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CBB • Saturday Service Plays • 1/16/16

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    NEWSLETTER College Basketball Prediction From Robert Ferringo

    Take Wake Forest (-2.5) over Syracuse (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 16)
    Here is a situation where we might as well just keep pounding against Syracuse. The Orange are off the rails and it is a confluence of factors working against them. But first and foremost is the fact that they just aren’t any good. This is the least talented Syracuse team of the last six or seven years, and they just don’t have many options. Wake Forest has revenge for a game up in The Dome last year that they should’ve won, instead falling 86-83 in overtime in a game they should’ve won. The Orange are a horrific 5-23 ATS in their last 28 ACC games and they are just 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games overall. Wake Forest is a legit tournament-caliber team that doesn’t have a bad loss on its resume. But they still need to pick up some quality wins. And with games against UNC, Miami and Virginia on deck this is a game the Demon Deacons absolutely have to have. As long as the spread is below 3.5 this is an easy take for me.


    NEWSLETTER College Basketball Prediction From Strike Point Sports

    Take North Carolina over N.C. State (Noon, Saturday, Jan. 16)
    The Tar Heels welcome local neighbors N.C. State, but this ACC rivalry game will be all Carolina Blue. The Wolfpack have started 0-2 in league play away from home, and the Dean Dome isn’t the type of place where you reverse your poor road form. Carolina is starting to hit a groove and really become a consistent and dangerous team night in and night out. N.C. State has a seven-man rotation, and that lack of depth is going to be a problem against this deep and skilled UNC team. North Carolina rolls past its counterpart this afternoon.


    Lee Sterling

    Free College Basketball
    Miami (FL) -3.5


    College Basketball

    Home side won five of last six Villanova-Georgetown tilts; Wildcats lost four of last five visits here, with only win by five in ’14. Villanova is 5-0 in Big East, winning road games by 14-5 points- their only two losses are to top 10 teams. Georgetown won five of last six games, winning its Big East home games over Marquette/DePaul. Hoyas are 0-4 vs teams in top 50, losing by 7-2-15-13. Big East home underdogs are 2-4 vs spread.

    Notre Dame won three of last four games with Duke, but lost by 30 here LY in series where home side won last three games. Irish split first four ACC games; they’re 2-1 in true road games, losing by 11 at Virginia, with wins at Illinois/BC. Duke got upset at Clemson last game; they’re 3-1 in ACC, winning by 17-16-24 points, with two of three wins on the road. ACC single digit home favorites are 7-4 vs spread.

    Home side won four of last five Miami-Clemson games; Hurricanes lost five of last six visits to Palmetto State. Clemson beat Louisville/Duke in last two games, getting to foul line 56 times; they’ve won four games in a row after a 7-6 start. ACC home underdogs of 7 or less points are 6-2 vs spread. Miami had 8-game win streak snapped at Virginia in last game; ‘canes have true road wins at Nebraska/LaSalle.

    Home side won seven of last nine VCU-Richmond games, a crosstown rivalry; Spiders were 2-1 vs VCU LY, but are 4-12 in last 16 series tilts overall. Rams won last seven games after 5-5 start, winning first four in A-14, with road wins by 3-16 points. Richmond is 2-6 vs top 100 clubs; they’re #42 at protecting ball, important vs VCU’s press. A-14 road teams are 9-4 vs spread in games where spread was 6 or less points.

    Wm & Mary won last six games with NC-Wilmington, winning three in row here by 6-23-4 points. Tribe won its last four games, with wins at Drexel by 9, Charleston by 2. UNCW plays like Louisville, forcing TOs 21.9% of time; they scored 88 ppg in winning last two games, were held to 63-60 in two CAA losses, to Northeastern, Towson. Seahawks lost by 5 to Georgetown in only top 100 game. CAA home favorites are 5-9.

    Home side won last five West Virginia-Oklahoma games; Mountaineers lost last three visits here by 13-10-19 points. WV has true road wins at K-State/TCU; they force turnovers 28.3% of time (#1), 23.1% in league games. Sooner star Hield had 10 TOs himself in last game. Oklahoma is turning ball over 19.2% of time in league (#9 of 10); they’re 2-0 at home in Big 12, winning by 4-10. Big X home favorites are 7-6 vs spread.

    Providence won six of last seven games with Seton Hall, winning four in row, three by 7 or less points. Friars’ last two games were decided by a total of 3 points; they’ve won nine of 10 games overall. Pirates lost last two games by 9-15 points; they’re 2-3 vs top 70 teams, its best win over #22 Wichita State. Big East home favorites are 8-8 vs spread. Seton Hall is turning ball over 20.1% of time in conference play (#7 of 10).

    Washington won eight of last nine games with Arizona State, winning its last four visits here; Huskies had won three nail-biters in row to start its Pac-12 sked, then got hammered in second half at Arizonaon Thursday. ASU has worst eFG% defense in league play, beating Wazzu by 11 for first win last game. Pac-12 home favorites of 4+ points are 7-2. against spread. Huskies are playing fastest pace in league in conference play.

    Home side won seven of last eight Green Bay-Valparaiso games; Green Bay lost last four visits here, by 3-12-15-4 points. Crusaders are off to 4-0 Horizon start, with 12 points closest game; Valpo has #14 eFG% defense in country. Green Bay is 4-1 in Horizon, losing at Youngstown when Penguins made 11-20 on arc; Phoenix is 1-3 vs top 100 teams, its only win over Akron. Horizon home favorites are 9-4 vs spread.

    Florida coach White played PG at Ole Miss, returns home with Florida squad that lost last four games to Rebels, losing by 4-1 in last two visits to Ole Miss’ old gym- they opened the new one two weeks ago. Rebels won first two games in new gym by 1-8 points; they’re 7-0 at home, 4-3 vs top 100 teams. Ole Miss shoots just 31% on arc. SEC home teams are 6-3 vs spread in games where spread was 5 or less points. .

    LSU won five of last six games with Arkansas; Hogs lost last six visits to Baton Rouge, Tigers won first two SEC home games by 18-9 points; they scored 78+ points in last six wins, were held to 71-62 in last two losses. Arkansas has blocked 12% of shots in SEC play; they scored 88.7 ppg in winning last three games after 6-7 start- they’re 2-5 against top 100 teams, SEC home favorites are 12-4 against the spread.

    Boise State won last nine games with win over Oregon; Broncos swept San Diego State by 15-10 points LY- they’re 3-3 in last six games with Aztecs, who split four visits here. Boise won first two MW home tilts by 4-11 points; they’re #9 defensive rebounding team in league, could be problem vs athletic Aztecs. San Diego State won by 3-7 points in first two conference road games. MW home favorites are 7-7 vs spread.

    Chattanooga beat East Tennessee State by 3-8 points in Bucs’ first year in SoCon; Moccasins won first two SoCon home games by 19-12 points but ETSU is 4-0 in league, with wins at Samford, WCU. Bucs are 1-3 in top 100 games with win at Ga Tech; they’ve made half their 3’s in first four SoCon games. Chattanooga is getting to foul line more than anyone in league. SoCon home favorites are 10-4 vs spread.


    Hot & Not Report
    By Joe Williams

    Who’s Not

    Now that we’re into mid-January, bettors definitely have their favorites, and teams they like to avoid. There are a handful of teams with records agaisnt the spread (ATS) that are so good, and others are mired in a swoon that will not seem to end. We’ll touch on a few of those teams to help you prepare and cash more winners.

    Minnesota Golden Gophers (1-8 ATS L/9) – The Gophers have been awful against the number lately, going 1-9 SU/1-8 ATS since their surprise win over Clemson in the Big-10/ACC Challenge back on Nov. 30. In the first few games of the Big 10 season are any indication, the season is about to get much, much longer, especially on the road. Minnesota is 0-3 ATS in three conference road games, losing by an average of 16.3 points. Overall they’re 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS in the Big Ten. The Gophers face an Indiana Hoosiers (14-3 SU, 9-8 ATS) which has won nine in a row, while covering six of their past nine. Indiana routed Minnesota 90-71 in Bloomington last season, and you can probably expect similar results this time around.

    Saint Louis Billikens (1-10 ATS L/11) – The Billikens have been terrible against the spread dating back to last season, and things haven’t improved at all this season. Outside of a stunning straight-up win Jan. 6 against George Washington as a 9 1/2-point underdog (ML +425), the Bills have stunk against the number. In fact, going back to last season they are 2-15 ATS over their past 17. This Sunday they face a George Mason team which is in the basement of the Atlantic 10, but which has proven to be a challenge for St. Louis since the Patriots joined the A-10. SLU is 2-2 SU (with the two wins both in overtime during the 2013-14 season) while going 0-4 ATS in the past two seasons. After that, Davidson (10-5 SU, 4-10 ATS) pays a visit Wednesday.

    Who’s Hot

    Indiana State Sycamores (7-0 ATS L/7) – Larry Bird is somewhere smiling, as his alma mater is not only covering spreads, but they’re playing good overall basketball, too. The Sycamores are on a four-game win streak, and they have covered seven in a row, as they hurtle towards a date with Missouri Valley Conference champ Wichita State (11-5 SU, 7-7 ATS) Sunday. The good news is that I-State is on a seven-game cover run, but the bad news is that they are 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS in their past five meetings with the Shockers sicne a 68-55 upset win in Wichita back on Jan. 29, 2013 as a 12-point ‘dog. On Wednesday, they will meet a Southern Illinois team which was humbled by 25 againt the Shockers and is currently on a two-game non-cover skid. The Sycamores are very attractive in that one.

    Kansas State Wildcats (5-0 ATS L/5) – K-State has been on fire, at least against the number, covering each of their past five contests. They have been a tough out, playing Texas tough before losing 60-57 back on Jan. 5, and they took West Virginia to overtime Jan. 2 before losing a heartbreaker in Manhattan. In fact, they’re just 1-3 SU in conference play, but an impressive 4-0 ATS. That unblemished ATS conference mark will be put to the test when Iowa State (12-4 SU, 6-6-1 ATS) comes calling. The Cyclones enter 0-3 ATS in their past three, and they lost straight-up 70-69 in Manhattan last season despite entering as a 3 1/2-point favorite. In fact, the Cyclones are 0-4 ATS in their past four regular season meetings with the Wildcats dating back to Jan. 26, 2013.

    Total Notes

    — North Carolina has watched the ‘over’ cash in nine straight games. The Tar Heels play North Carolina State this Saturday.

    — Marquette is on a 6-1 run to the ‘over’ and hosts Xavier on Saturday.

    — Bradley has seen the ‘under’ cash in five of its last six and it’s been held to 50 or less points in five of those games. The Braves meet Missouri State on Saturday at home.

    — Boston College visits Pittsburgh on Saturday and brings a 7-1 ‘under’ run into this game. The Eagles have scored 54, 54 and 40 points in their first three conference games.


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play On – A road team (ARKANSAS) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against an average 3PT defense (32-36.5%), after a game – shooting 57% or higher, allowing 43% or lower
    59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
    5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

    Play Against – Any team (AUBURN) average shooting team (42.5-45%) against an good defensive team (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after a game – allowing a shooting pct. of 55% or higher
    94-49 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.7% | 40.9 units )
    4-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 4.8 units )

    Play Over – Road teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=32%) after 15+ games 89-45 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.4% | 39.5 units ) 4-3 this year. ( 57.1% | 0.7 units )


    Andre Ramirez

    UTEP vs Texas-San Antonio
    75 Dimes STRIP CLUB MOVE – Under

    Utep is averaging 75 ppg, while Texas San Antonio averages just 68 points. Utep is coming into this game as a -5.5 point favorite. Utep has only put up 80 points or more in 6 games out of 17. This total should be 80-75 at the high.

    Play the under here for today’s winner.



    Basketball Crusher
    Temple +4
    over Cincinnati
    (System Record: 36-1, lost last game)
    Overall Record: 36-40-2

    Clemson +4.5 over Miami Fl

    Texas A&M -1.5 over Georgia

    Texas-San Antonio +6.5 over UTEP


    Huddle Up Sports

    ‘Guaranteed Lock’
    Xavier -6′

    ‘Best Bets’
    North Carolina -15
    St Josephs -11
    Georgetown +7



    College Basketball
    12:00 PM ET
    1 Star
    Ohio St @ Maryland
    Take Ohio St +10.5



    ? Selections
    2* (519) NC State +15.5
    2* (537) Fordham +11
    2* (616) Vandy -11
    2* (656) Mississippi +1.5
    2* (679) Denver +4



    100* Marshall -2.5

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