- November 16, 2015 at 10:16 pm #14907
*THIS PLAY IS FOR TUESDAY MORNING’S ALL-DAY HOOPS MARATHON*
*NO SPREAD HAS BEEN POSTED; I WILL UPDATE MONDAY NIGHT*
2-Unit Play. Take #754 East Tennessee State (+2) over UW-Green Bay (*6 A.M.*, Tuesday, Nov. 17)
NOTE: This game tips off TUESDAY as part of the 24-hour hoops marathon. This game doesn’t have a rotation number or a spread available yet. It should be posted at some point this afternoon, at which time I’ll update my number. There is a slim chance the books won’t line this game. If that happens I’ll take it off the board and it obviously won’t count toward our overall tally. But they books generally do line these random games because they are part of the marathon so I am projecting the line here. Check your books this evening. If it has a line in this neighborhood (+/-4) then make the play. If not then don’t worry about it. We will have plenty more action on Tuesday.
And the bottom line is that no matter where this spread ends up – likely between +2 and -2 for the home team – I’m going with ETSU. I think that this is a decent little team and they should jump all over Green Bay, which is coming off a disappointing overtime loss at Stanford over the weekend. Green Bay was definitely more up for that game against Pac-12 team than they will be for a 6 a.m. tip in East Tennessee. This one has letdown spot written all over it. I would’ve taken ETSU in this game no matter where or when it was played. But given the situational edge this one is too good to pass up.November 17, 2015 at 9:52 am #14908
24 Hour Marathon Plays
2* (546) Long Beach St +4
2* (716) Hawaii -5
2* (718) Rhode Island -1
2* (754) E Tennessee St PICK
2* (755) SFA +2.5November 17, 2015 at 10:00 am #14913
Colorado +1.5 over Auburn
(System Record: 11-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 11-9
DePaul +4.5 over Penn StateNovember 17, 2015 at 10:43 am #14941
10:00 AM ET
Valparaiso @ Rhode Island
Take Valparaiso +1November 17, 2015 at 10:49 am #14943
Notes for Tuesday’s games……….
Rhode Island lost its best player Matthews (knee) for season last week; Rams have three other starters back from LY’s 23-10 team- it will be hard to replace Matthews’ scoring. Valparaiso waxed ona by 25 over weekend; they’ve got all five starters back. A-14 teams are 2-6 vs spread so far this month; Horizon teams are 4-0 on road.
Former NBA coach Avery Johnson coaches his first college game here; Alabama is little short on talent in Johnson’s first year, so it is a rebuilding year. Dayton’s leading returning scorer Pierre is not in school this semester for off-court reasons; Flyers were a top 25 team before the suspension. A-14 home favorites are 1-5.
Auburn nipped in-state rival UAB 75-74 Friday, winning in the last minute being up 14 in first half; Tigers are in Year Two of Pearl era– they got to line 31 times against experienced UAB. Colorado lost by 6 to Iowa State in its opener, turning ball over 18 times. Buffs have three starters back from LY, but lost two of best three guys.
Oklahoma hasn’t played yet; they’ve got four starters back from a 24-11 team that made Sweet 16- they’re top 10 preseason team. Big X teams are 4-3 vs spread so far this month; AAC teams are 5-3, 1-1 as dogs. Memphis won its opener by 18; Tigers have eight new guys, as seven guys left- their chemistry should be better this season.
DePaul won its opener by 6 over Western Michigan; Blue Demons made 25-36 from line, only 2-15 on line- they’ve got three starters back from LY– been years since they were good. Penn State won its opener by 12 over VMI; they’ve got three starters back from a 18-16 team. Big 14 home favorites are 6-3 vs spread.
Harvard lost its PG for year this summer (knee), lost first D-I game by 12 to Providence Saturday; Crimson made 9-20 from arc, but it had 22 turnovers without its PG. UMass beat Howard 85-79 in its opener after being down 14 with 16:56 left; they were 28-44 on the line- they only used seven players more than 12:00.
Duke won by 3-7 points in only two games with Kentucky since 2002; Blue Devils scored 102.5 ppg in pair of wins over stiffs- they made 19-51 from arc. Kentucky won by 15-30 in its first two games; both teams have so many new players (5 of 10 starters in game are frosh/sophs), hard to know what to expect. Game is in Chicago, which is Krzyzewski’s hometown.
Georgetown-Maryland is eagery awaited local matchup; Terps are top 3 pick in country, with Trimble one of best frosh in country. Hoyas lost 82-80 in double OT to Radford in opener, a red flag for their chances. Maryland has three starters back from 28-7 squad that won an NCAA game. Hoyas lost three starters from LY.
Kansas beat Michigan State 61-56 LY on neutral floor in Florida; State shot 31% inside arc in game, Jayhawks took 10 more FTs and was +8 on boards. Kansas has four starters back from 27-9 team that won an NCAA tourney game- they start two juniors, and two seniors. Spartans started two sophs, three seniors in their opener..
Stephen F Austin was 61-8 last two years, but lost by at Baylor by 42 in their opener; Bears are way more athletic than SFA. Northern Iowa won 79-77 in OT at SFA last year, shooting twice as many FTs (30-14) as Lumberjacks, in game SFA led by 8 with 12:50 left to go. Panthers lost their opener at home to Colorado St. Saturday.
Murray State won 68-49 at Middle Tennessee LY, Blue Raiders hit 1-22 from arc at home, but Racers lost four starters and head coach from LY- they beat a stiff by 50 first game. This is MTSU’s opener; they’ve got lot of good players, but no great ones- they compete in practice to see who starts, not always great for chemistry.
Western Illinois was 10-21 LY but upset Wisconsin as underdogs of 26 points Friday; Leathernecks were 7-9 from arc in Madison, start two juniors, two seniors. Ill-Chicago’s new coach is McClain, old Wyoming coach; his Flames lost to USF by 3 in opener- Dons shot 39 FTs, UIC 18 at home. Flames started two frosh in opener.
Oregon State has excellent freshman class that includes Stephen Thompson’s son and coach Tinkle’s son; Beavers hammered stiff in first game- they’ll get tested here by Iona team that lost by 25 at very good Valparaiso in opener. Gaels start three seniors, are used to winning and like to play fast- this will be an interesting result. MAAC road underdogs are 3-6 vs spread this season.November 17, 2015 at 10:55 am #14944
Games of the Day
Kentucky vs. Duke, Kansas vs Michigan State
♦Kentucky Wildcats vs. Duke Blue Devils (+2, 156.5)
Game to be played as neutral site at United Center in Chicago, Illinois
Second-ranked Kentucky and fourth-ranked Duke are revamped programs and the two powerhouses engage in a big-time early-season clash in the Champions Classic at the United Center in Chicago on Tuesday. The Blue Devils won last season’s NCAA title with No. 3 overall NBA pick Jahlil Okafor leading the way while the Wildcats reached the Final Four before being eliminated and saw standout center Karl-Anthony Towns become the top selection of the NBA draft.
Both programs have reloaded with highly regarded freshman and have cruised to two easy victories. Kentucky forward Skal Labissiere averaged 17.5 points in his first two collegiate games and had 26 points on 10-of-12 shooting in Saturday’s 87-57 victory over New Jersey Institute of Technology. Duke forward Brandon Ingram is averaging 18 points but it has been holdover Grayson Allen leading the way with a 27-point average. “We don’t want to have to lose to learn from something,” Allen, a sophomore, said after Saturday’s 113-75 victory over Bryant. “We want to learn from wins. We want the freshmen to be really good, and they’re going to have to be really good for us.”
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
The Blue Devils opened as 2.5-point dogs and have been bet up +2. The total has held at its opening number of 156.5.
INJURY REPORT: N/A.
ABOUT KENTUCKY (2-0, 1-1 ATS, 2-0 O/U): Labissiere made 76.5 percent of his shots in the two victories and the Wildcats also received a boost from freshman guard Isaiah Briscoe in the win over NJIT. Briscoe missed the opener with a knee injury and set the tone in his debut with 11 points and 12 rebounds. “The biggest thing was, Isaiah makes us a different team,” Calipari said afterward. “He has a winning attitude. He’s going to do what it takes, he’s going to play to win.”
ABOUT DUKE (2-0, 0-1 ATS, 1-0 O/U): Junior shooting guard Matt Jones averaged 14.5 points on 11-of-17 shooting in the two easy wins as he goes from role player to starter. Jones had a career-best 19 points in the victory over Bryant but played just three minutes in the second half as coach Mike Krzyzewski was mindful of the looming matchup with Kentucky. “I just decided not to play Matt the rest of the second half just as a precaution, not that he was hurt,” Krzyzewski said afterward. “He’s not hurt or anything, but he’s been not practicing as much because of the groin.”
* Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last five neutral site games.
* Duke is 6-0 ATS in its last six neutral site games.
* Under is 15-6 in Kentucky’s last 21 non-conference games.
* Under is 20-7 in Duke’s last 27 neutral site games.
CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the defending champs in this early matchup of Top 5 teams, with 61 percent of ATS wagers on the Blue Devils. Total bets are almost split down the middle, with 51 percent of wagers on the under.
♦Kansas Jayhawks at Michigan State Spartans (+6, 149)
Game to be played at neutral site at United Center in Chicago, Illinois
Two of the most talented and experienced teams in the country meet in an early showdown when No. 13 Michigan State takes on fifth-ranked Kansas in the Champions Classic on Tuesday at the United Center in Chicago. The Spartans have nine of their top 11 scorers back while the Jayhawks return four starters; both had impressive routs in their openers.
Michigan State is likely to be without 6-9 junior Gavin Schilling (turf toe) for the second straight game, but the Spartans come in off an 82-55 win over Florida Atlantic last week. “If we improve on it, we’re gonna go there and compete and it’s gonna be a hell of a game,” Michigan State coach Tom Izzo told reporters. “If we don’t improve on it, we’re gonna go there and get our butts kicked.” Kansas drained 15 shots from 3-point range – one shy of matching the school record – in a 109-72 victory over Northern Colorado on Friday. Sophomore guard Devonte’ Graham, however, told reporters on the next challenge, “That will be a real honest test for us going forward.”
TV: 10 p.m. ET, ESPN
The Jayhawks have opened as 6.5-point favorites and have been bet down to the current number of -6. The total has stayed put at its opening number of 149.
Kansas – F Cheick Diallo (out indefinitely, eligibility).
Michigan State – F Gavin Schilling (out Tuesday, toe), F Marvin Clark Jr. (out indefinitely, toe).
ABOUT KANSAS (1-0, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): The Jayhawks are awaiting final word from the NCAA on the eligibility of 6-9 freshman Cheick Diallo, but five players scored in double figures during the opener. Brannen Greene, who averaged 5.7 points in 2014-15, led everyone with 18 against Northern Colorado while last season’s top three scorers – Perry Ellis (16 points), Wayne Selden Jr. (15) and Frank Mason III (11 points, nine assists) – all shone. Graham could be the key after joining Mason in the starting backcourt and posting 13 points, eight assists and three steals.
ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (1-0, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Deyonta Davis, a 6-10 forward/center, became the third Spartan to record a double-double (13 points, 11 rebounds, five blocks) in his career debut – matching Derrick Nix and Matt Steigenga. The Michigan Gatorade Player of the Year joins Matt Costello on the front line along with Javon Bess. Lourawls Nairn Jr. runs the show while Denzel Valentine, who had 13 points and nine assists in the opener, and Bryn Forbes – a career 41.4-percent 3-point shooter – give Michigan State plenty of weapons on the perimeter.
* Kansas is 4-1 ATS in its last five non-conference games.
* Michigan State is 6-1 ATS in its last seven non-conference games.
* Under is 6-1 in Kansas’ last seven neutral site games.
* Under is 8-3 in Michigan State’s last 11 games versus the Big 12.
CONSENSUS: The public is loving the Spartans, with 69 percent of ATS wagers on Michigan State. The consensus is also giving the edge to the over, with 58 percent of wagers backing it.November 17, 2015 at 12:43 pm #14946
Joe wiz pay after you win
(719) AlabamaNovember 17, 2015 at 12:51 pm #14954
4* 728 Xavier -14November 17, 2015 at 12:58 pm #14957
2* Colorado +2November 17, 2015 at 1:05 pm #14963
SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS
Risked 4 units to win 3.92
Oklahoma -4 -102 vs Memphis U
Risked 4 units to win 4.4
Duke +110 vs Kentucky
Risked 3 units to win 2.86
Maryland -8 -105 vs Georgetown
Risked 2 units to win 1.87
Kansas -5 -107 vs Michigan StateNovember 17, 2015 at 1:45 pm #14964
5* Wichita State -4
5* Murray State -2.5
3* Oklahoma @ Memphis Under 148.5
3* Missouri @ Xavier Under 143November 17, 2015 at 1:49 pm #14971
Tuesday Marathon Pick
1* UNDER 142.5 Alabama/DaytonNovember 17, 2015 at 2:09 pm #14972
Sam Casey late play
First HalfNovember 17, 2015 at 2:11 pm #14973
HarvardNovember 17, 2015 at 2:14 pm #14974
Game: Oklahoma Sooners (723) @ Memphis Tigers (724)
Time: Tuesday 11/17 5:00 PM Eastern
Pick: Memphis +4 (-104) at Bet33
Oklahoma heads to the FedEx Forum in Tennessee on a 2-9 spread run. The Sooners are 2-7 ATS against a team with a winning record, as well as 0-4 ATS in their last four games away from home. Memphis heads into its second game of the season following a 67-49 win over Southern Mississippi on Saturday. Oklahoma has the big names in the starting unit, but Memphis has a strong bench. The Tigers Trahson Burrell scored 11 points off of the bench in the opener, hitting half of his six shots in the game, while also grabbing five rebounds. Memphis holds a 36-20 lead in the all-time series against the Big 12 conference. Memphis also leads the all-time series with the Oklahoma Sooners by a 5-0 margin, including 2-0 in games where the Sooners are ranked. Grab the points on Memphis.
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