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MLB • Wednesday Service Plays • 4/20/16

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    Preview: Diamondbacks at Giants

    GAME: Arizona Diamondbacks (7-8) at San Francisco Giants (7-8)
    DATE/TIME: Wednesday, April 20 – 10:15 PM EST
    WHERE: AT&T Park, San Francisco, California

    In addition to winning three straight games and four of their last five, the Arizona Diamondbacks might also have discovered a new hitter for the No. 2 spot in their lineup. Third baseman Jake Lamb will look to build on his promising start Wednesday as the Diamondbacks continue their four-game series against the host San Francisco Giants, who have dropped six of their last seven games.

    Lamb was moved up in the order prior to the series, and his three extra-base hits in the first two games have helped Arizona add to its dominance at AT&T Park, where the Diamondbacks have won 10 of their last 12 games against the Giants. Arizona also has received some encouraging signs from Chris Owings, who has gone 4-for-7 over the last two games while starting in center field and could be on the verge of leaving his slow start behind. The Giants turn to ace Madison Bumgarner on Wednesday but need more production from regulars such as center fielder Denard Span and shortstop Brandon Crawford, who has five hits in his last 29 at-bats covering nine games. Third baseman Matt Duffy batted eighth in Tuesday’s 3-0 loss but snapped a 2-for-25 skid with two singles.

    TV: 10:15 p.m. ET, FSN Arizona, CSN Bay Area (San Francisco)

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (0-2, 6.75 ERA) vs. Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (1-1, 4.50)

    After two rough outings to begin the season, Greinke returned to form Friday against San Diego but received a no-decision after yielding two runs on six hits with five strikeouts and one walk in 7 1/3 innings. Buster Posey is 8-for-26 against the 2009 AL Cy Young award winner, who is 7-0 with 2.19 ERA in 10 career starts against the Giants. Greinke has been especially tough at AT&T Park, where he’s is 2-0 with 1.78 ERA in four outings.

    The Giants committed three errors Friday and Bumgarner allowed seven runs (four earned) in five-plus innings in a 7-3 loss to the Dodgers. “He made a few mistakes, a few more than normal,” manager Bruce Bochy told reporters. “We just didn’t play a clean game. That would have helped matters.” Bumgarner owns an 8-6 record and 2.54 ERA in 23 career games (22 starts) against the Diamondbacks, and he has struggled to contain first baseman Paul Goldschmidt (12-for-38, two home runs).


    1. Arizona starting pitchers have allowed one home run in their last nine games at AT&T Park.

    2. San Francisco recalled LHP Steven Okert and RHP Michael Broadway from Triple-A Sacramento and placed RHP George Kontos on the 15-day disabled list with a flexor strain.

    3. The Diamondbacks optioned RHP Archie Bradley to Triple-A Reno and recalled RHP Silvino Bracho.

    PREDICTION: Giants 5, Diamondbacks 3


    National League games

    Mets @ Phillies
    Colon is 1-1, 2.38 this season (over 1-1).

    Hellickson is 1-1, 5.52 in three starts this month (over 2-1). .

    Mets won five of their last six games. Phillies lost four of last five games; four of those five games went over the total.

    Nationals @ Marlins
    Ross is 2-0, 0.61 in two starts this month (under 2-0).

    Chen is 0-0, 5.56 in two starts this month (over 2-0).

    Washington won eight of its last ten games; over is 3-2-1 in their last six. Miami lost five of its last six games; they’re 1-6 at home (over 5-1-1).

    Dodgers @ Braves
    Stripling is 0-0, 2.03 in his first two MLB starts (under 2-0).

    Teheran is 0-2, 6.88 (over 2-0-1) in three starts this season- he was scratched from his Tuesday start because of an illness. .

    Dodgers won four of their last six games; under is 6-3-1 in their last ten. Atlanta won its last four games after an 0-9 start; over is 9-2 in their last eleven games.

    Rockies @ Reds
    Bettis is 2-0, 1.38 in his last two starts (under 2-1 in his ’16 starts).

    Iglesias is 1-1, 3.24 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Colorado won five of its last seven games; five of its last six road games stayed under total. Cincinnati lost six of last eight games but is 6-2 at home; five of their last eight games went over the total. .

    Cubs @ Cardinals
    Hendricks is 1-1, 4.26 in two starts this month (under 2-0).

    Martinez is 2-0, 3.46 in two starts this month; Cardinals scored 26 runs in the two games (over 2-0).

    Cubs won eight of their last ten games; four of their last five games stayed under total. St Louis won seven of its last 11 games (over 7-4), but lost last two.

    Pirates @ Padres
    Locke is 0-1, 3.38 in two starts this month (over 1-1).

    Pomeranz is 1-1, 3.18 in two starts this month (over 1-1).

    Pirates lost four of last five road games; seven of their last eight games went over the total. San Diego lost five of its last seven games; six of its last nine games stayed under the total.

    Diamondbacks @ Giants
    Greinke is 0-2, 6.75 in his first three Arizona starts (under 2-1).

    Bumgarner is 1-1, 6.19 in three starts this month (over 2-1).

    Arizona won four of its last five games; three of their last four games went over the total. Giants lost six of their last seven games (over 4-2-1).

    American League games

    Mariners @ Indians
    Walker is 0-0, 2.25 in two starts this month (under 2-0).

    Salazar is 2-0, 0.79 in two starts this month (under 2-0).

    Seattle won three of last five games; under is 7-2-1 in its last ten. Cleveland won four of its last six games; four of its six home games went over.

    A’s @ Bronx
    Graveman is 0-1, 2.38 in two starts this month (under 1-1).

    Eovaldi is 0-1, 6.94 in two starts this month (over 1-1)

    Oakland won its last three games; they’re 4-0 on road- under is 10-2 in their last 12 games. Bronx lost five of last six games; under is 4-0-1 in their last five

    Blue Jays @ Orioles
    Dickey is 0-2, 10.24 in his last two starts (over 2-1 in ’16 starts).

    Jimenez is 1-1, 4.50 in two starts this month (under 2-0)

    Toronto won five of its last seven games; its last seven road games stayed under. Orioles are 5-1 at home; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.

    Rays @ Red Sox
    Archer is 0-3, 7.04 in three starts this month (under 2-1); Rays scored total of four runs in his three starts.

    Porcello is 2-0, 5.11 in his two starts this month (over 1-1); Red Sox scored 13 runs in the two games (over 1-1). .

    Tampa Bay won its last three games, allowing four runs- under is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. Boston is 3-6 in its last nine games- they’re 3-5 at home, with last six games staying under the total.

    Tigers @ Royals
    Zimmerman is 2-0, 0.00 (13 IP) in his two starts (over 1-1).

    Kennedy is 2-0, 0.66 in his first two Royal starts (under 1-0-1).

    Detroit is 5-3 on the road; under is 7-3-2 in their games. Kansas City won eight of its last 11 games; under in 5-1 in Royal home tilts.

    Astros @ Rangers
    Fister is 1-1, 8.59 in his two starts this month (over 1-0-1)

    Hamels is 3-0, 2.95 in three starts this month (under 2-1)

    Houston lost nine of its last 13 games; over is 6-1 in its road games. Texas won seven of its last ten games; its last six home games went over.

    Angels @ White Sox
    Richards is 0-2, 4.58 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Sale is 3-0, 2.35 in three starts this month; (over 1-1-1).

    Chicago lost three of its last four games (under 9-2-1 in last 12). Angels lost four of last five games; under is 9-4 in their last thirteen games.


    Brewers @ Twins
    Milone is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts this month (over 1-1)

    Nelson is 2-1, 3.26 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Milwaukee lost four of its last six games; eight of its last 11 went over. Twins won four of their last five games after an 0-9 start.

    NY-Phil– Last three Estabrook games stayed under.
    Wsh-Mia– Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Wendelstedt games.
    Col-Cin– Five of last seven Cederstrom games went over.
    Chi-StL– Under is 5-0-1 in last six Holbrook games.
    LA-Atl– Underdogs won six of last seven May games.
    Pitt-SD– Eight of last nine Blakney games went over.
    Az-SF– Favorites won last seven Miller games.

    LA-Chi– Seven of last eight Morales games went over.
    Sea-Clev– Over is 4-0-1 in last five Tumpane games.
    A’s-NY– Four of last five Blaser games stayed under.
    Tor-Balt– Last five Randazzo games stayed under.
    TB-Bos– Under is 14-2-1 in last 17 Basner games.
    Det-KC– Home side won last nine Rackley games.
    Hst-Tex– Three of last four Hudson games went over.

    Mil-Min– Home side won seven of last nine Barber games.


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play On – Road teams (LA DODGERS) after a game where they committed 3 or more errors, starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings 48-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.6% | 26.4 units ) 1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.3 units ) StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

    NY METS are 30-9 (+21.0 Units) against the money line in Road games vs. teams outscored by opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
    The average score was: NY METS (6.3) , OPPONENT (3.6)


    Baseball Crusher

    Chicago Cubs +105 over St. Louis Cardinals
    (System Record: 13-0, lost last game)
    Overall Record: 13-4

    Chicago White Sox -148 over LA Angels

    Texas Rangers -137 over Houston Astros

    San Francisco Giants -138 over Arizona Diamondbacks


    Wednesday’s Diamond Notes
    By Tony Mejia

    Hottest team: Braves (won four straight)
    The Braves ripped off their fourth straight win on Tuesday, continuing an impressive rebound from an 0-9 start to replace a Twins team that also followed up nine losses with four triumphs. Former Atlanta starter Alex Wood was greeted rudely at Turner Field as his ex-team plated a pair of runs against him in three of the first four innings, cruising to a 9-1 win in the series opener against the visiting Dodgers.
    Catcher Tyler Flowers went 4-for-4 and drove in three, CF Mallex Smith had a career-high 3 RBI and LF Jeff Francoeur scored a pair and drove in two as the Braves won at home for the first time. While Freddie Freeman gets the most attention in the Braves batting order, multiple others have really gotten it going to key this offensive surge. Winless ace Julio Teheran is expected to take the mound against L.A. on Wednesday after he was scratched due to illness yesterday. The Dodgers counter with promising rookie Ross Stripling (0-0, 2.03).

    Coldest team: Red Sox (lost three straight)
    The Red Sox followed up a Patriots’ Day loss where they managed just one run over the first eight innings by failing to score in 10 against visiting Tampa Bay on Tuesday. Boston squandered an opportunity with the bases loaded and no one out in the third inning and never really threatened again. Rays pitching struck out 14 Red Sox batters and didn’t allow a hit after Jackie Bradley, Jr. singled to load the bases. The BoSox are 0-4 in ’16 when scoring three runs or fewer.

    Boston only scored once until the ninth inning in the first game of this current losing streak, so this funk is certainly lingering. Rays ace Chris Archer (0-3, 5.87) will look to keep Sox bats on ice in order to break through for his first win of 2016. David Ortiz has hit Archer hard, owning a .346 average, two homers and 11 RBI in just 26 career at-bats against him. Archer won his first start against the Red Sox as a rookie, but is 0-6 with a 5.12 ERA in the 10 starts he’s made since then. Rick Porcello (2-0, 5.11) will go for Boston, hoping to continue rebounding from a rough 15-loss season in 2015.

    Hottest pitcher: Chris Sale, White Sox (3-0, 2.35 ERA)
    Chicago’s ace, one of the top left-handed pitchers in baseball, will look to be the first in all of MLB to four wins in this matinee against the Angels. Sale comes off a complete game two-hit shutout at Tampa Bay where he struck out nine and walked none. He’s issued only three free passes in 23 innings thus far, striking out 23. He’s 4-0 against the Angels in his career, sporting a 1.70 ERA. Mike Trout and Albert Pujols are a combined 5-for-28 against him, each homering once but striking out seven times.

    Coldest pitcher: R.A. Dickey, Blue Jays (1-2, 6.75 ERA)
    The veteran knuckle-baller hasn’t been able to get through more than five innings in a single start, losing his last two decisions against the Red Sox. Dickey has been wild by his standards, issuing eight walks in just 14.2 innings and looking far more hittable at 41 years of age than he has since joining the Jays. Since joining AL East-based Toronto, he’s 0-4 with a 4.68 ERA against the Orioles. Chris Davis is just 6-for-25 against Dickey, homering twice but striking out eight times.

    Biggest ‘UNDER’ run: Blue Jays & Red Sox (6-0 last six)
    Toronto averaged 5.5 runs per game last season, but are plating 4.0 runs per game in 2016, scoring exactly that figure in Monday’s 4-3 win at Baltimore. Boston was on board for the first four of Toronto’s unders and has continued to struggle on this homestand as detailed above. After scoring at east six runs in five of their first six contests, the Red Sox haven’t done so since.

    Biggest ‘OVER’ run: Braves (5-0 last five)
    Atlanta has scored 26 runs (6.5 per game) over its current four-game winning streak, managing the explosion despite the fact they haven’t hit a single homer in that span. Atlanta is 4-0 since moving Nick Markakis into the leadoff spot, riding his hot bat since he’s reached safely in an MLB-best 25 consecutive games.

    Matchup to watch: Diamondbacks vs Giants
    Zack Greinke has yet to pick up a win for a Diamondbacks squad that signed him to a six-year, $206.5 million contract, but he did pitch well enough to help them hang around in a 3-2 win in San Diego last time out. He’s owned the Giants over the last three years, going 7-0 with a 1.94 ERA. Greinke is 2-0 with an 0.90 ERA at AT&T Park in that span, striking out 22. Old friend Madison Bumgarner will be on the mound against Greinke. He’s faced off with Clayton Kershaw twice and comes in 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA. Since going 0-3 against the Snakes in 2012, MadBum is 5-3 with a 1.87 ERA against them over the last three seasons.

    Betcha didn’t know:
    The Pirates (-155) were upset in San Diego 5-4 on Tuesday, surrendering an early 3-0 lead. Despite the loss, Andrew McCutchen, Starling Marte and Gregory Polanco each stole a base, becoming the first entire outfield to do so in the same game this season. The steals were no match for the Padres’ three home runs, nor the 3-for-15 hitting with runners in scoring position. Pittsburgh left 10 men on base, increasing its league-leading average of runners stranded to 9.2, a total of 129 over the first 14 games. Wasteful.

    Biggest public favorite:
    White Sox (-150) vs. Angels

    Biggest public underdog:
    Tigers (+100) at Royals

    Biggest line move:
    Orioles (-108 to -125) at Red Sox



    2* (951) Rockies +$125
    2* (965) Angels +$140
    2* (967) Mariners +$115
    2* (971) Blue Jays +$121



    100* Over 9 – Orioles /Blue Jays

    100* Reds -135



    5000* Play San Francisco -130 over Arizona
    Arizona has lost 99 of the last 174 games when playing as an underdog of +100 to +150 and they have lost 42 of the last 69 games when the total posted is seven runs or less. Arizona has lost 94 of the last 172 games when playing in the 1st half of the season and they have lost 59 of the last 94 games vs. left-handed starting pitchers.


    1000* Play New York Yankees -150 over Oakland

    1000* Play Chicago White Sox -145 over Los Angeles Angels




    Play New York Mets -130 over Philadelphia (TOP MLB PLAY)–VIP PLAY
    Jeremy Hellickson has lost 17 of the last 22 games vs. division opponents and he has lost 24 of the last 34 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs. Jeremy Hellickson has lost 13 of the last 18 games when pitching as an underdog of +125 to +175 and he has an ERA of 7.04 vs. New York over his career.

    ‘Extra MLB Baseball Plays’

    Play New York Yankees -150 over Oakland

    Play Texas -130 over Houston




    USA: MLB
    Cincinnati Reds – Colorado Rockies
    Under 8
    Odd: 1,83



    Baltimore Orioles ML -125

    DET / KAN – OVER 7.5 -110

    Detroit Tigers ML -105


    Beaver Tail Picks

    Colorado Rockies +120

    Cleveland Indians -135

    Baltimore Orioles -115

    26-7 this MLB season


    Sports Insurance Adjusters

    Texas RL -1.5 +150

    Milwaukee RL -1.5 +170



    1* St. Louis Cardinals

    1* Pittsburg Pirates

    2* Cleveland Indians

    1* NY Yankees

    1* Kansas City Royals

    1* Texas Rangers

    2* OVER – cubs

    *5* UNDER – white sox

    1* UNDER – seattle

    1* OVER – toronto

    1* OVER – detroit

    2* UNDER – san francisco

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