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CBB ♦ ''Sweet 16'' ♦ Thursday 3/24/16

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  • #37299
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    NEWSLETTER College Basketball Prediction From Raphael Esparza

    Take Oregon (+230) – To Win The West Region
    Last week I told you to bet Oregon +250 to win the West Region, and the Ducks (the #1 seed) made it to the Sweet 16. They are still getting no respect. I know St. Joseph’s gave the Ducks a scare, but that was just a bad matchup for the Ducks and getting Oregon still over $2 in my eyes is a steal. Oklahoma is the No.2 seed in the West, and they are the betting favorites to win, but it wouldn’t shock me to see Texas A&M pulling off the upset Thursday night in the Honda Center. Oregon still comes into the Sweet 16 winners of now 10 straight games, and I still see their speed and their fast tempo bothering Duke Thursday night and whoever they play on Saturday. I still think getting Oregon plus $2 to win the West is a steal!

    #37300
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    NEWSLETTER College Basketball Prediction From Alan Harris

    Take #812 Kansas (-6.5) over Maryland (9:40 p.m., Thursday, March 24)
    The Kansas Jayhawks will look to advance to the Elite 8 for the first time since 2012 when they take on the Maryland Terrapins at the KFC Yum Center in Louisville on Thursday night. The Jayhawks have posted an 18-6 ATS record in their last 24 nonconference games, and they have gone a lights out 8-1 ATS in their last nine games played at a neutral site. The Terrapins, on the other hand, have struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Thursday as they have gone just 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win, and they have failed to cover the number in four of their last five NCAA Tournament games. Throw in the fact that Kansas has gone 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games following an ATS win dating back to the regular season and we’ll lay the points with them here to get the win and cover, advancing to face the winner of Miami/Villanova for the right to go to the Final Four.

    #37301
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    NEWSLETTER College Basketball Prediction From Vernon Croy

    Take #817 Texas A&M (+2) over Oklahoma (7:30 p.m., Thursday, March 24)
    Take Texas A&M ATS as my free pick for Thursday, March 24. This pick falls into one of my top CBB systems, and I have Texas A&M winning a close game here Thursday night.

    The Sooners are just 4-17 ATS in their last 21 games when playing a team with a winning record and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 NCAA Tournament games. The Aggies have been more tested in the Tournament so far, and that will only help them against this Sooners team. The Aggies are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games against a Big 12 opponent, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the Sooners. The Aggies are actually the better overall team at this point in the Tournament, and I look for them to pull off the minor upset Thursday night. Play Texas A&M ATS with confidence.

    #37302
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    OSKEIM

    3* Texas A&M

    3* Duke

    #37304
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster
    #37305
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster
    #37306
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster
    #37309
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster
    #37310
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    NCAA tournament

    Under Bill Self, Kansas is 5-2 in regional semifinals, 3-4 vs spread (they were favored in all 7); Jayhawks won last 16 games overall, they lost by 6 to Michigan St on neutral floor in November, their only Big 14 game this year. Maryland beat #12-13 seeds last week, after a 3-5 skid coming into NCAAs; Terps are 13-1 outside Big 14, with loss at North Carolina by 8. Big X teams are 5-2 vs Big 14 teams this year, 2-2 vs spread when favored. Last 10 years, #1 seeds are 16-19 vs spread in this round. Terps are #46 defending arc; Kansas is shooting 41.9% on arc (#4).

    ACC teams are 12-1 in NCAAs (Pitt only loss); Miami beat Butler by 10 in its only Big East game. Villanova is in Sweet 16 for first time since ’09; they beat Ga Tech, lost to Virginia in its two ACC games. Wildcats cruised in both games LW, leading Iowa by 25 at the half Sunday. Miami is 14-4 in its last 18 games; Villanova is 14-2 in its last 16. ACC teams are 6-5 vs Big East teams this year; favorites are 8-3 vs spread in the 11 games. Since ’05, when 2-3 seeds meet in regional semis, underdog is 8-6 vs spread. Hurricanes are #32 in experience, Villanova is #182.

    This is third time in 20 years Duke is lower-seeded team; they lost by 4 to Kansas is ’03 regional semi, by 22 to Louisville in 2013 regional final. Over last 30 years, Duke is 7-3 vs spread as a dog- they’re 4-6 in its last ten regional semifinal games. Bue Devils led Yale by 27, had it cut to 3 in last game. Oregon won its last ten games, allowing 57.7 ppg in last three. Ducks scored 76+ points in nine of last ten games. ACC teams are 4-2 vs Pac-12 teams this year, but were favored in five of six games. Last 10 years, #1 seeds are 16-19 against the spread in this round.

    Texas A&M came back from dead Sunday, rallying from 12 down with 0:35 left. Aggies are 3-0 vs Big X teams this year, beating Texas, Baylor, K-State; they’re 10-1 in last 11 games overall. A&M starts three seniors; House is NBA-level talent with ball. Oklahoma is 13-0 outside the Big X this year; Sooners start three seniors, have four kids who’ve started 100+ games together. Oklahoma beat A&M 64-52 in last meeting, two years ago. Big X teams are 12-7 vs SEC teams this year, 6-4 vs spread when favored. Since ’05, when 2-3 seeds meet in regional semis, dogs are 8-6.

    CIT
    Tex-Arlington is 10-2 outside Sun Belt (#236 non-conf sked); Mavericks won six of last seven games overall, are 4-1 in last five true away games, and they’ve played most of year without best player Hervey, who blew out his knee in mid-January. NJIT won five of last six at home, losing to Stetson in A-Sun tourney; they’re #75 experience team but are 0-4 vs top 100 teams this season, losing by 30-7-22-18 points. Arlington does not have a senior starter- they could be an NCAA sleeper next year.

    #37311
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    CBB | MARYLAND at KANSAS
    Play Under – All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points in a game involving two good excellent shooting teams (>=47%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games 132-74 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.1% | 50.6 units ) 36-22 this year. ( 62.1% | 11.8 units )

    #37312
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    CBB | DUKE at OREGON
    Play On – Neutral court teams (DUKE) excellent ball handling team – committing <=12 turnovers/game, after 4 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers 249-161 since 1997. ( 60.7% | 67.2 units ) 33-24 this year. ( 57.9% | -3.7 units )

    #37313
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    CBB | TEXAS A&M at OKLAHOMA
    Play Under – Neutral court teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 after playing a game where both teams score 80 points or more against opponent after scoring 80 points or more 2 straight games
    41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )
    2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

    #37337
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    PAUL LEINER

    100* Oregon -3

    100* Maryland +6.5

    #37339
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    Basketball Crusher

    Oklahoma -150 over Texas A&M
    (System Record: 65-4, lost last 5 games)
    Overall Record: 65-78-3

    Oregon -160 over Duke

    Maryland +6.5 over Kansas

    N.J.I.T +3.5 over Texas Arlington

    #37343
    Avataradmin
    Keymaster

    GMC

    811 Maryland
    816 Oregon

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