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College Basketball
Wisconsin won seven of last eight games, one of which was 63-55 Jan 31 at Illinois; Badgers shot 55.6% inside arc, only 2-14 outside it. Badgers won last nine games with Illinois, which lost last five visits to Madison, by 10-14-23-25-19 points. Illinois lost six of last nine games, with two of wins in OT; only twice in six road games have they lost by more than a basket. Big 14 double digit home faorites are 16-10 vs spread.
Hofstra won 96-92 in 3OTs at Northeastern Jan 21, playing subs total of only 16 minutes in a 55:00 game- win snapped an 8-game series skid with Northeastern. Huskies won last four visits here- they won in 3OTs at JMU Thursday, their 3rd win in row- three guys played 44+ minutes. Hofstra won its last three games, scoring 82.3 ppg; they’re 5-2 at home. CAA home favorites of 7 or less points are 12-18 vs spread.
Tulsa was +14 (19-5) in turnovers in 75-60 home win over UCF Jan 24, Hurricanes’ 6th win in last eight series games- they lost two of last three visits here. Tulsa lost three of last four on road- win was at SMU- they are 4-3 in last seven games overall. UCF lost seven of last eight games, including four in row at home, three by 11+ points. AAC home dogs of 8+ points are 3-5 against the spread.
UMass is 3-2 in last five games after starting 1-7 in A-14; they’re 2-1 vs George Mason in A-14 pay- road team won all three games. Mason has forced least turnovers of any team in country; they’re 3-10 in A-14, but two of wins came on road (Richmond/St Louis);- three of their four road losses were by 11+ points. A-14 single digit home favorites are 17-18 against the spread. Really isn’t lot to choose from here.
Michigan made 12-29 on arc in a 70-67 home win over Maryland Jan 12 that ended Terps’ 9-game win streak; Wolverines are 2-3 last five games; all five of their Big 14 losses are by 10+ points. Maryland scored 60 ppg in losing last two games, but C Stone was suspended last game, is back here. Terps are 6-1 at home, but three wins were by 6 or less points. Big 14 home favorites of 8+ points are 22-13 vs spread.
San Diego State is 12-1 in conference but only one of its five road wins was by more than 7 points; Aztecs beat San Jose 77-62 at home Jan 6, shooting 57% inside arc as they won 4th straight series game, all by 15+ points. Spartans are 3-4 at home in W, with one loss by more than nine points- they lost last three games overall, by 3-16-6- points. Mountain West home underdogs of 5+ points are 9-3 vs spread.
Wichita State beat Indiana State 82-62 at home Jan 17; they were +11 in turnovers (16-5), +11 on foul line. Shockers won seven games in row vs ISU, winning last three here by 4-7-10 points. Sycamores lost their last four games but are 6-1 at home in Valley, losing by 7 to SIU. Wichita St is 3-2 in last five games, could now be bubble team if they don’t win the MVC tourney. Missouri Valley double digit home underdogs are 2-5.
Ill-Chicago split its last six games after starting season 0-18 vs teams in D-I; Flames lost 86-61 at Oakland Jan 10- Grizzlies outscored UIC on foul line, 32-14, in winning for 5th time in six series games- they lost to UIC in LY’s Horizon tourney, won by 15-14 in two visits here. Horizon double digit home underdogs are 3-5 vs spread. Oakland is 7-1 on road in Horizon, losing by hoop at first place Valparaiso Friday, 86-84.
UAB beat Middle Tennessee 78-67 at home Jan 3, after being down 12 at half; Blazers won last four series games- they split two visits here, both decided by 5 points. UAB split its last four road games; needed OT to win at Southern Miss- they’re 18-2 in last 20 games overall. MTSU is 10-2 in its last 12 games- they’re 6-0 at home in conference. C-USA home favorites of 5 or less points are 14-5 vs spread.
USC is 6-0 at home in Pac-12 this year, 8-5 overall in league after going 5-31 in Enfield’s first two seasons; Trojans lost last seven games against Utah, losing by 8-28 in last two played here- favorites covered last four series games. Utah won eight of last ten games, getting swept in Oregon; they’re 4-4 on Pac-12 road. Pac-12 home favorites of 4 or less points are 5-8 vs spread. Home team won USC’s last eight games overall.
Houston came to Philly and hammered Temple 77-50 Jan 2, holding the Owls to 3-23 on arc- they’ve won three of last four series games, with a 88-74 win in last one played here, in ’14. Cougars won six of last seven games, including four in row at home, with wins over SMU-Tulsa. Owls won last two road games; this is their first road game in 15 days. AAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-3 vs spread.
Cal won its last four games, three by 12+ points, winning last three with PG Wallace back in lineup; Golden Bears won five of last six games with Washington State, winning by 4-9 in last two visits here. Cal was 0-5 on Pac-12 road until 78-75 win in Seattle Thursday. Wazzu lost its last 12 games, last two by 41-16 points- four of its last five home losses were by 12+. Pac-12 double digit underdogs are 3-9 vs spread, 0-1 at home.
Monmouth had 8-game win streak snapped by Iona Friday; losing its leading rebounder Jones (hand) isn’t good. Hawks beat St Peter’s 73-57 at home Jan 30, Hawks’ second strait series win after three losses.- they won 63-58 here LY. Peacocks are playing third game in five days after splitting pair of one-point decisions Wed/Thurs- they’re 6-2 at home in MAAC. MAAC home underdogs of more than 5 points are 2-7.
StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets
CBB | BOSTON COLLEGE at WAKE FOREST
Play Under – All teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points after scoring 65 points or less 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 165 points or more
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )CBB | MANHATTAN at QUINNIPIAC
Play Against – Any team (QUINNIPIAC) after 2 straight games making 37% of their shots or worse against opponent after a game where a team made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse
205-129 since 1997. ( 61.4% | 60.0 units )
7-5 this year. ( 58.3% | 2.0 units )CBB | NORTHEASTERN at HOFSTRA
Play Against – A home team vs. the 1rst half line (HOFSTRA) after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more, a good team (60% to 80%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%)
46-18 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
9-7 this year. ( 56.3% | 1.3 units )Winning Points thru Feb 24th
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B6sajG-5qqAMQUFyb19HRjMwMGs/view
Playbook Feb 20-26
https://drive.google.com/file/d/0B9k6ZRfLv4bCUGJVNWFXRm1rdE0/view
Basketball Crusher
East Carolina +19 over Southern Methodist
(System Record: 52-3, won last game)
Overall Record: 52-59-3Michigan +8.5 over Maryland
Temple +4 over Houston
George Mason +6 over Massachusets
Dave Essler | CBB Sides – Sunday, Feb 21 2016 7:00PM
854 Houston -4.0(-110) vs 853 Temple
‘Triple-dime bet’Analysis: I do think waiting might get us a better number – but as usual want these out as soon as we can. Temple was crushed at home by the Cougars at home this season, so my only overnight hesitation was whether or not the Owls would be in revenge mode. We know they will, of course – but this is a situation and a matchup issue, IMO. Temple shot 3-23 in that last game from behind the are, and the Owls ARE a streaky shooting team. But, the Cougars are 7th in the nation in defending the perimeter, allowing less than a 30% make rate. Conversely Houston does much more damage offensively inside, which is where Temple’s defensive vulnerability shows up. Temple doesn’t get to the FT line very often – nor do they shoot well from it. Houston’s FT % isn’t tremendous, but they do get there more – which should add up. Houston beat Tulsa badly at home, LSU at home, Memphis, and even SMU. They can beat Temple. The Owls on the road – beat a UConn team that beat themselves (we were on Uconn, I know) – lost at Memphis, lost at a terrible ECU team, and struggled to beat both UCF and USF. If they finally played well enough on the road, great – but history says not tonight. Houston has a reasonable length advantage – so the only way Temple wins is to get super hot from deep, and back to the beginning, Houston a Äs a GREAT perimeter defense – the matchup “Trumps” the situation here.
ONLINE SPORTS WINNERS
Play Wichita State -11.5 over Indiana State (TOP NCAA PLAY)–VIP PLAY
Wichita State has covered the spread in 30 of the last 42 games when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5 points and they have covered the spread in 16 of the last 24 games when playing as a favorite. Wichita State has covered the spread in 25 of the last 34 road games and they have covered the spread in 16 of the last 21 games when playing in the month of February.Extra NCAA Basketball Plays
Play George Washington -16 over LaSalle
Play Valparaiso -14 over Detroit
FantasySportsGametime
10000* Play SMU -19 over East Carolina
East Carolina has lost 76 of the last 132 games against the spread when playing in the month of February and they have lost 63 of the last 105 games against the spread coming off an UNDER the total in their last game. East Carolina has lost 59 of the last 103 games against the spread after having lost six or seven of the last eight games and they have lost 48 of the last 79 games against the spread when revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent.10000* Play San Diego State -8.5 over San Jose State
San Jose State has lost 33 of the last 54 games against the spread when the total posted is between 120 and 129.5 points and they have lost 92 of the last 160 games against the spread when playing their 2nd game in eight days. San Jose State has lost 68 of the last 119 games after scoring 55 points or less in their last game and they have lost 96 of the last 173 games against the spread coming off three or more losses.500* Play Valparaiso -14 over Detroit
500* Play George Washington -16 over LaSalle
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