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CBB • Wednesday Service Plays • 12/9/15

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  • #19017

    College Basketball

    Temple won its last seven games with Penn, but none of last four were by more than nine points; Owls are 3-4, losjng first true road game in last game at Wisconsin– this is inner-city rivalry vs Penn, who lost last three games, by 6-6-19 points- they’re shooting 28.3% on arc. Big 14 favorites are 13-10 away from home; Ivy League underdogs are 7-18 vs spread.

    7-2 Valparaiso’s last four games were all decided by 6 or less points; they force turnovers 21.3% of time, are 2-2 in true road games, with all four of them decided by 6 or less. Indiana State lost three of last four games, are shooting 28.9% from arc- one of its four losses are by more than 8 pts. Horizon road favorites are 5-1 vs Spread; MVC home dogs are also 5-1.

    Toledo lost two of last three games with Detroit, losing 82-79 to Titans at home LY; Rockets are 6-2 this year, with best win by hoop over #161 Green Bay. Detroit upset Northeastern at home Saturday, its first win in four D-I games; Titans are shooting 42% inside arc, are in bottom ten in country in getting to foul line. MAC road favorites are 6-3 vs spread; Horizon home dogs are 3-5.

    DePaul is 1-3 outside Chicago, with only win over Norfolk State; Blue Demons are 1-3 vs top 200 teams, with best win over #155 W Michigan. Drake is 3-4 vs D-I teams despite making 40.9% on arc; Bulldogs’ best win is over #118 Pepperdine- they’re in bottom 25 in country in terms of experience. Big East road favorites are 3-1; MVC home dogs are 5-1.

    Injury-riddled Illinois is 4-5, but 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 1-11-5 points- Yale is top 100 team right now. Illini has #311 eFG% defense, is 4-1 when allowing less than 80 points- they’re very thin. Yale is 5-3 with best win over #153 Vermont; they’re rebounding 41.1% of own misses. Ivy League road dogs are 5-14. Big 14 home favorites are 20-17.

    Creighton won last four games with in-state rival Nebraska by 10-22-15-10 points; Cornhuskers lost last six visits here (four of six by 10+), but Bluejays lost last two games overall by total of five points. Creighton is shooting 57% inside arc has #15 eFG%. Nebraska is 1-3 vs top 10 teams, losing to Cincinnati/Miami by total of nine points- they beat Tennessee.

    Wisconsin allowed 59 ppg in beating Syracuse/Temple in last two games after 65-48 loss at Oklahoma; Badgers are rebounding 40.4% of their own misses, are 3-1 vs teams outside top 100, winning last three by 27-14-18 points. Milwaukee lost by 8 at Notre Dame in only game against team in top 125; they shot 14-21 from arc in that game to cover spread.

    Vanderbilt lost to Kansas/Baylor in last three games; best teams they’ve beaten are #75 Stony Brook, #85 Wake Forest; Commodores are making 40.3% on arc- they also have #3 eFG% defense. Dayton is 6-1, beating Alabama of SEC by 32- they lost by 29 to Xavier in finals of Orlando tourney. Flyers are turning ball over 21.4% of the time.

    BYU won last three games with Utah State by 2-11-10 points; Cougars are 4-0 at home, with best win over #81 Belmont- they turn the ball over 21% of time, are shooting just 59.5% on foul line. Utah State has a new coach- they had good win at Weber State, beat four stiffs and lost by 33 at Duke, hard to tell much. WCC home favorites are 10-12 vs spread.

    UNLV is 5-1 vs D-I teams with wins over Oregon/Indiana; this is their first true road game, vs Wichita State team that got VanVleet back from injury vs Saint Louis (played 18:00, had 7 assists). Shockers are 2-4 vs D-I teams, have play Rebels/Utah this week as they try to reboot their season. Mountain West road underdogs are 4-10 against the spread.

    Pepperdine-Long Beach are playing for first time in six years; Waves beat Montana by 6 in only D-I home game; they’re shooting only 29.5% from arc, are 3-4 vs D-I teams. Long Beach is 4-5 vs #17 schedule; they shoot ball better this year (40.6% on arc) but are overscheduled again. Waves 49ers won at Colorado State, their only road win in three tries.

    St John’s lost three of last four D-I games; they’re 4-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 9-22-2-7 points. Red Storm turns ball over 21.5% of time, is shooting 31.7% on arc- they play Syracuse next. Niagara is 0-4 on road, losing by 17-11-4 points; they lost three of last four overall, are turning ball over 22.3% of time. MAAC road underdogs are 7-12.

    Hofstra won last three games by 6-4-6 points; their subs play 5th-least minutes in country. Pride is shooting 42.3% on arc (#17), has won road games at St Bonaventure/LaSalle. Siena lost two of last three games, with losses by total of five points; Saints are turning ball over 21.8% of time. Hofstra is #16 in experience, has really good senior guard in Green.


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play Under – All teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points poor team – outscored by their opponents by 4+ points/game, after a win by 6 points or less
    29-8 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
    2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

    Play On – Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (SAN DIEGO) after 3 or more consecutive wins, a bad team, winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season
    29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 21.1 units )

    Play Under – All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 after having lost 4 of their last 5 games, a terrible team (<=20%) playing a team with a winning record 78-38 since 1997. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units ) 2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -1.3 units )



    7:00 PM ET
    1 Star
    Hofstra @ Siena
    Take Hofstra -1



    Basketball Crusher
    UNLV +6.5
    over Wichita State
    (System Record: 21-1, lost last 4 games)
    Overall Record: 21-21

    Yale +3.5 over Illinois

    Detroit +1.5 over Toledo

    IPFW +19 over Indiana



    100* UNLV +7

    100* Illinois -3.5



    #765 – 10 units on Tennessee Martin +14


    College Basketball Betting Trends – Wed – Dec, 9

    Boston College at Providence, 7:00 ET
    Boston College:7-19 ATS after a non-conference game
    Providence: 19-12 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins

    Dayton at Vanderbilt, 9:00 ET
    Dayton: 24-9 OVER as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12
    Vanderbilt: 12-4 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds

    UNLV at Wichita State, 9:00 ET
    UNLV: 20-9 ATS after a non-conference game
    Witchita St: 1-9 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread

    Fresno State at Arizona, 9:00 ET
    Fresno St: 1-8 ATS in road games after playing a game as an underdog
    Arizona: 6-0 ATS in home games off a road win

    Eastern Kentucky at Kentucky, 7:00 ET
    E Kentucky: 31-15 ATS as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points
    Kentucky: 0-6 ATS after 3 consecutive non-conference games



    3-Unit Play. Take #746 Boise State (-14.5)
    over Loyola Marymount (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
    The Broncos are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 home games and I think that they are going to have a big game here. They have scored over 100 points in all three of their home games and they should get close again tonight against Loyola. LMU has won four of five games. But they have played a weak schedule to this point. This is the same team that lost by 24 points at UC-Irvine. Boise State is 20-6 ATS in its last 26 games overall and I think that they are going to get another blowout here. Lay the points.

    2-Unit Play. Take #735 UW-Milwaukee (+12)
    over Wisconsin (7 p.m., Wednesday, Dec. 9)
    I will take the underdog in this game. This is not a strong Wisconsin team. They lost too much talent from last year’s squad and this is a young group. They have won back-to-back games and covered both. But I think that this spread is too high. The Badgers are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine games (3-5 ATS this year). They are just not as strong as the team that beat Milwaukee by 39 points last year. The Panthers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. Wisconsin is just 1-5 ATS following a win and I think that this one will be close tonight.


    Anthony Redd

    60 Dime Nebraska Cornhuskers against the Creighton Blue Jays.
    As I release this play at 6:20am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on Nebraska is +5 in Vegas and offshore.

    40 Dime Indiana State Sycamores against the Valparaiso Crusaders. As I release this play at 6:20am Pacific here in Vegas, the line on Indiana State is +7 in Vegas and offshore.


    Jeff Benton

    100 Dime Dayton as the road underdog at Vanderbilt.
    At 9:30 am eastern time, the Flyers are the +9 point dogs in Vegas and offshore.


    Brandon Lang

    20 Dime Dayton over Vanderbilt.
    The current line on this game is +9 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.



    Risked 3 units to win 2.86
    Toledo -2 -105 vs Detroit U



    6-Unit Play. #727. Take Toledo -2
    over Detroit (Wednesday @ 7:30pm est)



    25* CBB Arizona -12

    20* CBB Creighton -4.5

    20* CBB BYU -7.5

    10* CBB Hofstra -1

    5* CBB Temple -8


    Wiseguy Insider

    Valparaiso -7.5

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