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MLB • Thursday Service Plays • 4/28/16

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    Preview: Athletics at Tigers

    GAME: Oakland Athletics (11-11) at Detroit Tigers (10-10)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 1:10 PM EST
    WHERE: Comerica Park, Detroit, Michigan

    Slugger Victor Martinez is healthy and mashing, giving the Detroit Tigers the opportunity to steal a series win. Martinez will try to stay hot and drag the rest of the middle of the batting order up with him as the Tigers seek their third win in the four-game set when they host the Oakland Athletics for the finale on Thursday afternoon.

    Martinez, who hit .245 in 120 games last season while battling back from knee surgery, is fully healthy now and has gone 7-for-14 with two home runs and six RBIs in his last four games. His three-run blast on Wednesday opened the floodgates in a 9-4 victory and lifted his batting average to .302, while fellow slugger J.D. Martinez broke out of a short slump with a homer and four RBIs. The A’s have dropped four of their last five games and struggled this turn through the rotation with a total of 31 runs allowed in those four setbacks. Ace Sonny Gray lasted only two innings in Wednesday’s loss, putting pressure on Thursday starter Chris Bassitt to go deep into the game.

    TV: 1:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FSN Detroit

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Chris Bassitt (0-1, 4.44 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (2-2, 7.00)

    Bassitt worked at least five innings in each of his first four starts but was ripped for six runs on nine hits – two homers – and a pair of walks in five frames at Toronto on Saturday. The 26-year-old surrendered a total of two earned runs over 14 innings in his two previous outings but could not get enough support from the offense to receive a win. Bassitt is making his third career start against Detroit after going 1-1 with five runs allowed over 14 frames in the first two turns.

    Sanchez has yet to make it through six innings and was ripped for seven runs – six earned – and nine hits over 2 1/3 frames in a loss to Cleveland on Saturday. The 32-year-old Venezuelan won his first two starts despite not working deep into either game but was lit up for a total of 12 runs and 17 hits over 7 1/3 innings in the last two turns. Sanchez is 1-2 with a 3.83 ERA in six career starts against Oakland.


    1. The Athletics will call up LHP prospect Sean Manaea to make his major-league debut on Friday against Houston.

    2. Tigers LF Justin Upton is 1-for-16 with eight strikeouts in his last five games.

    3. Detroit is expected to recall RHP prospect Michael Fulmer to make his major-league debut against Minnesota on Friday.

    PREDICTION: Tigers 6, Athletics 5


    Preview: Brewers at Cubs

    GAME: Milwaukee Brewers (8-12) at Chicago Cubs (15-5)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 2:20 PM EST
    WHERE: Wrigley Field, Chicago, Illinois

    Jake Arrieta has placed his name among the best pitchers in the game with his run over the last two seasons, but he has a chance to elevate himself to even more rarefied air Thursday. Arrieta aims to join Johnny Vander Meer as the only players in major-league history to throw back-to-back no-hitters when he and the Chicago Cubs take on the visiting Milwaukee Brewers in the finale of their abbreviated two-game series.

    Arrieta’s second no-hitter in eight months, which he tossed last week at Cincinnati, continued an historic stretch during which he has gone 20-1 with a 0.86 ERA over his last 24 outings – all quality starts. He had to wait an extra day for his chance at matching the incredible feat Vander Meer accomplished in 1938, as Wednesday’s game was postponed due to inclement weather. Squaring off against Arrieta is a daunting task for Milwaukee’s Taylor Jungmann, who still is in search of his first victory this season after an impressive rookie campaign in 2015. The Brewers have scored a total of two runs in the last three games Jungmann has started.

    TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, FSN Wisconsin (Milwaukee), CSN Chicago

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Brewers RH Taylor Jungmann (0-3, 8.47 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (4-0, 0.87)

    Jungmann’s sophomore campaign is off to a rocky beginning, as he has yet to record a quality start through four outings. The 26-year-old’s command was lacking last time out, as he issued six walks over four innings while allowing three runs. Jungmann lost both of his starts against the Cubs last season, surrendering seven runs (four earned) over 8 1/3 frames.

    Arrieta’s 24 consecutive quality starts are just two shy of Bob Gibson’s major-league record (since 1914), set from 1967-78. He has blanked the opposition in three of his four starts this season and has not allowed a run at home in 48 2/3 innings spanning six outings. The 30-year-old shut out the Brewers in the last two meetings and is 4-3 with a 2.35 ERA in nine career starts against them.


    1. Cubs batters entered Wednesday having drawn a major league-best 103 walks.

    2. Brewers OF Ryan Braun hit a two-run double as a pinch hitter on Tuesday to extend his hitting streak to eight games and is 14-for-26 during that span.

    3. Chicago has won 13 of its last 14 meetings with Milwaukee and is 9-2 against National League Central rivals this season.

    PREDICTION: Cubs 5, Brewers 1


    Preview: Pirates at Rockies

    GAME: Pittsburgh Pirates (13-9) at Colorado Rockies (9-12)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 3:10 PM EST
    WHERE: Coors Field, Denver, Colorado

    The lack of quality starting pitching has been an ongoing concern for the Colorado Rockies, who will receive another reminder of that when they face a once-promising prospect Thursday afternoon. Juan Nicasio, who spent his first four seasons with Colorado, will take the mound as the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates go for their ninth straight win at Coors Field in the finale of a four-game series.

    Nicasio’s star-crossed tenure with the Rockies was most memorable for an incident that ended his rookie season in 2011, when he took a line drive off the skull in his 13th major-league start. The Pirates blew a seven-run lead before posting a 9-8 victory in 12 innings Wednesday, their sixth win in the last seven games. Colorado wasted nine extra-base hits, including home runs and three-hit games from Nolan Arenado and Mark Reynolds, as its losing streak reached five games. The Rockies could use a solid outing from Tyler Chatwood after their starters posted a 9.72 ERA in the first six contests of the seven-game homestand and failed to get through four innings in each of the past two nights.

    TV: 3:10 p.m. ET, ROOT (Pittsburgh, Colorado)

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Juan Nicasio (2-2, 4.50 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Tyler Chatwood (2-2, 3.47)

    Nicasio is trying to find success again as a starter after pitching out of the bullpen for the Los Angeles Dodgers in 2015. The 29-year-old Dominican, who owns a 13-9 record despite a 5.23 ERA at Coors Field, has alternated wins and losses in his four starts for Pittsburgh after giving up two runs on three hits and four walks over five innings of a 7-1 setback at Arizona on Saturday. Control has been a problem for Nicasio, who has walked 11 in 14 innings over his last three turns.

    Chatwood has been wildly inconsistent in his four starts, following his best outing of the season by lasting only four innings and allowing three runs on six hits in a 4-1 loss to the Dodgers on Saturday. The 26-year-old Californian was superb in his previous start, limiting the Chicago Cubs to two hits while striking out a season-high seven over seven scoreless frames. He has lost both his starts at Coors Field, surrendering three homers among 17 hits and eight runs in 10 innings.


    1. Rockies SS Trevor Story needs one homer to tie the major league rookie record of 10 in the month of April set by Jose Abreu (2014) of the Chicago White Sox.

    2. Pirates RF Gregory Polanco is 12-for-31 with six RBIs and eight runs scored during a seven-game hitting streak.

    3. Rockies LHP Jorge De La Rosa (groin strain) was placed on the 15-day disabled list and RHP Eddie Butler was recalled from Triple-A Albuquerque.

    PREDICTION: Rockies 7, Pirates 5


    Preview: Phillies at Nationals

    GAME: Philadelphia Phillies (11-10) at Washington Nationals (14-6)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 4:05 PM EST
    WHERE: Nationals Park, Washington, District of Columbia

    The Washington Nationals have not dropped three games in a row this season, but that streak could come to an end when they host the Philadelphia Phillies on Thursday afternoon in the finale of a three-game series. The Nationals were shut out for the first time Wednesday, a 3-0 defeat that clinched their first series loss.

    Philadelphia has found a way to cool off reigning National League MVP Bryce Harper, who has been walked five times in the past two games. Washington, which has allowed the fewest runs in the majors, has dropped three in a row to the Phillies and has seen its lead atop the NL East sliced to one game over the New York Mets. Center fielder Odubel Herrera continues to supply a spark at the top of the lineup for Philadelphia, drawing 21 walks in 21 games and reaching base in 18 straight to help the Phillies move above .500 for the first time since April 11, 2015. Backup catcher Carlos Ruiz has homered in three of his nine games and two have come in victories over the Nationals.

    TV: 4:05 p.m. ET, CSN (Philadelphia), MASN (Washington)

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies RH Aaron Nola (1-2, 4.50 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Tanner Roark (2-2, 2.63)

    Nola rebounded from a shelling against the Nationals with a strong effort in a 5-2 victory at Milwaukee on Friday, going seven innings for the third time this season while permitting one run on four hits and striking out seven. He was knocked around for a career-high seven runs over five innings versus Washington on April 16, giving him a 7.80 ERA and .349 batting average against in three starts versus the Nationals. Harper has tormented him, going 5-for-7 with two home runs.

    Roark shook off a ragged performance at Miami with a spellbinding outing versus Minnesota on Saturday, overpowering the Twins by striking out 15 and yielding two hits over seven scoreless innings. The 29-year-old also worked seven scoreless frames in a 3-0 victory over Atlanta on April 13, but has struggled against the Phillies. Maikel Franco and Herrera are a combined 5-for-7 with five RBIs against Roark, who is 2-5 with a 6.91 ERA against Philadelphia.


    1. Washington placed RHP Matt Belisle (calf) on the 15-day disabled list and called up LHP Sammy Solis, who allowed a homer in his season debut Tuesday.

    2. Phillies RHP Charlie Morton will undergo season-ending surgery Monday for a torn left hamstring.

    3. Nationals CF Ben Revere (oblique) will begin a rehab assignment at Triple-A Syracuse on Thursday.

    PREDICTION: Nationals 5, Phillies 3


    Preview: White Sox at Orioles

    GAME: Chicago White Sox (16-6) at Baltimore Orioles (12-8)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 7:05 PM EST
    WHERE: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

    The Chicago White Sox, whose pitching staff continues to mow down opponents, engage in a battle of unlikely division leaders when they visit the Baltimore Orioles for the opener of a four-game series on Thursday. The White Sox are winners of six straight and began their road trip by holding powerful Toronto to six runs in a three-game sweep.

    Chicago finished off the Blue Jays with a 4-0 shutout on Wednesday to maintain their American League lead of 53 runs allowed in 22 games. The series in Toronto also saw the White Sox get a boost from their offense, which pounded out 21 runs in the set as newcomer Todd Frazier began to settle into the middle of the lineup with five hits and four RBIs in the series. The Orioles are one-half game ahead of Boston in the AL East but have dropped eight of 13 since a 7-0 start. Baltimore ended a three-game slide with a 3-1 win over Tampa Bay on Wednesday but managed only three hits in the contest and has totaled five runs in its last four games.

    TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, CSN Chicago, MASN2 (Baltimore)

    PITCHING MATCHUP: White Sox LH John Danks (0-3, 6.23 ERA) vs. Orioles RH Tyler Wilson (1-0, 2.77)

    Danks is one of the few struggling pitchers on Chicago’s staff but is coming off his first quality start. The 31-year-old, who allowed a total of 10 earned runs over 11 1/3 innings in his first two outings, held the Los Angeles Angels to two runs on five hits and five walks in six frames on April 21 but still took the loss. Danks is 6-5 with a 3.90 ERA in 13 career starts against Baltimore, including a home win last season in which he tossed seven scoreless innings.

    Wilson traded spots with Vance Worley, moving from long relief to the rotation, and was solid in his first start of the season at Kansas City on Saturday. The 26-year-old Virginia native allowed three runs and six hits in five innings but did not issue a walk and got enough support from the offense to come away with the win. Wilson made his first career start against Chicago on May 28, 2015 and absorbed a loss despite yielding two runs in six frames.


    1. Orioles 1B Chris Davis is 1-for-16 in his last four games.

    2. Chicago C Dioner Navarro has recorded four RBIs and scored three runs in his last two contests.

    3. Baltimore 3B Manny Machado is 0-for-15 over the last four games after hitting safely in each of his first 16.

    PREDICTION: White Sox 3, Orioles 1


    Preview: Braves at Red Sox

    GAME: Atlanta Braves (4-17) at Boston Red Sox (12-9)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 7:10 PM EST
    WHERE: Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts

    The most productive offense in the American League and a solid turn through the rotation have the Boston Red Sox looking like a contender. Playing against the worst team in the major leagues helps as well, and the Red Sox will try to take their fourth straight from the Atlanta Braves when they host the finale of the home-and-home series on Thursday.

    Boston leads the AL with 111 runs scored and needed only one – a solo homer from Jackie Bradley Jr. – to win in Atlanta on Monday before closing out the southern portion of the series with a five-RBI performance from Travis Shaw in an 11-4 triumph the following day. The offense remained hot when the series shifted to Boston on Wednesday as Dustin Pedroia delivered a grand slam and a solo blast while David Ortiz doubled three times and drove in a pair of runs in the 9-4 triumph. The Braves are an MLB-worst 4-17 and have dropped eight in a row, but the four runs in back-to-back games represents an improvement for an offense that failed to score more than three in any of the previous six contests. Freddie Freeman homered for Atlanta on Thursday, snapping a string of 15 straight games without a blast.

    TV: 7:10 p.m. MLB Network, FSN Southeast (Atlanta), NESN (Boston)

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Jhoulys Chacin (0-1, 3.18 ERA) vs. Red Sox RH Clay Buchholz (0-2, 6.33)

    Chacin worked six scoreless innings in his team debut on Apr. 12 but failed to make it through the sixth in either of his next two chances. The 28-year-old Venezuelan was reached for four runs – three earned – on seven hits and two walks over 5 2/3 frames in a loss to the New York Mets on Saturday. Chacin is making his first career start at Fenway Park but faced the Red Sox twice at home while with Colorado, surrendering totals of seven runs and 13 hits in 10 2/3 innings.

    Buchholz allowed five earned runs in three of his four starts and followed up a gem against Toronto on April 18 with another tough outing at Houston on Saturday. The Texas native made it through the first four innings with one run allowed before serving up a grand slam to Colby Rasmus in the loss. Buchholz endured one of the worst starts of his career at Atlanta on May 26, 2014, when he issued eight walks in three innings while surrendering six runs.


    1. Ortiz moved past Ted Williams and Jimmie Foxx and into a tie with George Brett for 16th place on the all-time list for extra-base hits with 1,119.

    2. Pedroia is 5-for-9 with six RBIs and four runs scored in his last two games.

    3. Atlanta has hit a major league-low four home runs.

    PREDICTION: Red Sox 7, Braves 5


    Preview: Cardinals at Diamondbacks

    GAME: St. Louis Cardinals (12-9) at Arizona Diamondbacks (11-12)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 9:40 PM EST
    WHERE: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona

    Arizona and St. Louis are 1-2 in the majors in home runs after hitting five apiece in the first three contests of their four-game set, which concludes Thursday as the Cardinals try for a series victory against the host Diamondbacks. St. Louis has won 10 of the last 11 meetings and 15 of 17 after the biggest blow in Wednesday’s 11-4 win stayed in the park – a go-ahead, bases-loaded triple by winning pitcher Adam Wainwright in the sixth inning.

    Rookie Aledmys Diaz (.468, four home runs, 13 RBIs) continued the torrid start to his career by going 2-for-4 on Wednesday and is 14-for-23 in the first six contests of a seven-game road trip that began with the Cardinals winning two of three against San Diego. St. Louis’ Stephen Piscotty is 14-for-32 with seven RBIs in his last seven games after going 4-for-5 and driving in a pair of runs on Wednesday. Arizona continues to get production at the top of the order from Jean Segura, who had two hits Wednesday and leads the majors with 35. The Cardinals’ Michael Wacha has ripped off three consecutive quality starts – winning two – after a rough season opener and opposes Rubby De La Rosa, who comes off his best performance of the season.

    TV: 9:40 p.m. ET, FSN Midwest (St. Louis), FSN Arizona

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (2-0, 2.82 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Rubby De La Rosa (2-3, 5.94)

    Wacha allowed two runs, four hits and four walks in six innings of an 11-2 victory in San Diego on Saturday and has an ERA of 1.50 over his last three turns, which all lasted six frames. The 24-year-old Iowa native didn’t strike out a batter Saturday for the first time in 40 starts dating to a 6-3 loss at Tampa Bay on June 11, 2014. Wacha has posted a 4.60 ERA in three starts – all no-decisions – versus Arizona.

    De La Rosa allowed one run and three hits while striking out six in six innings of a 7-1 victory over Pittsburgh on Saturday after posting a 9.00 ERA in his previous two starts this season. The 27-year-old Dominican made two relief appearances prior to the start and told reporters that it “helped a lot. You’re more aggressive. You go in there and just pitch.” De La Rosa is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA in two career starts against St. Louis.


    1. The Cardinals have scored 45 runs in their last five games, including 26 against the Diamondbacks.

    2. Arizona LF Yasmany Tomas went 0-for-4 on Wednesday to snap his career-high 12-game hitting streak – a run during which he went 19-for-53.

    3. St. Louis OF/1B Matt Holliday drove in a pair of runs Wednesday after leaving Tuesday’s game because of leg cramps.

    PREDICTION: Cardinals 9, Diamondbacks 8


    Preview: Marlins at Dodgers

    GAME: Miami Marlins (9-11) at Los Angeles Dodgers (12-10)
    DATE/TIME: Thursday, April 28 – 10:10 PM EST
    WHERE: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California

    The Miami Marlins look to extend their season-high winning streak to five games and give manager Don Mattingly a sweep to remember when they visit the Los Angeles Dodgers on Thursday for the finale of their four-game series. Miami improved to 4-2 on its 10-game road trip with Wednesday’s 2-0 triumph over the Dodgers, whom Mattingly managed from 2011-15.

    Giancarlo Stanton’s home run streak ended at three games, but the slugger is 21-for-66 (.318) with 21 RBIs in 18 career contests at Dodger Stadium after delivering an RBI single in the first inning Wednesday. Los Angeles managed only a pair of singles against Justin Nicolino and four relievers and dropped to 4-5 at home this season. Adrian Gonzalez did not record one of those hits, falling to 0-for-14 over his last four games at home. The Dodgers will turn to Japanese phenom Kenta Maeda to try and avoid the sweep while the Marlins counter with young ace Jose Fernandez.

    TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, FSN Florida (Miami), SportsNet LA (Los Angeles)

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Marlins RH Jose Fernandez (1-2, 4.37 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Kenta Maeda (3-0, 0.36)

    Fernandez looks to bounce back from a rough outing at San Francisco on Saturday in which he surrendered four runs on seven hits and three walks in six innings. The 23-year-old Cuban has been a different pitcher on the road during his brief career, going 5-10 with a 3.81 ERA as opposed to 18-1 with a 1.61 ERA at home. Los Angeles has yet to defeat Fernandez, who is 2-0 with a 2.84 ERA in three outings.

    Maeda’s remarkable start to his first season in the major leagues continued Saturday as he did not fall victim to the high altitude of Coors Field, limiting Colorado to three hits while striking out eight in 6 1/3 scoreless innings. The 28-year-old native of Osaka has allowed a total of one run — a homer by San Francisco’s Joe Panik on April 17 — and 17 hits while working at least six innings in each of his four outings. Maeda also has had excellent command of his pitches, issuing only five walks while striking out 23 in 25 1/3 frames.


    1. Marlins OF Ichiro Suzuki needs one hit to move past Frank Robinson (2,943) for sole possession of 33rd place on the all-time list.

    2. Los Angeles RF Yasiel Puig is 1-for-7 lifetime with three strikeouts against Fernandez.

    3. Nicolino allowed two hits and two walks over 7 1/3 innings Wednesday after being recalled from Triple-A New Orleans earlier in the day, while Miami RHP Nick Wittgren was optioned to the Zephyrs.

    PREDICTION: Dodgers 3, Marlins 1


    National League games

    Phillies @ Nationals
    Nola is 1-2, 5.68 in his last three starts (under 3-1 in ’16 starts).

    Roark is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his last two home starts (last three starts went under).

    Philly won five of its last six games; over is 7-3-1 in their last 11. Washington won eight of its last ten home games; under is 6-2-2 in its last ten games overall.

    Brewers @ Cubs
    Jungmann is 0-3, 11.25 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his ’16 starts.

    Arrieta is 4-0, 0.87 in four starts this month (over 4-0).

    Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games; over is 5-2-1 in its last eight. Cubs won six of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in Chicago’s last six games overall.

    Pirates @ Rockies
    Nicasio is 2-2, 4.50 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

    Chatwood is 2-2, 3.86 in four starts this month (under 4-0).

    Pirates are 8-3 in their last 11 games; nine of their last 11 road games went over. Colorado lost seven of its last eight games; six of its last eight home tilts went over. .

    Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
    Wacha is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts (over 3-1 in his ’16 starts).

    de la Rosa is 1-2, 7.07 in three starts this month (under 2-1) .

    Cardinals won seven of their last nine road games (over 8-1). Arizona is just 4-9 at home- six of their last seven games went over the total

    Marlins @ Dodgers
    Fernandez is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts (over 2-2 in ’16 starts).

    Maeda is 3-0, 0.36 in his first four MLB starts (under 3-0-1).

    Dodgers lost four of last five home games; under is 6-2-1 in their home games. Miami won its last four games- four of their last six games went over

    American League games

    White Sox @ Orioles
    Danks is 0-3, 7.27 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Wilson allowed three runs in five IP (70 PT) in winning his first ’16 start.

    Orioles lost four of last six games but are 7-1 at home- eight of their last nine games stayed under the total. Chicago won eight of its last nine games; under is 8-3 in its last 11 road games.

    A’s @ Tigers
    Bassitt is 0-1, 4.81 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

    Sanchez is 0-2, 14.73 in his last two starts (over 3-0-1 in ’16 starts).

    Oakland lost four of its last five games (over 4-1). Detroit lost six of its last nine home games (over 7-2).


    Braves @ Red Sox
    Chacin is 0-1, 4.76 in three starts this month (over 2-1).

    Buchholz is 0-2, 6.33 in four starts this month (over 3-1).

    Red Sox won their last six games; five of their last eight games stayed under the total. Atlanta lost its last eight games; over is 6-2 in its road games.

    Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
    Phil-Wsh– Nola 1-3; Roark 2-2
    Mil-Chi– Jungmann 1-3; Arrieta 4-0
    Pitt-Colo– Nicasio 2-2; Chatwood 2-2
    StL-Az– Wacha 3-1; de la Rosa 1-2
    Mia-LA– Fernandez 2-2; Maeda 3-1

    Chi-Balt– Danks 0-3; Wilson 1-0
    A’s-Det– Bassitt 2-2; Sanchez 2-2

    Atl-Bos– Chacin 1-2; Buchholz 0-4

    Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
    Phil-Wsh– Nola 3-4; Roark 1-4
    Mil-Chi– Jungmann 1-3; Arrieta 4-0
    Pitt-Colo– Nicasio 1-4; Chatwood 1-4
    StL-Az– Wacha 2-4; de la Rosa 1-3
    Mia-LA– Fernandez 2-4; Maeda 0-4

    Chi-Balt– Danks 1-3; Wilson 0-1
    A’s-Det– Bassitt 1-4; Sanchez 2-4

    Atl-Bos– Chacin 1-3; Buchholz 1-4

    Phil-Wsh– Three of last four TBarrett games stayed under.
    Mil-Chi– Home teams won five of last six Marquez games
    Pitt-Colo– Last three Davidson games stayed under the total.
    StL-Az– Six of last seven Randazzo games stayed under.
    Mia-LA– Favorites won seven of last nine Miller games

    A’s-Det– Seven of last ten Muchlinski games stayed under

    Atl-Bos– Visiting team won six of last seven Fletcher games


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play Against – Any team (ST LOUIS) with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR’s/start, with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL)
    69-42 over the last 5 seasons. ( 62.2% | 34.6 units )
    1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.2 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

    BOSTON is 12-1 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after 3 consecutive games versus an interleague opponent over the last 3 seasons.
    The average score was: BOSTON (4.9) , OPPONENT (3.0)


    Thursday’s Diamond Notes
    By Kevin Rogers

    Hottest team: White Sox (6-0 last six)
    The biggest surprise in the American League this season resides on the South Side of Chicago. The White Sox finished off an impressive three-game road sweep of the Blue Jays, capped off by a 4-0 shutout on Wednesday. After allowing five runs in the series opening victory, Chicago’s pitching staff clamped down on the loaded (but struggling) Toronto offense to give up a combined one run in the past two wins. Since getting shut out at home by the Angels on April 18, the Sox have won eight of their last nine games as they travel to Baltimore to begin a four-game set.

    Coldest team: Rockies (0-5 last five)
    This category can be reserved for the Braves this season after they lost to the Red Sox on Thursday to fall to 4-17. However, we’ll focus on the Rockies, who try to avoid a four-game home sweep to the red-hot Pirates this afternoon. Colorado won the first game of its homestand against Los Angeles on April 22, but the Rockies have proceeded to lost five consecutive contests, while allowing 36 runs in the past four defeats. The Rockies own a 4-8 record at Coors Field, as Colorado has dropped eight consecutive home matchups with Pittsburgh.

    Hottest pitcher: Kenta Maeda, Dodgers (3-0, 0.36 ERA)
    The Cubs were rained out last night as Jake Arrieta’s start was moved to this afternoon against the Brewers. Arrieta owns a 4-0 record with a miniscule ERA of 0.87 after registering a no-hitter in his past outing at Cincinnati. But there is one starting pitcher in the National League that owns an ERA lower than Arrieta’s and he pitches for the Dodgers. It’s not Clayton Kershaw, instead it’s Japanese standout Kenta Maeda. The right-hander has allowed one earned run in four starts, while the Dodgers are 3-1 in his four outings. Maeda is making his first start against a team outside the NL West, as each of his last three outings have finished ‘under’ the total.

    Coldest pitcher: Clay Buchholz, Red Sox (0-2, 6.33 ERA)
    Boston goes its fourth straight win over Atlanta as Buchholz tries to turn around his recent bad luck. The Red Sox right-hander is winless in four starts this season, while giving up five earned runs in three separate outings. The Astros knocked around Buchholz in his last outing on Saturday, but the righty allowed a grand slam to blow the doors open in an 8-3 loss. Buchholz had success against the Braves last season in his lone start at Turner Field by scattering six hits and allowing two unearned runs in seven innings of a 5-2 victory last June.

    Biggest UNDER run: Orioles (4-0 last four)
    The only team not to register an OVER at home this season is Baltimore, who has finished UNDER the total in all seven games at Camden Yards. The Orioles hit the UNDER in five of six games on their recent road trip, including all three contests at Tampa Bay. The offense hasn’t produced many runs lately, scoring a total of five runs in the last four games, while all three runs in Wednesday’s 3-1 victory over the Rays came on a three-run homer off the bat of right fielder Joey Rickard.

    Biggest OVER run: Pirates (13-3 last 16)
    Pittsburgh’s offense has exploded since a miserable 1-6 run in mid-April. The Pirates have won eight of their last 11 games, while plating at least six runs in six of the past seven contests. In three victories at Coors Field, the Pirates have reached home plate 24 times, while surviving on Wednesday night in spite of blowing a 7-1 lead in a 9-8 triumph. The Pirates have eclipsed the OVER in nine of the last 11 games away from PNC Park with one of those UNDERS coming on a 12 total in Monday’s 6-1 victory at Colorado.

    Matchup to watch: Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks
    These two teams finish off this wild series at Chase Field after St. Louis rallied for an 11-4 victory on Wednesday. The Cardinals fell behind 3-1, but pitcher Adam Wainwright cleared the bases with a three-run triple to start the comeback and St. Louis never looked back as they scored nine runs in a three-inning span. All three games in this series have flown OVER the total, as the D-backs look to improve on their 4-9 home record. Rubby De La Rosa takes the mound for Arizona in the finale, coming off a solid performance in his last start, a 7-1 victory over the Pirates in which he allowed three hits and one earned run in six innings of work.

    Betcha didn’t know:
    It took the Phillies 21 games to reach 11 victories, while the 76ers won just 10 games all season in 82 tries. Philadelphia goes for the three-game sweep of Washington this afternoon, as the Phillies last swept a road series last August at San Diego. Since starting the season 0-4 on the road, the Phillies have won six of their last seven games away from Citizens Bank Park, including four victories as an underdog of +140 or higher.

    Biggest public favorite:
    Red Sox (-200) vs. Braves

    Biggest public underdog:
    White Sox (+120) at Orioles

    Biggest line move:
    Tigers (-130 to -140) vs. Athletics


    Baseball Crusher

    Colorado Rockies -105 over Pittsburgh Pirates
    (System Record: 16-0, lost last game)
    Overall Record: 16-9

    Baltimore Orioles -131 over Chicago White Sox

    St. Louis Cardinals -120 over Arizona D’backs

    Oakland Athletics + Detroit Tigers – OVER 8.5



    Washington Nationals – Philadelphia Phillies
    Under 8
    Odd: 1,83



    Los Angeles Dodgers -1 @ 2.30



    single-dime – 955 PHI RL+1.5 (-145) vs 956 WAS
    Analysis: I actually think the Phillies may win this – but don’t trust their bullpen. I am fading Roark, which I intended to do after he threw 121 pitches last game. I liked the Phillies last night – but alas was a **** about it. The only reason we can get a decent total is the potential weather (chance of rain) – so I am also playing the over, meaning the Phillies need three runs. They’ve hit Roark hard whether he threw a lot of pitches last game or not. And, the Phillies are actually hitting better over the last seven days. I am all about “lately” in MLB, which is why I’m not trusting the Phillies pen. Or, it could be a F5 bet on the ML if you don’t want the juice.

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