina vs. Indiana – –
    Iowa State vs. Virginia – –
    Gonzaga vs. TBD – –
    TBD vs. TBD – –
    Elite Eight

    Matchup Score ATS Result
    TBD vs. TBD – –
    TBD vs. TBD – –

    Matchup Score ATS Result
    TBD vs. TBD – –
    TBD vs. TBD – –

    “”Final Four & Championship””

    Matchup Score ATS Result
    TBD vs. TBD – –
    TBD vs. TBD – –
    TBD vs. TBD – –

    *Next update this morning.


    George Washington split last six games; they’re 12-2 outside the A-14. Colonials are #26 experience team, start three seniors. Monmouth won 14 of last 17 games; they lost to Dayton by 3 in their only A-14 game. Hawks play #18 pace, start no seniors. A-14 teams are 7-3 vs MAAC this year, 4-4 vs spread when favored.

    Georgia Tech is 2-1 vs SEC teams this year, losing by 14 at Georgia; Tech won seven of last nine games, losing to Louisville/Virginia; they’re 3-6 in last nine road games. South Carolina is 4-5 in its last nine games, 2-2 in last four at home. ACC teams are 11-8 vs SEC clubs this season, 3-6 vs spread when an underdog.

    San Diego State is 19-3 in its last 22 games they struggle on offense but have #1 eFG% defense in country. Washington is young, runs like hell, playing pace #2 (Aztecs are #311); Huskies beat Long Beach 107-102 in first round NIT game. Pac-12 teams are 14-4 vs Mountain West so far this season, 3-0 vs spread when an underdog.

    Duquesne lost nine of its last 11 games; they gave up 80 points in 2nd half of last game, beating Omaha 120-112 in ABA-like action. Dukes are obviously bad on defense; they also turn ball over 18.9% of time (#233). Morehead State won seven of last eight games, winning at Siena in first round; Eagles split pair of games with A-14 opponents this season.

    Ohio U is 9-3 in its last 12 games; they’re an offensive team, shooting 38.7% on arc (#20), with #24 eFG%- they stink on defense. Bobcats are a young team (#289 experience), starting one senior. NC-Greensboro won five of last six games after a 9-17 start- they won at Chattanooga in last road game. Spartans are 5-9 outside of SoCon this season.

    Vermont-to-Seattle is very long road trip; Catamounts won eight of last nine games, losing America East title game by 6 at Stony Brook. Seattle is 3-5 in its last eight games; they turn ball over 22.9% of time, 5th-most in country- they’re a bad offensive team. Vermont makes 38.5% on arc (#27), has #20 eFG%; they’re young team, starting three sophs.

    Nevada is 3-0 vs Big Sky teams this season, winning by 21-3-4 points; they beat Montana by 4 in first round, after trailing by 13 in second half. Wolf Pack might get PG Coleman back- he is listed as probable. Eastern Washington lost five of its last seven games; they beat Pepperdine by 7 in first CBI game- they lost last two road games, by 16-4 points.

    Boston U lost 90-76 at NJIT November 19, despite Terriers’ 14-27 nite on arc; BU is 9-3 in its last 12 games, winning at Fordham in first round of this tourney. NJIT is 7-3 in its last ten games; they made run in last year’s postseason, losing at Northern Arizona in tourney final. NJIT is young, starting two sophs, two juniors.


    Monday’s NIT Tip Sheet
    By David Schwab

    This season’s National Invitational Tournament takes center stage on Monday night when it comes to betting on college hoops.

    Kicking things off in the second round is a trio of games featuring a matchup between George Washington and Monmouth at 7:00 p.m. (ET) followed by Georgia Tech squaring-off against South Carolina in a 9:00 p.m. start. The third game on the slate is a late 11:30 p.m. start out west between Washington and San Diego State.

    George Washington Colonials vs. Monmouth Hawks (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: Monmouth -3 ½, 153

    Betting Matchup

    George Washington was able to get past Hofstra in its NIT opener with a tight 82-80 win last Wednesday as a six-point favorite. The total went OVER 152 ½ points in that game and it has gone OVER in its last four contests. The Colonials had four starters score in double figures in the opener led by junior forward Tyler Cavanaugh’s 20 points. They a have averaged 75.2 points per game this season while shooting 44.4 percent from the field.

    Monmouth came into this tournament as a No. 1 seed and it got off to a strong start in a 90-80 victory over Bucknell as 8 ½-point favorites last Wednesday. The total went OVER the closing 161 ½-point line after staying UNDER in four of its previous five games. The Hawks are averaging 79.4 PPG, but that was the first time they exceeded that average in their last six outings. Junior guard Justin Robinson scored 23 points in the winning effort.

    Betting Trends

    — The Colonials have failed to cover in their last four games against a team with a SU winning record and the total has gone OVER in four of their last five games following an ATS loss.

    — The Hawks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight nonconference games and the total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven games following a SU win.

    — This will be the first meeting between these two teams in recent memory.

    Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. South Carolina Gamecocks (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: South Carolina -4, 144 ½

    Betting Matchup

    After bowing-out of the ACC Tournament in a 72-52 loss to Virginia as 10-point underdogs, the Yellow Jackets started their run in the NIT with an 81-62 victory against Houston as four-point favorites. The total has now stayed UNDER in four of their last five games. Senior guard Adam Smith has the hot hand in last Wednesday’s win with 20 points while going 6-for-12 from the field. He has now scored 20 points or more in three of his last four starts.

    South Carolina rebounded from a tough 65-64 loss to Georgia in the SEC Tournament as a 1 ½-point favorite with a convincing 88-66 romp over High Point in last Tuesday’s NIT opener as a heavy 16 ½-point favorite. The total has stayed UNDER in six of its last eight games. The Gamecocks were missing five players against High Point due to an indefinite team suspension, but they still managed to top their 75.9 point scoring average.

    Betting Trends

    — The Yellow Jackets are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU winning record and the total has stayed UNDER in three of their last four games against the SEC.

    — The Gamecocks are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games and the total has gone OVER in seven of their last 10 games played at home.

    — This will be the first meeting between these two teams in recent memory.

    Washington Huskies vs. San Diego State Aztecs (ESPN, 11:00 p.m. ET)

    Opening Odds: San Diego State -5, 148

    Betting Matchup

    The Huskies advanced to this second round clash with a wild 107-102 win against Long Beach State, but they could not cover as 9 ½-point favorites. They are now 2-3 ATS in their last five games with the total going OVER in three of those contests. Freshman guard Dejounte Murray put-up 30 points in that game and freshman forward Marquese Chriss added 27 points while going 11-for-17 from the floor.

    San Diego State came into the NIT as a No. 2 seed after losing to Fresno State 68-63 in the Mountain West Tournament as a four-point favorite. The Aztecs hammered IUPU Fort Wayne 79-55 in their NIT opener last Tuesday as 9 ½-point favorites. Senior forward Winston Shepard led the way in Tuesday’s win with 10 points, 10 rebounds and 12 assists. San Diego State is only averaging 68.1 PPG, but at the other end of the court it is holding opponents to an average of just 60.3 points a game.

    Betting Trends

    — The Huskies have covered in four of their last five road games and the total has gone OVER in their last five nonconference games.

    — The Aztecs are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five games played on Monday and the total has stayed UNDER in 19 of their last 27 games against the Pac-12.

    — The home team in this matchup is 3-1 ATS in the last four meetings with Washington going a perfect 4-0 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in the last two games.


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play On – Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MONMOUTH) in a game involving two average defensive teams (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after scoring 85 points or more
    62-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.9% | 31.2 units )
    19-12 this year. ( 61.3% | 5.8 units )

    Play Against – Any team (WASHINGTON) explosive offensive team – scoring 84+ points/game on the season, after a combined score of 155 points or more
    828-954 since 1997. ( 46.5% | 110.3 units )
    114-115 this year. ( 49.8% | -3.3 units )

    Play Under – All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 poor defensive team – allowing 77+ points/game on the season, after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more
    169-99 since 1997. ( 63.1% | 60.1 units )
    37-26 this year. ( 58.7% | 8.4 units )



    100* Monmouth -3.5

    100* MLBx – NY Mets -135



    Seattle +4.5 over Vermont

    Washington +5 over San Diego State



    Game: Duquesne Dukes (627) @ Morehead State Eagles (628)
    Time: Monday 03/21 7:00 PM Eastern
    Pick: Morehead State -4.5 (-110)
    The Ohio Valley Conference always has some pretty good teams, and amongst them annually is Morehead State. The Eagles have finished their season at .500 or better in eight of the last nine years, and look for win number 20 as they take on Duquense at home in the CBI Tournament. The Eagles played their way through a dreadful 1-6 stretch early on and rallied back to finish 14-5, and are now playing their best basketball of the season having won six straight at home. Duquense, once upon a time, was 10-2 as they played a very soft out of conference schedule, but that caught up to them as they finished at 7-14 in their last 21 games. The big gap here is Morehead State can knock down some 3s, and Duquense is the worst team in basketball defending them, allowing over 40% from beyond the arc on the road. Make the play on Morehead State.


    College Basketball Betting Trends – Mon – Mar, 21

    George Washington at Monmouth, 7:00 ET
    George: 6-15 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days
    Monmouth: 21-12 ATS in all lined games

    Georgia Tech at South Carolina, 9:00 ET
    Geogia Tech: 34-55 ATS in road games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
    South Carolina: 9-1 ATS in non-conference games

    Washington at San Diego State, 11:30 ET
    Washington: 10-2 ATS after a home game where both teams scored 75 or more
    San Diego St: 4-15 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days

    Duquesne at Morehead St, 7:00 ET
    Duquesne: 20-35 ATS in March games
    Morehead St: 9-0 ATS after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7


    Gaming Today

    ‘Consensus Pick’
    622 South Carolina -4


    Weekend Warrior – Mark Mayer

    620 Monmouth -3.5


    Brandon Lang

    20 Dime Boston College over New Jersey Tech.
    The current line on this game is +4 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.


    Dave Essler = CBB Sides – Monday, Mar 21 2016 7:00PM

    #619 George Washington 3.0(-120) vs #620 Monmouth
    ‘Triple-dime bet’

    Analysis: Should have fired at +3.5 but needed confirmation – it cost me a little juice and a push if it lands on 3. Write up to follow.



    South Carolina Gamecocks -3.5
    3 Units


    Ralph Michaels – California Sports

    #631 2* Vermont -4.5 Seattle 10PM
    (a regular at Cal Sports 3*)
    LY Seattle made was invited to the CBI Tourney and sold out both home games. So this season with a 7-7 conference record they again got invited and got to host the first 2 rounds. If you are looking at the matchups for this game that is not a typo as Seattle is 15-16 on the season while Vermont comes in at 22-13 having won 8 of their last 9 and while their road record of 8-9 is respectable they actually won 7 of their last 10 on the road. The Catamounts are deep and talented and over their last 9 games they have 5 players averaging double digits. With the disappointment of losing to Stony Brook in the America East tourney behind then look for this post-season savvy group (8th straight year in post-season action) to we’ll call it here, win the CBI. FYI: Teams had only one common opponent so not a fair comparison but both hosted UC Santa Barbara with the Catamounts winning 75-68 and the Redhawks losing 88-50.

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