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MLB • Friday Service Plays • 4/22/16

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    Preview: Cardinals at Padres

    GAME: St. Louis Cardinals (8-7) at San Diego Padres (6-10)
    DATE/TIME: Friday, April 22 – 10:40 PM EST
    WHERE: Petco Park, San Diego, California

    Adam Wainwright has yet to find his groove and the St. Louis ace will seek to regain his form when the visiting Cardinals open a three-game series against the San Diego Padres on Friday. Wainwright is winless and has allowed 22 hits and nine walks in 16 1/3 innings spanning three outings.

    Wainwright won 19 or more games in four of five seasons before an Achilles’ tendon injury limited him to 28 innings last season. He will attempt to get St. Louis started successfully on a seven-game road trip that concludes with four games against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Center fielder Jon Jay — acquired from the Cardinals in the offseason for infielder Jedd Gyorko — went 7-for-12 with two walks as the Padres took two of three from the Pittsburgh Pirates. San Diego was crushed 11-1 in Thursday’s series finale, marking the second-most runs it has allowed in a game this season.

    TV: 10:40 p.m. ET, FSN Midwest (St. Louis), FSN San Diego

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinal RH Adam Wainwright (0-2, 8.27 ERA) vs. Padres RH Andrew Cashner (0-1, 5.40)

    Wainwright was shelled by the Cincinnati Reds in his last outing when he gave up seven runs and 10 hits in 5 1/3 innings. He is 6-2 with a 1.74 ERA and .225 batting average against in 11 career appearances (eight starts) against the Padres. Wainwright has regularly handcuffed right fielder Matt Kemp (3-for-23) but has struggled with left fielder Melvin Upton Jr. (4-for-9).

    Cashner turned in his top outing of the season Saturday against Arizona when he gave up one run and four hits in six innings while receiving a no-decision. He is 1-1 with a 1.86 ERA against the Cardinals but six of his eight appearances came in relief. Cashner has struggled with catcher Yadier Molina (4-for-9) and recently activated infielder Ruben Tejada (4-for-10).


    1. Molina is 14-for-30 with six RBIs during the past nine games.

    2. Upton reached base seven times (five walks, two hits) in the series against Pittsburgh.

    3. St. Louis LF Matt Holliday has three homers in the last six contests.

    PREDICTION: Cardinals 6, Padres 4


    National League games

    Mets @ Braves
    Harvey is 0-3, 6.23 so far this month (over 2-1).

    Norris is 1-2, 6.23 so far this month (over 2-1).

    Mets won three of last four games; five of their last six went over. Atlanta won four of last six games after an 0-9 start; over is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games.

    Cubs @ Reds
    Lester is 1-1, 2.21 in three starts this year (under 2-1)..

    Moscot allowed three runs in 5.2 IP (102 PT) in his ’16 debut, at St Louis.

    Cubs won nine of their last 12 games; four of their last seen games stayed under total. Cincinnati lost seven of last ten games but is 7-3 at home; seven of their last 10 games went over the total.

    Phillies @ Brewers
    Nola is 0-2, 8.25 in his last two starts (under 2-1).

    Davies allowed six runs in 2.1 IP (69 PT) in his ’16 debut, in Pittsburgh.

    Philly lost four of its last six games (over 5-1). Brewers won four of their last six home games (over 4-1-1 in last six).

    Dodgers @ Rockies
    Kazmir is 1-1, 6.43 in three starts this month (over 1-1-1).

    Gray was 0-2, 5.53 in nine starts LY (over 6-3); this is his ’16 debut.

    Dodgers won six of their last eight games; under is 7-3-2 in their last 12. Colorado won three of its last four home games; over is 4-2 in their home games.

    Pirates @ Diamondbacks
    Niese is 2-0, 4.50 in his first three Pirate starts (over 2-1).

    Corbin is 1-1, 3.66 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Pirates lost five of last seven road games; nine of their last ten games went over the total. Arizona won six of its last seven games.

    Marlins @ Giants
    Cosart is 0-0, 6.97 in two starts this month (over 2-0).

    Samardzija is 1-1, 3.72 in three Giant starts (under 3-0).

    Giants lost eight of their last nine games (over 5-3-1). Miami lost six of its last eight games (under 3-0-1 in last four).

    Cardinals @ Padres
    Wainwright is 0-2, 8.27 in three starts this month (over 2-1).

    Cashner is 0-1, 5.40 in his first three ’16 starts (over 1-1-1).

    Cardinals are 8-4 in their last 12 games; four of their last five road games went over. San Diego won three of its last five games (over 5-0).

    American League games

    Rays @ Bronx
    Moore is 1-0, 2.95 in three starts this month (under 2-0-1).

    Sabathia is 1-1, 5.06 in two starts this month (over 1-1)

    Bronx lost seven of last eight games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven. Tampa Bay won four of its last five games; under is 9-3-1 in their last 13 games.

    A’s @ Blue Jays
    Gray is 2-1, 2.79 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Sanchez is 1-0, 1.80 in three starts this month (under 3-0).

    Oakland won its last five games; they’re 6-0 on road- under is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Toronto won three of last four at home; their last eight games overall stayed under the total.

    Indians @ Tigers
    Tomlin allowed one run in five IP (76 PT) in his ’16 debut, against the Mets.

    Verlander is 1-1, 7.16 in three starts this month (over 2-0-1).

    Cleveland lost three of its last four games; their last three road games stayed under the total. Detroit also lost three of last four- their last three at home went over total.

    Rangers @ White Sox
    Perez is 0-1, 3.93 in three starts this month (over 2-1).

    Quintana is 1-1, 3.18 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Texas won five of its last six games; seven of its last nine games went over. White Sox lost four of their last six games; nine of their last ten games stayed under.

    Red Sox @ Astros
    Wright is 0-2, 2.84 in two starts this month (under 1-1). .

    McHugh is 1-2, 7.11 in three starts this month (over 2-0-1) .

    Red Sox lost four of their last five games; four of their five road games went over the total. Houston lost seven of its last nine games. .

    Orioles @ Royals
    Gallardo is 1-0, 5.63 in three starts this month (over 2-1).

    Young is 0-3, 7.90 in three starts this year (over 2-1).

    Orioles are off to a 10-4 start; over is 5-0-1 in their road games. Kansas City won nine of its last 13 games; under is 7-1 in Royal home tilts.

    Mariners @ Angels
    Hernandez is 1-1, 2.00 in three starts this month (under 3-0). .

    Tropeano is 1-0, 0.84 in two starts this month (under 2-0).

    Seattle won six of its last eight road games; four of its last five games stayed under the total. Angels lost five of last seven games; under is 11-4 in their last fifteen games.


    Twins @ Nationals
    Gibson is 0-2, 4.67 in three starts this month (under 3-0)

    Gonzalez is 0-0, 0.69 in two starts this month (under 2-0).

    Twins won five of their last seven games after an 0-9 start but they’re 1-7 on road; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Washington won its last five home games; under is 4-0-1 in their last five games overall.

    Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
    NY-Atl: Harvey 0-3; Norris 1-2
    Chi-Cin: Lester 2-1; Moscot 0-1
    Phil-Mil: Nola 0-3; Davies 0-1
    LA-Colo: Kazmir 1-2; Gray 0-0
    Pitt-Az: Niese 3-0; Corbin 2-1
    Mia-SF: Cosart 1-1; Samardzija 1-2
    StL-SD: Wainwright 1-2; Cashner 2-1

    TB-NY: Moore 3-0; Sabathia 1-1
    A’s-Tor: Gray 2-1; Sanchez 1-2
    Clev-Det: Tomlin 1-0; Verlander 2-1
    Tex-Chi: Perez 0-3; Quintana 2-1
    Bos-Hst: Wright 0-2; McHugh 1-2
    Blt-KC: Gallardo 2-1; Young 0-3
    Sea-LAA: Hernandez 1-2; Tropeano 1-1

    Minn-Wsh: Gibson 1-2; Gonzalez 1-1

    Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
    NY-Atl: Harvey 1-3; Norris 1-3
    Chi-Cin: Lester 1-3; Moscot 0-1
    Phil-Mil: Nola 2-3; Davies 0-1
    LA-Colo: Kazmir 2-3; Gray 0-0
    Pitt-Az: Niese 0-3; Corbin 2-3
    Mia-SF: Cosart 1-2; Samardzija 1-3
    StL-SD: Wainwright 1-3; Cashner 1-3

    TB-NY: Moore 0-3; Sabathia 0-2
    A’s-Tor: Gray 1-3; Sanchez 0-3
    Clev-Det: Tomlin 1-1; Verlander 2-3
    Tex-Chi: Perez 1-3; Quintana 1-3
    Bos-Hst: Wright 2-2; McHugh 1-3
    Blt-KC: Gallardo 2-3; Young 2-3
    Sea-LAA: Hernandez 0-3; Tropeano 0-2

    Minn-Wsh: Gibson 1-3; Gonzalez 0-2


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play On – Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (PHILADELPHIA) below average NL hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a team with a bad bullpen (ERA >=5.00), starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
    77-45 since 1997. ( 63.1% | 36.6 units )
    2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.0 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

    TEXAS is 13-5 (+13.4 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 3.00 or better over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was: TEXAS (6.1) , OPPONENT (3.8)


    Friday’s Diamond Notes
    By Kevin Rogers

    Hottest team: Diamondbacks (5-0 last five)
    Following a 3-7 start to the season, Arizona has heated up by winning six of its last seven games and five in a row. The D-backs swept the Giants in a four-game sweep at AT&T Park, while allowing just three runs in the final three victories. Zack Greinke has gotten on track by winning his last two starts, including a 2-1 triumph over Madison Bumgarner and the Giants on Wednesday. The D-backs return home to battle the Pirates for a three-game series as Arizona looks to improve on a 2-5 mark at Chase Field.

    Coldest team: Giants (0-5 last five)
    San Francisco began the campaign with a solid 6-2 record, but things have unraveled for the Giants of late. Bruce Bochy’s club has lost eight of their last nine games, with each of those eight defeats coming to division foes Arizona, Los Angeles, and Colorado. Coincidentally, the last time San Francisco was swept at AT&T Park came last June against Arizona as the Giants fell to 1-9 in their last 10 home matchups with the D-backs. San Francisco begins a three-game set with Miami, as the Marlins captured five of seven meetings with the Giants in 2015.

    Hottest pitcher: Felix Hernandez, Mariners (1-1, 1.00 ERA)
    The former Cy Young award winner has started out of the gate by allowing two earned runs in his first three starts. Hernandez grabbed his first victory of the season against the Yankees last Saturday, even though it was his shortest outing by tossing five innings and walking six batters. King Felix split six starts against the Angels last season, but the Mariners are 5-2 in his last seven outings in Anaheim since 2013.

    Coldest pitcher: Adam Wainwright, Cardinals (0-2, 8.27 ERA)
    The St. Louis right-hander has struggled this season, while coming off a pair of awful starts against the Braves and Reds. Wainwright gave up 16 hits and 12 earned runs in only 10.1 innings of work, but the Cardinals’ offense plated 20 runs in his last two outings (1-1). Wainwright is making his first start at Petco Park since May 2013, as the Cardinals are 3-0 in his last three outings against the Padres.

    Biggest ‘UNDER’ run: Blue Jays (8-0 last eight)
    Not many people would believe that Toronto’s explosive lineup would produce eight consecutive ‘unders,’ but that’s the case after cashing the ‘under’ in all seven games on their road swing at Boston and Baltimore. In seven of the eight ‘unders’ in this stretch, Toronto has scored four runs or fewer, while the last four games have been decided by one run apiece. The Blue Jays host the Athletics, who have hit the ‘under’ in five of six road games this season, while allowing just 11 runs on the highway.

    Biggest ‘OVER’ run: Red Sox (2-0 last two)
    Granted, it’s not a very long streak, but we’ll focus on Boston since the Sox are 4-1 to the ‘over’ away from Fenway Park. Boston is coming off a pair of ‘overs’ against Tampa Bay, while blowing a 5-1 lead in Thursday’s 12-8 setback to the Rays. The Red Sox are hitting the road for the first time following a 10-game homestand as John Farrell’s team has scored at least six runs in four of five road contests. Boston sailed ‘over’ the total in four of six matchups with Houston last season, but scored a combined nine runs in three losses at Minute Maid Park.

    Matchup to watch: Dodgers vs. Rockies
    Los Angeles continues its six-game road trip after taking two of three from Atlanta. The Dodgers lead the NL West with a 10-6 record, which includes a 4-3 mark on the road against division opponents. However, Los Angeles has lost five of the last seven visits to Coors Field, while getting swept at Colorado last September. The Rockies return home following a 3-3 road trip, as two of those victories came at Wrigley Field over the Cubs. Right-hander Jonathan Gray makes his first start of the season for the Rockies, as Colorado put together a 1-4 record in his five home starts in 2015.

    Betcha didn’t know:
    The Brewers won all seven matchups with the Phillies last season, while finishing ‘under’ the total in a three-game sweep at Miller Park. Philadelphia compiled a 4-0 record in right-hander Aaron Nola’s first four road starts last season, but the Phillies have currently lost each of his past four away outings since last September, including a 3-2 defeat at Cincinnati in the opening series.

    Biggest public favorite:
    Cubs (-200) at Reds

    Biggest public underdog:
    Orioles (+105) at Royals

    Biggest line move:
    Astros (-130 to -145) vs. Red Sox


    Baseball Crusher

    Seattle Mariners -117 over LA Angels
    (System Record: 13-0, lost last 3 games)
    Overall Record: 13-6

    Philadelphia Phillies + Milwaukee Brewers – UNDER 8.5

    Arizona Diamondbacks -130 over Pittsburgh Pirates

    Atlanta Braves + New York Mets – UNDER 7.5



    100* Over 8 – Cubs / Reds


    Guaranteed picks today

    7:35pm Mets vs. Braves
    (500 Stars) Mets

    9:40pm Pirates vs. Diamondbacks
    (800 Stars) Arizona

    10:05pm Mariners vs. Angels
    (2000 Stars) Seattle

    MLB. Yest 2-1 , 46-26 ytd



    POD – San Francisco Giants -160



    Game: Minnesota Twins (979) @ Washington Nationals (980)
    Time: Friday 04/22 7:05 PM Eastern
    Pick: Game Total UNDER 7.5 (+100)
    Minnesota loses the DH for this interleague series, adding to the woes of an already terrible offense that is #25 in baseball in runs scored. Minnesota is 20-5-2 UNDER the total against a team with a winning record. Twins’ righty Kyle Gibson (3.57 ERA) is off a 3-2 win over the Angels, allowing four hits in seven innings. Washington is home from a seven-game road trip, with the offense looking road weary, scoring four total runs the last two games. This is a big park, which great for pitchers. Lefty starter Gio Gonzalez (0.69 ERA) has been throwing great, off a 3-2 loss to the Phillies allowing one run on four hits and two walks while striking out eight over seven innings. Washington is 13-4-1 UNDER the total against a right-handed starter, plus on a 16-5-1 UNDER the total run overall. Play this one to finish UNDER the total.


    MLB Baseball Betting Trends – Fri – April, 22

    NY Mets at Atlanta, 7:35 PM ET
    New York: 71-45 SU in road games off a one run loss versus a division rival
    Atlanta: 27-52 SU after 1 or more consecutive unders

    Chicago at Cincinnati, 7:10 PM ET
    Chicago: 21-9 SU on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5
    Cincinnati: 2-11 SU revenging a loss where opponent scored 10 or more runs

    Philadelphia at Milwaukee, 8:10 PM ET
    Philadelphia: 8-3 SU on road after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings
    Milwaukee: 16-24 SU at home with a money line of -100 to -150

    LA Dodgers at Colorado, 8:40 PM ET
    Los Angeles: 27-36 SU in road games in night games
    Colorado: 59-51 SU at home when the money line is +125 to -125

    Pittsburgh at Arizona, 9:40 PM ET
    Pittsburgh: 66-38 SU after a win
    Arizona: 9-23 SU in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins

    Miami at San Francisco, 10:15 PM ET
    Miami: 45-38 SU after 3 straight games where they committed no errors
    San Francisco: 17-30 SU after 2 or more consecutive losses

    St Louis at San Diego, 10:40 PM ET
    St Louis: 99-52 SU when the total is 7 to 8.5
    San Diego: 40-48 SU at home when the total is 7.5 or less

    Tampa Bay at NY Yankees, 7:05 PM ET
    Tampa Bay: 28-15 SU after a game where their bullpen blew a save
    New York: 14-21 SU after 5 or more consecutive home games

    Oakland at Toronto, 7:05 PM ET
    Oakland: 6-0 SU in road games
    Toronto: 14-26 SU after a game where their bullpen blew a save

    Cleveland at Detroit, 7:10 PM ET
    Cleveland: 10-2 SU in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses
    Detroit: 18-31 SU at home when the money line is +125 to -125

    Texas at Chicago White Sox, 8:10 PM ET
    Texas: 8-2 SU when the total is 7 to 8.5
    Chicago: 19-31 SU after a loss by 2 runs or less

    Boston at Houston, 8:10 PM ET
    Boston: 65-82 SU when the total is 8 to 8.5
    Houston: 40-22 SU after batting .240 or worse over a 10 game span

    Baltimore at Kansas City, 8:15 PM ET
    Baltimore: 23-41 SU on the road when the money line is +125 to -125
    Kansas City: 15-5 SU in home games against AL East opponents

    Seattle at LA Angels, 10:05 PM ET
    Seattle: 61-81 SU when the total is 7 to 8.5
    Los Angeles: 31-15 SU after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less

    Minnesota at Washington, 7:05 PM ET
    Minnesota: 33-27 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3
    Washington: 28-58 SU after 5 or more consecutive unders



    Toronto (-135)
    5* 7:05 ET

    Miami / San Francisco – Under 7.5 (-110)
    5* 10:15 ET



    ‘MAX PLAY’
    Seattle Mariners-110



    2* Chicago Cubs RL-1.5

    1* Pittsburgh Pirates

    1* SF Giants

    2* Detroit Tigers

    1* Washington Nats

    1* OVER – dodgers


    Chase Diamond

    Apr 22 ’16, 10:05 PM in 8h
    MLB | Mariners vs Angels
    15* Play on: Angels +108
    Game Analysis
    This game features the 7-8 Mariners at the 7-9 Angels. There is no question King Felix is one of the best in Baseball but Nick Tropeano has shut down stuff. He is 1-0 with a 0.84 ERA. We won with the Mariners and Felix last start and we have cashed last two days on them but tonight we will fade them as this is a game the Angels need. 15* Angles

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