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MLB • Wednesday Service Plays • 4/27/16

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    National League games

    Phillies @ Nationals
    Hellickson is 0-1, 12.27 in his last two starts; his last three went over total.

    Gonzalez is 1-0, 1.89 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Philly won four of its last five games; over is 7-2-1 in their last ten. Washington won eight of its last nine home games; under is 5-2-2 in its last nine games overall.

    Reds @ Mets
    Moscot is 0-1, 5.91 in two starts this month (over 1-1).

    Harvey is 1-3, 5.64 in four starts this month; his last three starts went over.

    Mets won eight of last nine games; eight of their last 11 went over. Cincinnati lost seven of eight road games (over 6-2).

    Brewers @ Cubs
    Jungmann is 0-3, 11.25 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his ’16 starts.

    Arrieta is 4-0, 0.87 in four starts this month (over 4-0).

    Milwaukee lost seven of its last ten games; over is 5-2-1 in its last eight. Cubs won six of last eight games; over is 4-1-1 in Chicago’s last six games overall.

    Pirates @ Rockies
    Niese is 3-0, 5.02 n four starts this month (over 3-1); Pirates scored 26 runs in those four games.

    Gray allowed five runs in five IP in his first start, against the Dodgers. .

    Pirates are 7-3 in their last ten games; eight of their last ten road games went over. Colorado lost six of its last seven games; five of its last seven home tilts went over. .

    Cardinals @ Diamondbacks
    Wainwright is 0-3, 7.25 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

    Corbin is 1-2, 4.56 in four starts this month (over 2-2). .

    Cardinals won six of their last eight road games (over 7-1). Arizona won six of its last nine games but is just 4-8 at home- five of their last six games went over.

    Marlins @ Dodgers
    Nicolino is making hsi first ’16 start; he was 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts LY, is 2-2, 3.60 in four AAA starts this month. .

    Kazmir is 0-1, 9.69 in his last three starts (over 2-0-1). .

    Dodgers lost three of last four home games; under is 5-2-1 in their home games. Miami won its last three games, with Stanton homering in all three- four of their last five games went over

    Padres @ Giants
    San Diego won last three Cashner starts (2-0, 2.65); under is 2-1-1 in his ’16 starts.

    Samardzija is 2-1, 2.49 in his last three starts (under 3-1 in his ’16 starts). .

    San Diego lost five of its last six games; over is 8-2 in their last ten. Giants won four of their last five games (over 9-4-1 in last 14).

    American League games

    White Sox @ Blue Jays
    Quintana is 2-1, 1.89 in his last three starts (under 3-0).

    Estrada is 1-1, 2.50 in three starts this month (under 3-0). .

    Chicago won seven of its last eight games; under is 7-3 in its last ten road games. Blue Jays lost five of their last seven games; eight of their last 13 games overall stayed under the total.

    A’s @ Tigers
    Gray is 3-1, 3.08 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

    Verlander is 1-2, 5.79 in four starts this month (over 2-1-1). .

    Oakland lost three of its last four games (over 3-1). Detroit lost six of its last eight home games (over 6-2).

    Orioles @ Rays
    Tillman is 1-1, 4.26 in four starts this month (under 3-1). .

    Moore is 1-1, 396 in four starts this month (under 2-1-1). .

    Baltimore lost five of its last six road games; seven of its last eight games stayed under the total. Tampa Bay is 7-3 in its last nine games; under is 9-1 in its last ten home games. .

    Bronx @ Rangers
    Sabathia is 2-1, 5.28 in three starts this month (over 2-1).

    Perez is 0-2, 5.50 in his last three starts (over 2-2 in ’16 starts). .

    Bronx is 4-9 in its last 13 games; four of its last six games went over. Rangers lost four of their last five games, but won six of last eight at home; over is 8-2 in their last ten home games. .

    Indians @ Twins
    Tomlin is 2-0, 1.54 in two starts this month (over 1-1).

    Berrios is making MLB debut here; he was 2-0, 1.06 in three AAA starts, allowing eight hits in 17 IP.

    Cleveland is 5-6 in its last 11 games; four of its last six road games went over total. Minnesota won six of its last seven home games; over is 8-3-1 in their last twelve games overall.

    Royals @ Angels
    Young is 1-3, 6.41 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

    Tropeano is 1-0, 2.45 in three starts this month (under 2-0-1).

    Kansas City won 11 of its last 18 games; five of its last seven games stayed under the total. Angels lost seven of their last 12 games; five of their last seven home games went under the total.

    Astros @ Mariners
    McHugh is 1-3, 8.10 in four starts this month (over 2-1-1).

    Iwakuma is 0-2, 4.50 in four starts this month (over 2-2).

    Houston lost seven of its last eight games; over is 8-3 in their road games. Seattle won six of its last seven games but is 3-5 at home; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. .


    Braves @ Red Sox
    Norris is 1-3, 7.17 in four starts this month; his last three starts went over.

    Wright is 1-2, 2.33 in three starts this month (under 2-1).

    Red Sox won its last five games; five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Atlanta lost its last seven games; over is 5-2 in its road games.

    Teams won-lost records when this pitcher starts:
    Phil-Wsh– Hellickson 2-2; Gonzalez 2-1
    Cin-NY– Moscot 0-2; Harvey 1-3
    Mil-Chi– Jungmann 1-3; Arrieta 4-0
    Pitt-Colo– Niese 4-0; Gray 1-0
    StL-Az– Wainwright 1-3; Corbin 2-2
    Mia-LA– Nicolino 0-0; Kazmir 1-3
    SD-SF– Cashner 3-1; Samardzija 2-2

    Chi-Tor– Quintana 3-1; Estrada 1-2
    A’s-Det– Gray 3-1; Verlander 2-2
    Balt-TB– Tillman 3-1; Moore 3-1
    NY-Tex– Sabathia 2-1; Perez 0-4
    Cle-Minn– Tomlin 2-0; Berrios 0-0
    KC-LA– Young 1-3; Tropeano 1-2
    Hst-Sea– McHugh 1-3; Iwakuma 2-2

    Atl-Bos– Norris 1-3; Wright 1-2

    Starting pitchers allowing 1+ runs in first inning:
    Phil-Wsh– Hellickson 2-4; Gonzalez 0-3
    Cin-NY– Moscot 0-2; Harvey 1-4
    Mil-Chi– Jungmann 3-4; Arrieta 0-4
    Pitt-Colo– Niese 0-4; Gray 1-1
    StL-Az– Wainwright 2-4; Corbin 2-4
    Mia-LA– Nicolino 0-0; Kazmir 2-4
    SD-SF– Cashner 1-4; Samardzija 1-4

    Chi-Tor– Quintana 1-4; Estrada 1-3
    A’s-Det– Gray 1-4; Verlander 3-4
    Balt-TB– Tillman 2-4; Moore 0-4
    NY-Tex– Sabathia 0-3; Perez 1-4
    Cle-Minn– Tomlin 1-2; Berrios 0-0
    KC-LA– Young 2-4; Tropeano 1-3
    Hst-Sea– McHugh 2-4; Iwakuma 0-4

    Atl-Bos– Norris 1-4; Wright 2-3

    Phil-Wsh– Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Little games.
    Cin-NY– Six of last seven Davis games stayed under.
    Mil-Chi– Home teams won five of last six Marquez games
    Pitt-Colo– DeJesus’ first MLB game behind plate was a 6-3 win for the road team.
    StL-Az– Favorites won five of last six Hallion games.
    Mia-LA– Six of last seven Tichenor games stayed under.
    SD-SF– Home side won nine of last twelve Fagan games.

    Chi-Tor– Three of last four Porter games went over.
    A’s-Det– Four of last five Foster games stayed under.
    Balt-TB– Favorites won eight of last ten Conroy games.
    NY-Tex– Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Culbreth games.
    Cle-Min– Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Diaz games
    KC-LA– Road team won six of last eight Timmons games.
    Hst-Sea– Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Dimuro games.

    Atl-Bos– Over is 8-4 in last twelve Danley games.


    StatFox Super Situations™ – FoxSheets

    Play Against – Home teams (LA DODGERS) with a starting pitcher whose lasts less than 5 innings per start, with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 3 starts
    49-23 over the last 5 seasons. ( 68.1% | 26.4 units )
    0-2 this year. ( 0.0% | -2.1 units )

    StatFox Situational Power Trends™ – FoxSheets

    CHI WHITE SOX are 9-0 (+9.9 Units) against the money line vs. good defensive catchers – allowing 0.5 or less SB’s/game this season.
    The average score was: CHI WHITE SOX (4.7) , OPPONENT (1.4)


    Baseball Crusher

    Philadelphia Phillies + Washington Nationals – OVER 7.5
    (System Record: 16-0, won last game)
    Overall Record: 16-8

    New York Yankees +103 over Texas Rangers

    Kansas City Royals +100 over LA Angels

    Oakland Athletics +103 over Detroit Tigers


    Wednesday’s Diamond Notes
    By Kevin Rogers

    Hottest team: Mets (5-0 last five)
    Following a 2-5 start, many people thought last season’s run to the World Series by New York could have been a fluke. However, the Mets have rebounded lately to win eight of their last nine games, while capturing five consecutive victories. New York rallied past Cincinnati on Tuesday, 4-3, as the Mets have allowed three runs or less in all five games during this hot streak. The Mets go for the sweep tonight with Matt Harvey on the mound before the Giants invade Citi Field this weekend.

    Coldest team: Braves (0-7 last seven)
    Atlanta began the season at 0-9 before winning four straight games. However, the Braves haven’t won since April 19 against the Dodgers as Atlanta is riding a fresh seven-game skid. During this time, the Braves were swept at home by the Mets and Red Sox, while scoring three runs or less six times during this span. It doesn’t get any easier for Atlanta, as the Braves travel to Fenway Park for two more games with the Red Sox followed by a pair of three-game road sets against the Cubs and Mets.

    Hottest pitcher: Jake Arrieta, Cubs (4-0, 0.87 ERA)
    Arrieta hasn’t skipped a beat since capturing the Cy Young award last season as the Cubs’ right-hander is coming off his second career no-hitter. Last Thursday, Arrieta didn’t allow a hit in a 16-0 rout of the Reds, while not giving up an earned run for the third time in four starts. Arrieta enters tonight’s contest against the Brewers as a heavy -340 favorite, but tossed a complete-game shutout as a -325 favorite against Milwaukee last September.

    Coldest pitcher: Colin McHugh, Astros (1-3, 7.56 ERA)
    It’s been a disastrous start for the Houston right-hander as McHugh has allowed four earned runs in three of his first four outings. McHugh was racked in a pair of home losses to the Tigers and Red Sox by giving up 10 hits in each of those defeats, while yielding nine earned runs in 9.1 innings of work. Last season, McHugh won two of three meetings with the Mariners, but was knocked around in an 8-1 home loss by giving up eight earned runs in three innings of work.

    Biggest UNDER run: Rays (2-0 last two)
    Although this streak isn’t currently very long, Tampa Bay continues to cash plenty of ‘unders’ at Tropicana Field. Tampa Bay is coming off a pair of ‘unders’ against Baltimore to improve to 9-2 to the ‘under’ at home this season. The Rays won each game behind strong pitching performances from Chris Archer and Jake Odorizzi (2-0 and 3-1), while Tampa Bay hasn’t scored more than three runs at home in six of its last seven contests at the Trop.

    Biggest OVER run: Cardinals (4-0 last four)
    St. Louis needed to travel out west to find its offense, as the Cardinals have scored 34 runs in the last four games. The Cards put up 19 runs in a pair of victories at San Diego, followed by 15 runs the past two nights against the Diamondbacks. Eleven times this season the Cardinals have plated at least seven runs, while doing so seven times away from Busch Stadium. However, St. Louis is facing a left-handed starting pitcher for only the fourth time this season when the Cards see Arizona southpaw Patrick Corbin tonight. The Redbirds have cashed the ‘over’ in two of three opportunities when squaring off with a left-handed hurler.

    Matchup to watch: Athletics vs. Tigers
    Oakland and Detroit have split the first two games of this series at Comerica Park with each team winning each matchup by four runs apiece. The pitching matchup evens out tonight with Justin Verlander and Sonny Gray taking the mound for the third game of this four-game set. Oakland has thrived on the highway with an 8-3 record, while Gray is coming off a road underdog victory at Toronto in his last outing. Verlander is winless in two home starts against the Pirates and Indians, but pitched well in a 2-1 defeat to Cleveland last Friday by striking out 10 in seven innings in spite of allowing a pair of solo home runs.

    Betcha you didn’t know:
    The Pirates have owned the Rockies at Coors Field over the years by winning seven straight meetings in Denver. Andrew McCutchen went deep three times in Tuesday’s 9-4 rout of the Rockies, as the Pirates have scored at least five runs in each of the past seven wins at Colorado. The Pirates face Colorado’s Jonathan Gray tonight, as Pittsburgh beat him twice last season, including scoring five runs on the right-hander in less than five innings of a 9-3 rout last September.

    Biggest public favorite:
    Nationals (-210) vs. Phillies

    Biggest public underdog:
    Royals (+105) at Angels

    Biggest line move:
    Diamondbacks (+100 to -120) vs. Cardinals



    100* Yankees -105

    100* Blue Jays -140


    Chase Diamond

    Apr 27 ’16, 7:10 PM
    MLB | A’s vs Tigers
    15* Play on: Tigers -115
    This game has the 11-10 Oakland at the 9-10 Detroit Tigers. This is one of those head turning games that make you wonder why the Tigers are favored. I usually fade pitchers live Verlander guys who are older and on their way out but this game just has trap written all over it. Tigers are in desperate need of a win tonight and Verlander really needs a good outing. Money is riding 50/50 on this game but the line seems to really be shifting people away from the Tigers. I will back Verlander and the Tigers here for a 15* winner.



    Over 7 – kansas city vs la angels



    4* Colorado Rockies

    4* Arizona D’Backs


    Brandon Lang

    10 Dime Cardinals over the D’backs.
    The current line on this game is +115 in Vegas and offshore. Please specify Wainwright and Corbin at the time of wager. Be sure to shop around for the best line available.


    Mike Lee

    3* Arizona Corbin -120


    Wiseguy Insider

    POD – Texas Rangers -130


    2-0 +3 yesterday

    *2 Baltimore / rays – over 7

    *2 Arizona + giants
    *parlay +175

    *2 Texas + Cubs
    *parlay +125



    3:45pm Padres vs. Giants Over/Under
    (400 Stars)Under 7.5

    8:40pm Pirates vs. Rockies
    (800 Stars) Pitt

    10:10pm Astros vs. Mariners Over/Under
    (1000 Stars) Under 7



    2* Blue Jays

    2* Rangers

    2* Nationals RL-1.5

    1* Royals

    1* Red Sox RL-1.5



    (901) San Diego Padres +180
    (Listed Pitchers)

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