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MLB • Tuesday Service Plays • 4/19/16

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    Preview: Diamondbacks at Giants

    GAME: Arizona Diamondbacks (6-8) at San Francisco Giants (7-7)
    DATE/TIME: Tuesday, April 19 – 10:15 PM EST
    WHERE: AT&T Park, San Francisco, California

    The San Francisco Giants and their loyal fans aren’t usually the most accommodating hosts for visiting opponents, but the Arizona Diamondbacks have made themselves right at home. Arizona heads into Tuesday’s contest having won nine of its last 11 visits to AT&T Park after third baseman Jake Lamb homered and drove in two runs in Monday’s 9-7, 11-inning series-opening victory.

    The Diamondbacks’ search to replace injured center fielder A.J. Pollock continued Monday with the demotion of Socrates Brito to Triple-A Reno following a rough 10 games that saw the rookie hit .226 with two extra-base hits. Chris Owings had two hits in Monday’s victory and likely will receive an extended look at center, but outfielder David Peralta also could figure into the mix. Giants manager Bruce Bochy held slumping third baseman Matt Duffy out of the starting lineup Monday in favor of reserve infielder Kelby Tomlinson, who is hitting .125 after going 0-for-4 in the season opener. Duffy, who surprised last season while batting .295 with 12 home runs, has four hits in his last 35 at-bats after striking out as a pinch hitter Monday but should return to the starting lineup Tuesday.

    TV: 10:15 p.m. ET, FSN Arizona, CSN Bay Area (San Francisco)

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Diamondbacks LH Robbie Ray (0-0, 2.92 ERA) vs. Giants RH Matt Cain (0-1, 6.75)

    Ray turned in his second quality start Thursday but again struggled with his control as the 24-year-old allowed two runs on four hits and five walks over 6 1/3 innings against the Dodgers. The Tennessee native has issued nine walks in 12 1/3 innings covering his first two outings. Ray had better control in his only previous start against San Francisco on July 17, 2015, when he received a no-decision after yielding two runs on eight hits with no walks and eight strikeouts over five frames.

    Cain retired 12 of the first 13 batters he faced Thursday against Colorado but ran into trouble in the fifth and was charged with six runs over 4 2/3 innings in the Giants’ 11-6 loss. The 31-year-old was limited to a total of 28 starts over the previous two seasons but has posting a 10-to-2 strikeout-to-walk ratio over his first two outings. Paul Goldschmidt is 8-for-30 with a home run against Cain, who is 14-7 with a 3.49 ERA in 35 career games (34 starts) against the Diamondbacks.


    1. Goldschmidt is a career .325 hitter (49-for-151) with eight home runs at AT&T Park.

    2. The Giants are expected to place RHP George Kontos (flexor strain) on the disabled list before Tuesday’s game.

    3. The Diamondbacks recalled RHP Tyler Wagner from Triple-A Reno.

    PREDICTION: Diamondbacks 5, Giants 4


    National League games

    Mets @ Phillies
    Verrett is 1-1, 2.86 in his last five starts (under 3-2).

    Velasquez is 2-0, 0.00 (15 IP) in his first two starts for the Phillies.

    Mets won four of their last five games. Phillies lost three of last four games; three of those four games went over the total.

    Nationals @ Marlins
    Strasburg is 5-0, 1.27 in his last six starts; three of his last four stayed under.

    Conley is 1-0, 2.25 in his last six starts (under 4-2).

    Washington won seven of its last nine games; three of their last five games got over the total. Miami lost four of its last fiver games; they’re 1-5 at home, with five of six games going over the total.

    Dodgers @ Braves
    Wood is 2-3, 5.28 in his last five starts (over 4-1).

    Teheran is 0-2, 6.88 (over 2-0-1) in three starts this season.

    Dodgers won four of their last five games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine. Atlanta won its last three games after an 0-9 start; over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

    Rockies @ Reds
    De La Rosa is 1-1, 9.39 in three starts this season (over 3-0).

    Simon is 0-1, 14.85 in three appearances (two starts) this season; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven starts.

    Colorado won five of its last six games; four of its last five road games stayed under total. Cincinnati lost six of last seven games but is 5-2 at home; five of their last seven games went over the total. .

    Cubs @ Cardinals
    Hammel is 2-1, 3.38 in his last five starts (over 4-1).

    Garcia is 1-0, 2.40 in two starts this month; four of his last six starts stayed under.

    Cubs won seven of their last nine games; three of their last four games stayed under total. St Louis won seven of its last ten games (over 7-3).

    Pirates @ Padres
    Liriano is 3-0, 2.64 in his last five starts; over is 6-3 in hid last nine starts.

    Rea is 0-3, 5.17 in his last six starts; over is 4-1 in his last five home starts.

    Pirates lost three of last four road games; six of their last seven games went over the total. San Diego lost five of its last six games; six of its last eight games stayed under the total.

    Diamondbacks @ Giants
    Ray is 1-0, 2.83 in his last five starts; last four stayed under.

    Cain is 0-3, 6.62 in his last seven starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight starts.

    Arizona lost four of its last six games; their last three games went over. Giants lost five of their last six games (over 4-1-1).

    American League games

    Mariners @ Indians
    Miley is 0-2, 7.33 in his last four starts; eight of his last nine went over.

    Carrasco is 2-1, 3.60 in his last four starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight.

    Seattle won three of last four games; under is 6-2-1 in its last nine. Cleveland is 3-4 in its last seven games; four of its five home games went over.

    A’s @ Bronx
    Surkamp is 0-1, 4.00 in two starts for Oakland (under 2-0).

    Pineda is 1-3, 8.71 in his last four starts (over 4-0)

    Oakland won its last two games; they’re 3-0 on road- under is 9-2 in their last eleven games. Bronx lost four of last five games; under is 3-0-1 in their last four

    Blue Jays @ Orioles
    Stroman is 3-0, 4.55 in his last four starts; six of his last seven starts went over

    Wright is 1-2, 9.00 in his last four starts; his last three starts went over

    Toronto won four of its last six games; its last six road games stayed under. Orioles are 5-0 at home; over is 5-0-1 in their last six games.

    Rays @ Red Sox
    Smyly is 0-2, 5.27 in two starts this month.

    Boston is 9-1 in last ten Kelly starts, scoring 70 runs; he is 1-0, 10.13 in two starts this month– seven of his last nine starts went over.

    Tampa Bay is 3-5 in its last eight games; they’re 0-2 on road- under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Boston is also 3-5 in its last eight games- they’re 3-4 at home, with last five games staying under the total.

    Tigers @ Royals
    Greene is 1-5, 11.22 in his last seven starts (over 6-1).

    Ventura is 0-2, 5.06 in his last seven starts; three of last four stayed under

    Detroit is 5-2 on the road; under is 7-2-2 in their games. Kansas City won seven of its last ten games; under in 5-0 in Royal home tilts.

    Astros @ Rangers
    Feldman is 0-1, 3.54 in his last five starts; four of his last six starts stayed under

    Holland is 2-1, 5.40 in his last four starts; five of his last seven went over

    Houston lost eight of its last 12 games; over is 5-1 in its road games. Texas won six of its last nine games; its last five home games went over.

    Angels @ White Sox
    Shoemaker is 3-2, 3.67 in his last five starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven.

    Latos is 2-0, 0.75 in his first two starts for the White Sox (under 2-0). .

    Chicago lost its last three games (under 8-2-1 in last 11). Angels lost three of last four games; under is 8-4 in their last twelve games.


    Brewers @ Twins
    Peralta is 0-5, 11.05 in his last five starts; eight of his last ten went over

    Santana is 5-2, 1.94 in his last ten starts; his last six starts stayed under

    Milwaukee lost four of its last five games; seven of its last ten went over. Twins won their last four games after an 0-9 start.

    NY-Phil– Five of last seven Hickox games went over.
    Wsh-Mia– Three of last four HGibson games stayed under.
    Col-Cin– Seven of last nine Johnson games went over.
    Chi-StL– Five of last six Davis games stayed under
    Az-SF– Four of last five Tichenor games stayed under.

    LA-Chi– Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Conroy games

    Mil-Min– Six of last eight Timmons games stayed under


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play Against – Any team (NY METS) terrible defensive catchers – allowing 1+ SB’s/game on the season, after allowing 2 runs or less
    54-28 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% | 28.7 units )
    1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

    ARIZONA is 20-8 (+14.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was: ARIZONA (5.1) , OPPONENT (3.8)


    Tuesday’s Diamond Notes
    By Kevin Rogers

    Hottest team: Twins (won four straight)
    Following a dreadful 0-9 start, Minnesota has come back to life after winning four consecutive games. The Twins swept a three-game series from the Angels over the weekend, then followed that up with a rain-shortened 7-4 victory over the Brewers on Monday. The key is the offense finally showed up after plating three runs or less in each of their first nine losses, as Minnesota scored 21 runs during this four-game winning streak. Ervin Santana takes the mound for the Twins in a matinee affair against the Brewers, searching for his first win in four starts in spite of owning a 3.00 ERA.

    Coldest team: White Sox (lost three straight)
    A promising 8-2 start on the South Side has faded along with the White Sox bats over the last few days. Chicago has dropped three straight, including an embarrassing 7-0 home loss to the Angels on Monday as Los Angeles chased southpaw Carlos Rodon with five runs in the opening inning. The Sox offense is nowhere to be found right now, putting up five runs in the last four games, while finishing ‘under’ the total in six of the past seven contests. Chicago hopes to turn things around tonight with veteran Mat Latos searching for his third victory in three starts after the right-hander beat Oakland and Minnesota on the road.

    Hottest pitcher: Vincent Velasquez, Phillies (2-0, 0.00 ERA)
    Philadelphia acquired the right-hander from Houston in a non-descript trade in December, but Velasquez has quickly turned into fantasy gem in April. Velasquez struck out 16 batters in a complete-game shutout of the Padres in his last outing, beating San Diego, 3-0 for his second victory in two starts. The former Astro silenced the Mets’ lineup in his first outing this season by scattering three hits in six scoreless innings and striking out nine in a 1-0 victory as a +145 road underdog on April 9.

    Coldest pitcher: Alfredo Simon, Reds (0-1, 12.15 ERA)
    Cincinnati expected to bolster its rotation with the return of Simon following a one-year stint in Detroit, but the right-handed hurler has struggled. Simon wasn’t bad in his first start of the season by allowing five hits and two runs in five innings against the Pirates before the bullpen blew a 5-2 lead in a 6-5 setback. However, Simon was shelled in his next outing against the Cubs by not escaping the first inning in a 9-2 rout at Wrigley Field by yielding five earned runs and recording only two outs.

    Biggest ‘UNDER’ run: Blue Jays (5-0 last five)
    Toronto’s explosive offense from a year ago hasn’t quite lived up to expectations this season. The Blue Jays averaged 5.5 runs per game last season, but are plating 4.0 runs per game in 2016. Toronto managed a split of a four-game set at Boston on Monday, as the Jays have averaged 2.8 runs per game in their last six contests away from Rogers Center after putting up five runs in each of their two victories to start the season at Tampa Bay. The Jays travel to Baltimore tonight to face an Orioles’ squad that has eclipsed the ‘over’ in five of the last six games.

    Biggest ‘OVER’ run: Braves (4-0 last four)
    Who woke up the Atlanta bats? The Braves finally got in the win column this past weekend by sweeping the Marlins, while scoring six runs in each of those three victories. Atlanta was limited to seven runs in a four-game sweep at Washington last week before breaking out at Miami, as the Braves are riding an 8-2 streak to the ‘over’ the last 10 games. The task won’t be easy to keep that streak alive tonight as the Dodgers invade Turner Field, as Los Angeles has allowed three runs or less in four of the past five contests.

    Matchup to watch: Tigers vs. Royals
    The top two teams in the AL Central hook up for the first time this season as Kansas City returns home following a 4-3 road trip. The Royals dropped the final two games at Oakland this past weekend, the first time this season the defending champions have lost consecutive contests. The Tigers lost two of three games at Houston last weekend with the two defeats coming by one run each. Yordano Ventura (0-0, 2.45 ERA) has racked up a pair of no-decisions in two Royals’ wins, despite allowing a total of three earned runs in 11 innings. In two home starts against Detroit last season, Ventura struck out 17 batters and yielded one earned runs in a pair of victories.

    Betcha didn’t know: Only one team has yet to lose a road game this season and it’s the Oakland Athletics. Granted, the A’s have played only three times away from the Coliseum, but they were victorious in all three games at Seattle earlier this month. Oakland cashed the ‘under’ in each victory at Safeco Field, while limiting the Mariners to a total of four runs.

    Biggest public favorite:
    Yankees (-170) vs. Athletics

    Biggest public underdog:
    Mets (+102) at Phillies

    Biggest line move:
    Rays (+110 to -105) at Red Sox


    Dave Essler | MLB Total – Tuesday, Apr 19 2016 7:10PM

    907 COL / 908 CIN – OVER 8
    ‘Double-dime bet’

    Analysis: This will close higher – I am almost certain of that.


    Baseball Crusher

    Pittsburgh Pirates -140 over San Diego Padres
    (System Record: 13-0, won last 3 games)
    Overall Record: 13-3

    Colorado Rockies -110 over Cincy Reds

    Washington Nationals -145 over Miami Marlins

    Oakland Athletics + New York Yankees – OVER 8



    100* Over 8 – Royals / Tigers

    100* Dodgers -135



    Play: Boston Red Sox +102
    Play Rating: 4%


    National Sports

    4* reds – OVER 8.5

    3* Texas Rangers -105



    3* Philadelphia Phillies

    3* Tampa Bay Rays

    3* Houston Astros



    1* Washington Nationals

    2* Pittsburgh Pirates

    1* LA Dodgers

    1* NY Yankees

    1* OVER – colorado


    MLB betting cheat sheet

    Houston, we have a problem

    It may be early on in the Major League Baseball season, but the Astros are struggling, especially their bullpen. Covers Expert Jesse Schule breaks down their their issues and all the best betting notes in our early week MLB cheat sheet.

    Here’s a comprehensive look at betting notes for the mid week major-league schedule:

    Houston, we have a problem

    The Astros were the favorite to win the American League West this year, but so far it is the other Texas team doing all the damage. The Rangers are in first, while Houston sits in the division cellar, albeit just two game back. The bullpen was a strength for Houston last year, but the Astros relievers rank 23rd in the majors with a 4.71 ERA so far in 2016. They relied heavily on the long-ball last year, ranking second in the majors in homes runs with 230, just two fewer than the Blue Jays. It’s going to be difficult for them to keep that kind of pace again this year.

    He’s Back…

    Veteran right-fielder Mark Trumbo hit 34 home runs with the Angels in 2013, but struggled since moving on from LA. He hit 13 home runs in just 88 games for the Diamondbacks in 2014, and split the 2015 season between Seattle and Arizona, hitting 22 home runs and batting .262. He appears to have found a home in Baltimore, where he’s hitting .386 with five home runs and 11 RBIs so far this season.

    My Cousin Vinny

    Nobody would have expected 23-year-old Vincent Velasquez to be one of two major league pitchers to have an ERA of 0.00 so far this season. His 26 strikeouts are second to only Noah Syndergaard, who has 29 but has started one more game. Velasquez will make his next start at home in Game 2 of this week’s series versus the Mets and it looks like another favorable spot for right-hander. The Mets rank 25th in the majors in runs scored, and are hitting just .226 on the season.

    Hitting Notes

    *Prince Fielder ranks second in the American League with 11 RBIs, but he’s really struggled at the plate hitting just .167 so far. He hit .305 with 23 home runs and 98 RBIs in 158 games with Texas last season. He might just get back on track this week against the Astros, as he’s hitting .374 lifetime versus the Houston pitching staff. He’s hitting .313 with a pair of doubles, a home run and seven RBIs lifetime versus Scott Feldman who starts Game 1.

    *Josh Donaldson lead the American League with 123 RBIs last season, and he’s out in front once again with an AL best 12 RBIs in 2016. He could add to those totals in Baltimore this week, as he’s hitting .308 with a 21 RBIs in 98 career at bats versus the Orioles staff. He’ll face Chris Tillman in the series finale, and he’s hitting .304 with a home run and six RBIs in 23 at bats versus Tillman.

    Pitching Notes

    *Zack Greinke was the most dominant pitcher in all of baseball last year, but he’s still in search of his first victory here in 2016. He got off to a bad start, dealing with an illness in his season debut. He got rocked for seven runs on nine hits over just four innings in a loss to the Rockies on Opening Day, but has gotten better in each start since. He allowed a pair of runs on six hits while fanning five in 7 1/3 innings in a no decision versus San Diego in his last start. His next start comes at San Francisco opposite Madison Bumgarner.

    *Derek Holland is off to a hot start in 2016. The veteran southpaw is 1-0 with a 2.31 ERA, and he tossed 6 2/3 scoreless innings in a win over Seattle his last time out. He will toe the rubber for the Rangers in Game 1 versus Houston, and he’s been good in previous meetings with the Astros, going 2-1 with a 3.86 ERA in seven appearances over the last three seasons.

    Totals Trend

    The Royals are doing what they always do, by not scoring a lot of runs, but holding opponents to fewer, making them a hot under play to start the season. They are scoring 3.58 runs per game, with a team ERA of 2.89 through their first 12 games and have gone over the total twice this season. They are facing one of the better over teams so far this season when they begin a three-game series with Detroit (8-3 O/U) Tuesday.

    Injury Notes

    *The Indians are expecting to get Lonnie Chisenhall back from a forearm injury in time for Wednesday’s game against the Mariners. He’s currently on a rehab assignment in Triple-A.

    *The injury bug has hit the Colorado Rockies, with both D.J. LeMahieu and Charlie Blackmon being the latest casualties. Blackmon has landed on the 15 day DL with turf toe, while LeMahieu is questionable Tuesday with a groin injury.

    Tuesday’s Weather Report

    * There will be a 10 mile per hour pitchers wind in Minnesota when the Twins host the Brewers, in the day’s lone matinee game this afternoon. The O/U is set at 8.5.

    * In Cincinnati, there is a slight chance 17 percent chance of rain for tonight’s game versus the Rockies. The O/U is currently at 8.5 runs.

    * There is also a slight 15 percent chance of rain in Kansas City, where the Royals host the Tigers. Tonight’s O/U is currently at 8.0 runs.

    * In Arlington, there is a 40 percent chance of rain when the Rangers host the Astros. There is also a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast. The O/U for the game is currently at 9.0.

    * The Windy City could live up to its name Tuesday, with a pitchers wind of 12-15 miles per hour gusting in from left field. There is also a 14 percent chance of rain. The O/U is currently 8.5.

    * In St. Louis, there is a 37 percent chance of rain and a chance of thunderstorms in the forecast for tonight’s showdown between the Cardinals and Cubs. The O/U is currently 7.5.


    Guaranteed picks

    1:10pm Brewers vs. Twins
    (300 Stars)Under8.5

    6:10pm Mariners vs. Indians
    (1000 Stars)Cleveland-160

    7:10pm Dodgers vs. Braves
    (500 Stars)Atlanta +1.5

    10:15pm Diamondbacks vs. Giants
    (700 Stars)Arizona+105

    Opinion on Pittsburgh-140 no rating



    Game: Detroit Tigers (923) @ Kansas City Royals (924)
    Time: Tuesday 04/19 7:15 PM Eastern
    Pick: Detroit +135 (moneyline)
    Shane Greene gave up two runs in six innings in a 7-3 win over Pittsburgh. The right-hander is off to a good start following surgery that cut short his 2015 season. Greene has given up just one earned run in 13 innings against Kansas City the last three years. Royals hitters who have faced him are batting only .163 against Greene. The Royals have lost two straight as they head home following a seven-game trip. Yordano Ventura has allowed three runs in 11 innings while surrendering nine walks. Detroit hitters have had some success against Ventura with five of their players with a .300 or better batting average against him. Detroit is 5-2 on the road this season. Play the Tigers.

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